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Nets at Pacers

NBA · Wednesday, Nov 5 · 6:00 PM CT · Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Final BKN 112 – IND 103
← NBA / Nov 5, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BKN25292632112
IND18412420103
Team box
BKN·IND
36-86
field goals
41-99
14-40
3-pointers
13-36
26-35
free throws
8-13
45
rebounds
56
26
assists
29
14
turnovers
18
40
points in paint
48
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Michael Porter Jr.BKN3532113
Pascal SiakamIND3623610
Nic ClaxtonBKN3418106
Ben SheppardIND351843
Noah ClowneyBKN301741
Tyrese MartinBKN271652

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
IND +10
BKN +10
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: IND 8 · BKN 10lead changes: 12

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BKN 18%, IND 82% · Updated Nov 5, 2025

Expected margin
IND by 11.9
Expected score
IND 119.1 – 107.2 BKN
Expected total
226.3
NetsThe matchupPacers
+448Our fair odds−448
107.2Expected points119.1
−0.94Power rating+0.35
111.9Points / game112.9
127.6Allowed / game120.6
44.3FG%40.7
32.13P%30.1
39.7Rebounds / game48.7
0−7Season record1−6
0−10Last 102−8
Ben Saraf · Danny Wolf
Drake Powell · Haywood Highsmith
Nolan TraoreOut (5 each)Andrew Nembhard · Bennedict Mathurin
Johnny Furphy · Kam Jones
Obi Toppin

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · IND chance
Our model fair18.3%81.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BKNBrooklyn Nets+44818%————
INDIndiana Pacers−44882%————
SpreadIND by 11.9
BKNBrooklyn Nets+11.9our margin————
INDIndiana Pacers−11.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 226.3
Over226.3our total————
Under226.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Indiana Pacers by 11.9 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 53 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 52 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 51 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 50 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 49 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Indiana Pacers by 1 point: 2%Indiana Pacers by 2 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 3 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 4 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 5 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 6 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 7 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 8 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 9 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 10 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 11 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 12 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 13 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 14 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 15 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 16 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 17 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 18 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 19 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 20 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 21 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 22 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 23 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 24 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 25 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 26 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 27 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 28 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 29 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 30 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 31 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 32 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 33 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 34 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 35 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 36 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 37 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 38 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 39 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 40 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 41 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 42 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 43 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 44 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 45 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 46 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 47 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 48 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 49 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 50 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 51 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 52 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 53 points: <1%
← BKN wins byIND wins by →
Indiana Pacers wins by 5 or more71%
Indiana Pacers wins by 10 or more56%
Indiana Pacers wins by 15 or more41%
Within 5 points either way19%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

226.3 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 216.569%
Total over 226.549%
Total over 236.530%
Total from 217 to 23639%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GCam Thomasstarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted
Indiana Pacers
GAaron Nesmithstarted
GBen Sheppardstarted
FPascal Siakamstarted
FIsaiah Jacksonstarted
FJarace Walkerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BKN·IND
Nov 3, 2025 vs MIN
last game
Nov 3, 2025 vs MIL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
4th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 4, 5:00 PM ET
Brooklyn Nets
BKNBen Saraf · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNDanny Wolf · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNDrake Powell · right ankle; sprainOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNNolan Traore · g league - on assignmentOut
Indiana Pacers
INDAndrew Nembhard · left shoulder; strainOut
INDBennedict Mathurin · right great toe; strainOut
INDJohnny Furphy · left ankle; sprainOut
INDKam Jones · lower back; stress reactionOut
INDObi Toppin · right foot; stress fractureOut
INDQuenton Jackson · right hamstring; strainOut
INDT.J. McConnell · left hamstring; strainOut
INDTyrese Haliburton · right achilles tendon; tearOut
INDRayJ Dennis · low back; sprainProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
BKN·IND
−0.94
rating (0 = average)
+0.35
111.9
points / game
112.9
127.6
points allowed / game
120.6
0−7
season record
1−6
0−4
home record
1−3
0−3
away record
0−3
L7
streak
L1
0−10
last 10
2−8
44.3
FG%
40.7
32.1
3P%
30.1
39.7
rebounds / game
48.7
24.0
assists / game
23.0
15.7
turnovers / game
13.4
43.4
points in paint / game
47.7

Rating Trend

BKN · IND · 9 days
Brooklyn NetsIndiana Pacers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · IND 6−4
Mar 22, 2025at INDIND 108 − 103
Mar 20, 2025at INDIND 105 − 99
Jan 6, 2025at BKNIND 113 − 99
Dec 4, 2024at BKNBKN 99 − 90
Apr 3, 2024at BKNBKN 115 − 111
Apr 1, 2024at INDIND 133 − 111
Mar 16, 2024at INDIND 121 − 100
Dec 10, 2022at INDBKN 136 − 133
Nov 25, 2022at INDIND 128 − 117
Oct 31, 2022at BKNBKN 116 − 109

BKN · Last 10

0−10 · streak L10
Nov 3, 2025vs MIN109 − 125L
Nov 2, 2025vs PHI105 − 129L
Oct 29, 2025vs ATL112 − 117L
Oct 27, 2025at HOU109 − 137L
Oct 26, 2025at SA107 − 118L
Oct 24, 2025vs CLE124 − 131L
Oct 22, 2025at CHA117 − 136L
Apr 13, 2025vs NY105 − 113L
Apr 11, 2025at MIN91 − 117L
Apr 10, 2025vs ATL109 − 133L

IND · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Nov 3, 2025vs MIL115 − 117L
Nov 1, 2025vs GS114 − 109W
Oct 31, 2025vs ATL108 − 128L
Oct 29, 2025at DAL105 − 107L
Oct 26, 2025at MIN110 − 114L
Oct 25, 2025at MEM103 − 128L
Oct 23, 2025vs OKC135 − 141L
Jun 22, 2025at OKC91 − 103L
Jun 19, 2025vs OKC108 − 91W
Jun 16, 2025at OKC109 − 120L