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Suns at Wizards

NBA · Monday, Dec 29 · 6:00 PM CT · Capital One Arena · Final PHX 115 – WSH 101
← NBA / Dec 29, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHX22392628115
WSH23312522101
Team box
PHX·WSH
41-101
field goals
36-78
17-40
3-pointers
13-32
16-18
free throws
16-21
51
rebounds
43
25
assists
21
10
turnovers
16
32
points in paint
36
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Dillon BrooksPHX332630
Collin GillespiePHX292546
Tre JohnsonWSH252412
Devin BookerPHX352265
CJ McCollumWSH281734
Royce O'NealePHX331554

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
WSH +17
PHX +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: WSH 6 · PHX 17lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHX 75%, WSH 25% · Updated Dec 29, 2025

Expected margin
PHX by 10.9
Expected score
PHX 122.3 – 111.4 WSH
Expected total
233.7
SunsThe matchupWizards
−300Our fair odds+300
122.3Expected points111.4
+0.00Power rating−1.35
115.1Points / game113.6
113.7Allowed / game125.4
46.9FG%46.2
36.13P%35.4
42.7Rebounds / game44.3
18−13Season record7−23
6−4Last 104−6
Grayson Allen · Jalen Green
Mark Williams · Ryan DunnOut (4 each)Cam Whitmore · Corey Kispert
Khris Middleton · Kyshawn George

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHX chance · WSH chance
Our model fair75.0%25.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHXPhoenix Suns−30075%————
WSHWashington Wizards+30025%————
SpreadPHX by 10.9
PHXPhoenix Suns−10.9our margin————
WSHWashington Wizards+10.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 233.7
Over233.7our total————
Under233.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Phoenix Suns by 10.9 expected
Phoenix Suns by 48 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 47 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 46 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 45 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 44 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 4%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 4%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 1%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%
← PHX wins byWSH wins by →
Phoenix Suns wins by 5 or more71%
Phoenix Suns wins by 10 or more54%
Phoenix Suns wins by 15 or more38%
Within 5 points either way18%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

233.7 expected
184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 223.569%
Total over 233.549%
Total over 243.530%
Total from 224 to 24338%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Phoenix Suns
GDevin Bookerstarted
GCollin Gillespiestarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
FDillon Brooksstarted
FOso Ighodarostarted
Washington Wizards
GCJ McCollumstarted
GJamir Watkinsstarted
GBilal Coulibalystarted
GTre Johnsonstarted
CAlex Sarrstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHX·WSH
Dec 27, 2025 at NO
last game
Dec 28, 2025 vs MEM
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 29, 5:00 PM ET
Phoenix Suns
PHXGrayson Allen · right knee; injury managementOut
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; strainOut
PHXMark Williams · league suspensionOut
PHXRyan Dunn · right knee; sorenessOut
Washington Wizards
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; deep vein thrombosisOut
WSHCorey Kispert · left hamstring; strainOut
WSHKhris Middleton · right knee; injury managementOut
WSHKyshawn George · left hip flexor; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 30+ games
PHX·WSH
+0.00
rating (0 = average)
−1.35
115.1
points / game
113.6
113.7
points allowed / game
125.4
18−13
season record
7−23
10−5
home record
4−10
8−8
away record
3−13
W3
streak
W2
6−4
last 10
4−6
46.9
FG%
46.2
36.1
3P%
35.4
42.7
rebounds / game
44.3
25.5
assists / game
25.5
16.0
turnovers / game
15.4
46.6
points in paint / game
47.3

Rating Trend

PHX · WSH · 61 days
Phoenix SunsWashington Wizards
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · WSH 2−6
Jan 25, 2025at PHXPHX 119 − 109
Jan 16, 2025at WSHPHX 130 − 123
Feb 4, 2024at WSHPHX 140 − 112
Dec 17, 2023at PHXPHX 112 − 108
Dec 28, 2022at WSHWSH 127 − 102
Dec 20, 2022at PHXWSH 113 − 110
Feb 5, 2022at WSHPHX 95 − 80
Dec 16, 2021at PHXPHX 118 − 98

PHX · Last 10

6−4 · streak W3
Dec 27, 2025at NO123 − 114W
Dec 26, 2025at NO115 − 108W
Dec 23, 2025vs LAL132 − 108W
Dec 20, 2025at GS116 − 119L
Dec 18, 2025vs GS99 − 98W
Dec 14, 2025vs LAL114 − 116L
Dec 10, 2025at OKC89 − 138L
Dec 8, 2025at MIN108 − 105W
Dec 5, 2025at HOU98 − 117L
Dec 1, 2025at LAL125 − 108W

WSH · Last 10

4−6 · streak W2
Dec 28, 2025vs MEM116 − 112W
Dec 26, 2025vs TOR138 − 117W
Dec 23, 2025at CHA109 − 126L
Dec 21, 2025vs SA113 − 124L
Dec 20, 2025at MEM130 − 122W
Dec 18, 2025at SA94 − 119L
Dec 14, 2025at IND108 − 89W
Dec 12, 2025vs CLE126 − 130L
Dec 6, 2025vs ATL116 − 131L
Dec 4, 2025vs BOS101 − 146L