bayesRatings

76ers at Nets

NBA · Sunday, Nov 2 · 5:00 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final PHI 129 – BKN 105
← NBA / Nov 2, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHI40331739129
BKN37182327105
Team box
PHI·BKN
50-96
field goals
39-91
15-40
3-pointers
7-39
14-17
free throws
20-26
44
rebounds
44
34
assists
21
15
turnovers
19
68
points in paint
60
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kelly Oubre Jr.PHI332930
Cam ThomasBKN352911
Tyrese MaxeyPHI392667
Quentin GrimesPHI3222613
Nic ClaxtonBKN341975
Michael Porter Jr.BKN3117172

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +28
PHI +28
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BKN 6 · PHI 28lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHI 54%, BKN 46% · Updated Nov 2, 2025

Expected margin
PHI by 2.7
Expected score
PHI 111.3 – 108.7 BKN
Expected total
220.0
76ersThe matchupNets
−117Our fair odds+117
111.3Expected points108.7
−0.45Power rating−0.84
125.0Points / game113.8
120.8Allowed / game127.8
46.8FG%45.4
41.03P%35.4
42.8Rebounds / game38.8
4−1Season record0−5
5−5Last 101−9
Dominick Barlow · Jared McCain
Joel Embiid · Paul GeorgeOutDanny Wolf · Haywood Highsmith

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHI chance · BKN chance
Our model fair53.9%46.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−11754%————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+11746%————
SpreadPHI by 2.7
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−2.7our margin————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+2.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 220.0
Over220.0our total————
Under220.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Philadelphia 76ers by 2.7 expected
Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%
← PHI wins byBKN wins by →
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 5 or more47%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 10 or more33%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

220.0 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 210.568%
Total over 220.549%
Total over 230.529%
Total from 211 to 23039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Philadelphia 76ers
GKelly Oubre Jr.started
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FJabari Walkerstarted
CAdem Bonastarted
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GTyrese Martinstarted
GCam Thomasstarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
CNic Claxtonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHI·BKN
Oct 31, 2025 vs BOS
last game
Oct 29, 2025 vs ATL
1 day
days of rest
3 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 2, 5:00 PM ET
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIDominick Barlow · right elbow;Out
PHIJared McCain · right thumb; surgery recoveryOut
PHIJoel Embiid · left knee; injury recoveryOut
PHIPaul George · left knee; surgery recoveryOut
Brooklyn Nets
BKNDanny Wolf · left ankle; sprainOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
PHI·BKN
−0.45
rating (0 = average)
−0.84
125.0
points / game
113.8
120.8
points allowed / game
127.8
4−1
season record
0−5
2−1
home record
0−2
2−0
away record
0−3
L1
streak
L5
5−5
last 10
1−9
46.8
FG%
45.4
41.0
3P%
35.4
42.8
rebounds / game
38.8
26.0
assists / game
24.4
13.6
turnovers / game
15.8
44.4
points in paint / game
42.0

Rating Trend

PHI · BKN · 6 days
Philadelphia 76ersBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BKN 4−6
Feb 22, 2025at PHIBKN 105 − 103
Feb 12, 2025at BKNBKN 100 − 96
Jan 4, 2025at BKNPHI 123 − 94
Nov 22, 2024at PHIPHI 113 − 98
Apr 14, 2024at PHIPHI 107 − 86
Mar 5, 2024at BKNBKN 112 − 107
Feb 3, 2024at PHIBKN 136 − 121
Nov 19, 2023at BKNPHI 121 − 99
Apr 22, 2023at BKNPHI 96 − 88post
Apr 20, 2023at BKNPHI 102 − 97post

PHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Oct 31, 2025vs BOS108 − 109L
Oct 28, 2025at WSH139 − 134W
Oct 27, 2025vs ORL136 − 124W
Oct 25, 2025vs CHA125 − 121W
Oct 22, 2025at BOS117 − 116W
Apr 13, 2025vs CHI102 − 122L
Apr 11, 2025vs ATL110 − 124L
Apr 9, 2025at WSH122 − 103W
Apr 7, 2025at MIA105 − 117L
Apr 5, 2025vs MIN109 − 114L

BKN · Last 10

1−9 · streak L8
Oct 29, 2025vs ATL112 − 117L
Oct 27, 2025at HOU109 − 137L
Oct 26, 2025at SA107 − 118L
Oct 24, 2025vs CLE124 − 131L
Oct 22, 2025at CHA117 − 136L
Apr 13, 2025vs NY105 − 113L
Apr 11, 2025at MIN91 − 117L
Apr 10, 2025vs ATL109 − 133L
Apr 8, 2025vs NO119 − 114W
Apr 6, 2025vs TOR109 − 120L