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Wizards at Pacers

NBA · Friday, Nov 28 · 6:30 PM CT · Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Final WSH 86 – IND 119
← NBA / Nov 28, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH2428211386
IND30343025119
Team box
WSH·IND
33-84
field goals
48-92
7-32
3-pointers
13-34
13-20
free throws
10-13
42
rebounds
50
18
assists
27
17
turnovers
16
38
points in paint
58
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Pascal SiakamIND2624111
Alex SarrWSH332491
Bennedict MathurinIND342024
T.J. McConnellIND191448
Khris MiddletonWSH261264
Jay HuffIND221262

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
IND +33
WSH +33
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: IND 33 · WSH 4lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 15%, IND 85% · Updated Nov 28, 2025

Expected margin
IND by 12.8
Expected score
IND 124.8 – 112.0 WSH
Expected total
236.8
WizardsThe matchupPacers
+590Our fair odds−590
112.0Expected points124.8
−1.53Power rating+0.03
114.1Points / game109.6
128.2Allowed / game121.4
46.7FG%41.7
37.93P%31.3
43.2Rebounds / game45.1
2−15Season record2−16
1−9Last 101−9
Corey Kispert · Tre JohnsonOutAaron Nesmith · Johnny Furphy
Kam Jones · Obi Toppin
Quenton Jackson

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · IND chance
Our model fair14.5%85.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+59015%————
INDIndiana Pacers−59086%————
SpreadIND by 12.8
WSHWashington Wizards+12.8our margin————
INDIndiana Pacers−12.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 236.8
Over236.8our total————
Under236.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Indiana Pacers by 12.8 expected
Washington Wizards by 53 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 52 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 51 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Indiana Pacers by 1 point: 2%Indiana Pacers by 2 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 3 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 4 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 5 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 6 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 7 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 8 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 9 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 10 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 11 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 12 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 13 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 14 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 15 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 16 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 17 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 18 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 19 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 20 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 21 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 22 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 23 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 24 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 25 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 26 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 27 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 28 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 29 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 30 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 31 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 32 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 33 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 34 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 35 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 36 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 37 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 38 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 39 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 40 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 41 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 42 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 43 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 44 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 45 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 46 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 47 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 48 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 49 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 50 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 51 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 52 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 53 points: <1%
← WSH wins byIND wins by →
Indiana Pacers wins by 5 or more73%
Indiana Pacers wins by 10 or more59%
Indiana Pacers wins by 15 or more44%
Within 5 points either way18%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

236.8 expected
187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 226.569%
Total over 236.549%
Total over 246.531%
Total from 227 to 24638%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GCJ McCollumstarted
GBilal Coulibalystarted
FKhris Middletonstarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted
CAlex Sarrstarted
Indiana Pacers
GBen Sheppardstarted
GBennedict Mathurinstarted
FPascal Siakamstarted
FJarace Walkerstarted
CJay Huffstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·IND
Nov 25, 2025 vs ATL
last game
Nov 26, 2025 at TOR
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 28, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHCorey Kispert · right thumb; distal phalanx fractureOut
WSHTre Johnson · left hip flexor; strainOut
WSHKyshawn George · n/a; illnessQuestionable
Indiana Pacers
INDAaron Nesmith · left knee mcl; sprainOut
INDJohnny Furphy · left ankle; sprainOut
INDKam Jones · lower back; stress reactionOut
INDObi Toppin · right foot; stress fractureOut
INDQuenton Jackson · right hamstring; strainOut
INDTyrese Haliburton · right achilles tendon; tearOut
INDAndrew Nembhard · right quad; contusionQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 17+ games
WSH·IND
−1.53
rating (0 = average)
+0.03
114.1
points / game
109.6
128.2
points allowed / game
121.4
2−15
season record
2−16
1−6
home record
2−6
1−9
away record
0−10
W1
streak
L3
1−9
last 10
1−9
46.7
FG%
41.7
37.9
3P%
31.3
43.2
rebounds / game
45.1
26.0
assists / game
23.3
16.8
turnovers / game
14.6
47.5
points in paint / game
45.6

Rating Trend

WSH · IND · 31 days
Washington WizardsIndiana Pacers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · IND 8−2
Apr 8, 2025at INDIND 104 − 98
Mar 27, 2025at WSHIND 162 − 109
Feb 12, 2025at WSHIND 134 − 130
Nov 24, 2024at INDIND 115 − 103
Jan 10, 2024at INDIND 112 − 104
Dec 15, 2023at WSHWSH 137 − 123
Oct 25, 2023at INDIND 143 − 120
Feb 11, 2023at WSHWSH 127 − 113
Dec 9, 2022at INDIND 121 − 111
Oct 28, 2022at WSHIND 127 − 117

WSH · Last 10

1−9 · streak W1
Nov 25, 2025vs ATL132 − 113W
Nov 22, 2025at CHI120 − 121L
Nov 21, 2025at TOR110 − 140L
Nov 19, 2025at MIN109 − 120L
Nov 16, 2025vs BKN106 − 129L
Nov 12, 2025at HOU112 − 135L
Nov 10, 2025at DET135 − 137L
Nov 8, 2025vs DAL105 − 111L
Nov 7, 2025vs CLE115 − 148L
Nov 5, 2025at BOS107 − 136L

IND · Last 10

1−9 · streak L3
Nov 26, 2025at TOR95 − 97L
Nov 24, 2025vs DET117 − 122L
Nov 21, 2025at CLE109 − 120L
Nov 19, 2025vs CHA127 − 118W
Nov 17, 2025at DET112 − 127L
Nov 15, 2025vs TOR111 − 129L
Nov 13, 2025at PHX98 − 133L
Nov 11, 2025at UTAH128 − 152L
Nov 9, 2025at GS83 − 114L
Nov 8, 2025at DEN100 − 117L