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Cavaliers at Wizards

NBA · Friday, Dec 12 · 6:00 PM CT · Capital One Arena · Final CLE 130 – WSH 126
← NBA / Dec 12, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CLE35272345130
WSH24364026126
Team box
CLE·WSH
41-97
field goals
42-86
15-53
3-pointers
16-44
33-36
free throws
26-32
48
rebounds
49
28
assists
29
7
turnovers
16
50
points in paint
36
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Donovan MitchellCLE354844
Bub CarringtonWSH412768
CJ McCollumWSH372746
Evan MobleyCLE3623136
Darius GarlandCLE351836
Marvin Bagley IIIWSH3315134

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
WSH +17
CLE +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: WSH 17 · CLE 11lead changes: 11

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 86%, WSH 14% · Updated Dec 12, 2025

Expected margin
CLE by 16.8
Expected score
CLE 127.1 – 110.2 WSH
Expected total
237.3
CavaliersThe matchupWizards
−625Our fair odds+625
127.1Expected points110.2
+0.59Power rating−1.51
118.6Points / game112.4
115.4Allowed / game128.3
46.2FG%46.3
34.33P%36.6
44.8Rebounds / game42.4
14−11Season record3−19
4−6Last 102−8
Jarrett Allen · Larry Nance Jr.
Luke Travers · Max Strus
Sam MerrillOut (5 each)Alex Sarr · Bilal Coulibaly
Corey Kispert · Khris Middleton
Malaki Branham

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · WSH chance
Our model fair86.2%13.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers−62586%————
WSHWashington Wizards+62514%————
SpreadCLE by 16.8
CLECleveland Cavaliers−16.8our margin————
WSHWashington Wizards+16.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 237.3
Over237.3our total————
Under237.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 16.8 expected
Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 1%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 1%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%
← CLE wins byWSH wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more85%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more71%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more54%
Within 5 points either way12%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

237.3 expected
187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 227.568%
Total over 237.548%
Total over 247.530%
Total from 228 to 24738%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GDarius Garlandstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
FDe'Andre Hunterstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted
Washington Wizards
GCJ McCollumstarted
GBub Carringtonstarted
FMarvin Bagley IIIstarted
FJustin Champagniestarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·WSH
Dec 6, 2025 vs GS
last game
Dec 6, 2025 vs ATL
5 days
days of rest
5 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
1
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 12, 5:00 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEJarrett Allen · right 3rd finger; strainOut
CLELarry Nance Jr. · right calf; strainOut
CLELuke Travers · g league - two-wayOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLESam Merrill · right hand; sprainOut
Washington Wizards
WSHAlex Sarr · right adductor; strainOut
WSHBilal Coulibaly · right oblique; strainOut
WSHCorey Kispert · right thumb; distal phalanx fractureOut
WSHKhris Middleton · right knee; sorenessOut
WSHMalaki Branham · right thumb; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 22+ games
CLE·WSH
+0.59
rating (0 = average)
−1.51
118.6
points / game
112.4
115.4
points allowed / game
128.3
14−11
season record
3−19
9−6
home record
2−8
5−5
away record
1−11
L1
streak
L3
4−6
last 10
2−8
46.2
FG%
46.3
34.3
3P%
36.6
44.8
rebounds / game
42.4
26.8
assists / game
25.5
14.0
turnovers / game
16.6
47.9
points in paint / game
46.8

Rating Trend

CLE · WSH · 45 days
Cleveland CavaliersWashington Wizards
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · WSH 0−10
Nov 7, 2025at WSHCLE 148 − 115
Feb 7, 2025at WSHCLE 134 − 124
Dec 13, 2024at CLECLE 115 − 105
Dec 3, 2024at CLECLE 118 − 87
Oct 26, 2024at WSHCLE 135 − 116
Feb 25, 2024at WSHCLE 114 − 105
Feb 7, 2024at WSHCLE 114 − 106
Jan 5, 2024at CLECLE 114 − 90
Jan 3, 2024at CLECLE 140 − 101
Mar 17, 2023at CLECLE 117 − 94

CLE · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Dec 6, 2025vs GS94 − 99L
Dec 5, 2025vs SA130 − 117W
Dec 3, 2025vs POR110 − 122L
Dec 1, 2025at IND135 − 119W
Nov 30, 2025vs BOS115 − 117L
Nov 28, 2025at ATL123 − 130L
Nov 24, 2025at TOR99 − 110L
Nov 23, 2025vs LAC120 − 105W
Nov 21, 2025vs IND120 − 109W
Nov 19, 2025vs HOU104 − 114L

WSH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L3
Dec 6, 2025vs ATL116 − 131L
Dec 4, 2025vs BOS101 − 146L
Dec 2, 2025at PHI102 − 121L
Dec 1, 2025vs MIL129 − 126W
Nov 28, 2025at IND86 − 119L
Nov 25, 2025vs ATL132 − 113W
Nov 22, 2025at CHI120 − 121L
Nov 21, 2025at TOR110 − 140L
Nov 19, 2025at MIN109 − 120L
Nov 16, 2025vs BKN106 − 129L