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Hornets at Pacers

NBA · Wednesday, Nov 19 · 6:00 PM CT · Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Final CHA 118 – IND 127
← NBA / Nov 19, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHA33213034118
IND38323423127
Team box
CHA·IND
43-107
field goals
46-85
13-45
3-pointers
16-38
19-22
free throws
19-23
48
rebounds
43
28
assists
32
13
turnovers
16
54
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kon KnueppelCHA422887
Miles BridgesCHA352552
Bennedict MathurinIND3424122
Pascal SiakamIND372247
Jay HuffIND272054
LaMelo BallCHA271879

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
IND +24
CHA +24
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: IND 24 · CHA 2lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHA 21%, IND 79% · Updated Nov 19, 2025

Expected margin
IND by 9.6
Expected score
IND 118.8 – 109.2 CHA
Expected total
228.1
HornetsThe matchupPacers
+381Our fair odds−381
109.2Expected points118.8
−1.04Power rating+0.06
116.5Points / game108.9
119.7Allowed / game123.4
46.3FG%40.1
36.43P%29.7
45.9Rebounds / game46.6
4−10Season record1−13
2−8Last 101−9
Brandon Miller · Grant Williams
Josh Green · Liam McNeeley
Tidjane SalaunOut (5 each)Aaron Nesmith · Johnny Furphy
Kam Jones · Obi Toppin
Quenton Jackson

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · IND chance
Our model fair20.8%79.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets+38121%————
INDIndiana Pacers−38179%————
SpreadIND by 9.6
CHACharlotte Hornets+9.6our margin————
INDIndiana Pacers−9.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 228.1
Over228.1our total————
Under228.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Indiana Pacers by 9.6 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 52 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 51 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 50 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 49 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 48 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Indiana Pacers by 1 point: 2%Indiana Pacers by 2 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 3 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 4 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 5 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 6 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 7 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 8 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 9 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 10 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 11 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 12 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 13 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 14 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 15 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 16 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 17 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 18 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 19 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 20 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 21 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 22 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 23 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 24 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 25 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 26 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 27 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 28 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 29 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 30 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 31 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 32 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 33 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 34 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 35 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 36 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 37 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 38 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 39 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 40 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 41 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 42 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 43 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 44 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 45 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 46 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 47 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 48 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 49 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 50 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 51 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 52 points: <1%
← CHA wins byIND wins by →
Indiana Pacers wins by 5 or more65%
Indiana Pacers wins by 10 or more50%
Indiana Pacers wins by 15 or more35%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

228.1 expected
179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 218.568%
Total over 228.549%
Total over 238.529%
Total from 219 to 23839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GSion Jamesstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
CRyan Kalkbrennerstarted
Indiana Pacers
GAndrew Nembhardstarted
GBen Sheppardstarted
GBennedict Mathurinstarted
FPascal Siakamstarted
FIsaiah Jacksonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·IND
Nov 17, 2025 at TOR
last game
Nov 17, 2025 at DET
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 18, 5:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHABrandon Miller · left shoulder; subluxationOut
CHAGrant Williams · right knee; surgeryOut
CHAJosh Green · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHALiam McNeeley · n/a; illnessOut
CHATidjane Salaun · g league - on assignmentOut
CHATre Mann · left ankle; sorenessDoubtful
Indiana Pacers
INDAaron Nesmith · left knee; mcl sprainOut
INDJohnny Furphy · left ankle; sprainOut
INDKam Jones · lower back; stress reactionOut
INDObi Toppin · right foot; stress fractureOut
INDQuenton Jackson · right hamstring; strainOut
INDTyrese Haliburton · right achilles tendon; tearOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 14+ games
CHA·IND
−1.04
rating (0 = average)
+0.06
116.5
points / game
108.9
119.7
points allowed / game
123.4
4−10
season record
1−13
3−4
home record
1−5
1−6
away record
0−8
L3
streak
L8
2−8
last 10
1−9
46.3
FG%
40.1
36.4
3P%
29.7
45.9
rebounds / game
46.6
26.2
assists / game
22.9
16.8
turnovers / game
14.4
49.7
points in paint / game
46.4

Rating Trend

CHA · IND · 23 days
Charlotte HornetsIndiana Pacers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · IND 5−5
Apr 2, 2025at INDIND 119 − 105
Dec 8, 2024at INDCHA 113 − 109
Nov 8, 2024at CHACHA 103 − 83
Feb 12, 2024at CHACHA 111 − 102
Feb 4, 2024at CHAIND 115 − 99
Dec 20, 2023at INDIND 144 − 113
Nov 4, 2023at INDCHA 125 − 124
Mar 20, 2023at CHACHA 115 − 109
Jan 8, 2023at INDIND 116 − 111
Nov 16, 2022at CHAIND 125 − 113

CHA · Last 10

2−8 · streak L3
Nov 17, 2025at TOR108 − 110L
Nov 15, 2025vs OKC96 − 109L
Nov 14, 2025at MIL134 − 147L
Nov 12, 2025vs MIL111 − 100W
Nov 10, 2025vs LAL111 − 121L
Nov 7, 2025at MIA108 − 126L
Nov 4, 2025at NO112 − 116L
Nov 2, 2025vs UTAH126 − 103W
Nov 1, 2025vs MIN105 − 122L
Oct 30, 2025vs ORL107 − 123L

IND · Last 10

1−9 · streak L8
Nov 17, 2025at DET112 − 127L
Nov 15, 2025vs TOR111 − 129L
Nov 13, 2025at PHX98 − 133L
Nov 11, 2025at UTAH128 − 152L
Nov 9, 2025at GS83 − 114L
Nov 8, 2025at DEN100 − 117L
Nov 5, 2025vs BKN103 − 112L
Nov 3, 2025vs MIL115 − 117L
Nov 1, 2025vs GS114 − 109W
Oct 31, 2025vs ATL108 − 128L