bayesRatings

Timberwolves at Nets

NBA · Monday, Nov 3 · 6:00 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final MIN 125 – BKN 109
← NBA / Nov 3, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MIN28352834125
BKN28312921109
Team box
MIN·BKN
44-78
field goals
36-89
14-35
3-pointers
12-40
23-35
free throws
25-38
53
rebounds
40
33
assists
25
17
turnovers
12
56
points in paint
34
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Donte DiVincenzoMIN302595
Cam ThomasBKN352523
Jaden McDanielsMIN292233
Naz ReidMIN242132
Julius RandleMIN34191110
Nic ClaxtonBKN301987

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +22
MIN +22
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BKN 7 · MIN 22lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MIN 76%, BKN 24% · Updated Nov 3, 2025

Expected margin
MIN by 10.3
Expected score
MIN 112.8 – 102.4 BKN
Expected total
215.2
TimberwolvesThe matchupNets
−315Our fair odds+315
112.8Expected points102.4
+0.57Power rating−0.84
115.5Points / game112.3
116.7Allowed / game128.0
48.8FG%45.0
40.33P%32.5
39.7Rebounds / game39.7
3−3Season record0−6
4−6Last 101−9
Anthony Edwards · Enrique Freeman
Rocco ZikarskyOut (3 each)Drake Powell · Haywood Highsmith
Michael Porter Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MIN chance · BKN chance
Our model fair75.9%24.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−31576%————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+31524%————
SpreadMIN by 10.3
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−10.3our margin————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+10.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 215.2
Over215.2our total————
Under215.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Minnesota Timberwolves by 10.3 expected
Minnesota Timberwolves by 49 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 48 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 47 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 46 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 45 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 44 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 43 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 42 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 41 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 40 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 39 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 38 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 37 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 36 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 35 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 34 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 33 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 32 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 31 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 30 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 29 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 28 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 27 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 26 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 25 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 24 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 23 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 22 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 21 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 20 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 19 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 18 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 17 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 16 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 15 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 14 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 13 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 12 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 11 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 10 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 9 points: 4%Minnesota Timberwolves by 8 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 7 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 6 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 5 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 4 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 3 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 2 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 49 points: <1%
← MIN wins byBKN wins by →
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 5 or more69%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 10 or more53%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 15 or more36%
Within 5 points either way19%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

215.2 expected
171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: 1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 2%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: <1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 205.569%
Total over 215.549%
Total over 225.529%
Total from 206 to 22540%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Minnesota Timberwolves
GMike Conleystarted
GDonte DiVincenzostarted
FJulius Randlestarted
FJaden McDanielsstarted
CRudy Gobertstarted
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GTyrese Martinstarted
GCam Thomasstarted
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MIN·BKN
Nov 1, 2025 at CHA
last game
Nov 2, 2025 vs PHI
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 3, 5:00 PM ET
Minnesota Timberwolves
MINAnthony Edwards · right hamstring; strainOut
MINEnrique Freeman · g league - two-wayOut
MINRocco Zikarsky · g league - two-wayOut
Brooklyn Nets
BKNDrake Powell · right ankle; sprainOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNMichael Porter Jr. · personal reasonsOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 6+ games
MIN·BKN
+0.57
rating (0 = average)
−0.84
115.5
points / game
112.3
116.7
points allowed / game
128.0
3−3
season record
0−6
1−2
home record
0−3
2−1
away record
0−3
W1
streak
L6
4−6
last 10
1−9
48.8
FG%
45.0
40.3
3P%
32.5
39.7
rebounds / game
39.7
24.0
assists / game
23.8
14.7
turnovers / game
16.3
49.3
points in paint / game
45.0

Rating Trend

MIN · BKN · 7 days
Minnesota TimberwolvesBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · BKN 2−6
Apr 11, 2025at MINMIN 117 − 91
Apr 3, 2025at BKNMIN 105 − 90
Feb 24, 2024at MINMIN 101 − 86
Jan 25, 2024at BKNMIN 96 − 94
Apr 4, 2023at BKNMIN 107 − 102
Mar 10, 2023at MINBKN 124 − 123
Jan 23, 2022at MINMIN 136 − 125
Dec 3, 2021at BKNBKN 110 − 105

MIN · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Nov 1, 2025at CHA122 − 105W
Oct 29, 2025vs LAL115 − 116L
Oct 27, 2025vs DEN114 − 127L
Oct 26, 2025vs IND114 − 110W
Oct 24, 2025at LAL110 − 128L
Oct 22, 2025at POR118 − 114W
May 28, 2025at OKC94 − 124L
May 26, 2025vs OKC126 − 128L
May 24, 2025vs OKC143 − 101W
May 22, 2025at OKC103 − 118L

BKN · Last 10

1−9 · streak L9
Nov 2, 2025vs PHI105 − 129L
Oct 29, 2025vs ATL112 − 117L
Oct 27, 2025at HOU109 − 137L
Oct 26, 2025at SA107 − 118L
Oct 24, 2025vs CLE124 − 131L
Oct 22, 2025at CHA117 − 136L
Apr 13, 2025vs NY105 − 113L
Apr 11, 2025at MIN91 − 117L
Apr 10, 2025vs ATL109 − 133L
Apr 8, 2025vs NO119 − 114W