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Lakers at Timberwolves

NBA · Wednesday, Oct 29 · 8:30 PM CT · Target Center · Final LAL 116 – MIN 115
← NBA / Oct 29, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAL32303519116
MIN34242829115
Team box
LAL·MIN
45-83
field goals
41-82
11-31
3-pointers
15-30
15-22
free throws
18-22
40
rebounds
34
34
assists
30
19
turnovers
18
60
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Julius RandleMIN363356
Jaden McDanielsMIN413071
Austin ReavesLAL4028116
Jake LaRaviaLAL372782
Deandre AytonLAL3517103
Rui HachimuraLAL371754

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
MIN +20
LAL +20
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: MIN 9 · LAL 20lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAL 36%, MIN 64% · Updated Oct 29, 2025

Expected margin
MIN by 6.1
Expected score
MIN 114.0 – 108.0 LAL
Expected total
222.0
LakersThe matchupTimberwolves
+177Our fair odds−177
108.0Expected points114.0
+0.22Power rating+0.57
118.0Points / game114.0
117.8Allowed / game119.8
52.5FG%47.2
31.03P%36.2
41.5Rebounds / game41.5
2−2Season record2−2
3−7Last 104−6
Adou Thiero · Gabe Vincent
LeBron James · Luka Doncic
Marcus SmartOutAnthony Edwards · Enrique Freeman
Rocco Zikarsky

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAL chance · MIN chance
Our model fair36.1%63.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LALLos Angeles Lakers+17736%————
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−17764%————
SpreadMIN by 6.1
LALLos Angeles Lakers+6.1our margin————
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−6.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 222.0
Over222.0our total————
Under222.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Minnesota Timberwolves by 6.1 expected
Los Angeles Lakers by 48 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 47 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 46 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 45 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 1 point: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 2 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 3 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 4 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 5 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 6 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 7 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 8 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 9 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 10 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 11 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 12 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 13 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 14 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 15 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 16 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 17 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 18 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 19 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 20 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 21 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 22 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 23 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 24 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 25 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 26 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 27 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 28 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 29 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 30 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 31 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 32 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 33 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 34 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 35 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 36 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 37 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 38 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 39 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 40 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 41 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 42 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 43 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 44 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 45 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 46 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 47 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 48 points: <1%
← LAL wins byMIN wins by →
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 5 or more57%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 10 or more41%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

222.0 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 212.568%
Total over 222.549%
Total over 232.529%
Total from 213 to 23239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Los Angeles Lakers
GAustin Reavesstarted
FRui Hachimurastarted
FJarred Vanderbiltstarted
FJake LaRaviastarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted
Minnesota Timberwolves
GMike Conleystarted
GDonte DiVincenzostarted
FJulius Randlestarted
FJaden McDanielsstarted
CRudy Gobertstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAL·MIN
Oct 27, 2025 vs POR
last game
Oct 27, 2025 vs DEN
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 29, 5:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAdou Thiero · left knee; surgery recoveryOut
LALGabe Vincent · left ankle; sprainOut
LALLeBron James · right sciatica; -Out
LALLuka Doncic · left finger; sprain; lower left leg contusionOut
LALMarcus Smart · right quad; contusionOut
LALMaxi Kleber · abdominal muscle; strainOut
Minnesota Timberwolves
MINAnthony Edwards · right hamstring; strainOut
MINEnrique Freeman · g league - two-wayOut
MINRocco Zikarsky · g league - two-wayOut
MINJaylen Clark · left calf; strainQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
LAL·MIN
+0.22
rating (0 = average)
+0.57
118.0
points / game
114.0
117.8
points allowed / game
119.8
2−2
season record
2−2
1−2
home record
1−1
1−0
away record
1−1
L1
streak
L1
3−7
last 10
4−6
52.5
FG%
47.2
31.0
3P%
36.2
41.5
rebounds / game
41.5
24.5
assists / game
20.8
18.5
turnovers / game
15.0
56.0
points in paint / game
49.0

Rating Trend

LAL · MIN · 2 days
Los Angeles LakersMinnesota Timberwolves
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · MIN 6−4
Oct 24, 2025at LALLAL 128 − 110
Apr 30, 2025at LALMIN 103 − 96post
Apr 27, 2025at MINMIN 116 − 113post
Apr 25, 2025at MINMIN 116 − 104post
Apr 22, 2025at LALLAL 94 − 85post
Apr 19, 2025at LALMIN 117 − 95post
Feb 27, 2025at LALLAL 111 − 102
Dec 13, 2024at MINMIN 97 − 87
Dec 2, 2024at MINMIN 109 − 80
Oct 22, 2024at LALLAL 110 − 103

LAL · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Oct 27, 2025vs POR108 − 122L
Oct 26, 2025at SAC127 − 120W
Oct 24, 2025vs MIN128 − 110W
Oct 21, 2025vs GS109 − 119L
Apr 30, 2025vs MIN96 − 103L
Apr 27, 2025at MIN113 − 116L
Apr 25, 2025at MIN104 − 116L
Apr 22, 2025vs MIN94 − 85W
Apr 19, 2025vs MIN95 − 117L
Apr 13, 2025at POR81 − 109L

MIN · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Oct 27, 2025vs DEN114 − 127L
Oct 26, 2025vs IND114 − 110W
Oct 24, 2025at LAL110 − 128L
Oct 22, 2025at POR118 − 114W
May 28, 2025at OKC94 − 124L
May 26, 2025vs OKC126 − 128L
May 24, 2025vs OKC143 − 101W
May 22, 2025at OKC103 − 118L
May 20, 2025at OKC88 − 114L
May 14, 2025vs GS121 − 110W