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Hornets at Pelicans

NBA · Tuesday, Nov 4 · 7:00 PM CT · Smoothie King Center · Final CHA 112 – NO 116
← NBA / Nov 4, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHA30293419112
NO33282629116
Team box
CHA·NO
39-82
field goals
43-90
13-38
3-pointers
17-38
21-28
free throws
13-19
49
rebounds
39
20
assists
27
20
turnovers
13
48
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Miles BridgesCHA372283
Trey Murphy IIINO372133
Kon KnueppelCHA3220122
Jose AlvaradoNO311836
Tre MannCHA241822
Collin SextonCHA301705

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NO +12
CHA +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NO 12 · CHA 9lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHA 39%, NO 61% · Updated Nov 4, 2025

Expected margin
NO by 1.5
Expected score
NO 112.8 – 111.3 CHA
Expected total
224.1
HornetsThe matchupPelicans
+158Our fair odds−158
111.3Expected points112.8
−1.04Power rating−0.81
121.6Points / game107.7
121.0Allowed / game125.8
48.0FG%42.0
38.93P%33.8
45.7Rebounds / game40.7
3−4Season record0−6
3−7Last 100−10
Antonio Reeves · Brandon Miller
Drew Peterson · Grant Williams
Josh GreenOut (5 each)Bryce McGowens · Dejounte Murray
Hunter Dickinson · Trey Alexander
Yves Missi

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · NO chance
Our model fair38.8%61.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets+15839%————
NONew Orleans Pelicans−15861%————
SpreadNO by 1.5
CHACharlotte Hornets+1.5our margin————
NONew Orleans Pelicans−1.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.1
Over224.1our total————
Under224.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New Orleans Pelicans by 1.5 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 3%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 1 point: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 2 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 3 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 4 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 5 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 6 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 7 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 8 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 9 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 10 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 11 points: 3%New Orleans Pelicans by 12 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 13 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 14 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 15 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 16 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 17 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 18 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 19 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 20 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 21 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 22 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 23 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 24 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 25 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 26 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 27 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 28 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 29 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 30 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 31 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 32 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 33 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 34 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 35 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 36 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 37 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 38 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 39 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 40 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 41 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 42 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 43 points: <1%
← CHA wins byNO wins by →
New Orleans Pelicans wins by 5 or more44%
New Orleans Pelicans wins by 10 or more30%
New Orleans Pelicans wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

224.1 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.568%
Total over 224.549%
Total over 234.529%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GCollin Sextonstarted
GSion Jamesstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
CRyan Kalkbrennerstarted
New Orleans Pelicans
GJordan Poolestarted
GJeremiah Fearsstarted
FKevon Looneystarted
FHerbert Jonesstarted
FTrey Murphy IIIstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·NO
Nov 2, 2025 vs UTAH
last game
Nov 2, 2025 at OKC
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 4, 5:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHAAntonio Reeves · g league - two-wayOut
CHABrandon Miller · left shoulder; subluxationOut
CHADrew Peterson · g league - two-wayOut
CHAGrant Williams · right knee; surgeryOut
CHAJosh Green · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHALaMelo Ball · right ankle; impingementOut
CHATidjane Salaun · g league - on assignmentOut
New Orleans Pelicans
NOBryce McGowens · g league - two-wayOut
NODejounte Murray · right achilles; ruptureOut
NOHunter Dickinson · g league - two-wayOut
NOTrey Alexander · g league - two-wayOut
NOYves Missi · n/a; illnessOut
NOZion Williamson · left hamstring; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 6+ games
CHA·NO
−1.04
rating (0 = average)
−0.81
121.6
points / game
107.7
121.0
points allowed / game
125.8
3−4
season record
0−6
2−2
home record
0−2
1−2
away record
0−4
W1
streak
L6
3−7
last 10
0−10
48.0
FG%
42.0
38.9
3P%
33.8
45.7
rebounds / game
40.7
28.1
assists / game
22.0
16.3
turnovers / game
15.0
51.4
points in paint / game
48.3

Rating Trend

CHA · NO · 8 days
Charlotte HornetsNew Orleans Pelicans
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · NO 5−3
Mar 30, 2025at NONO 98 − 94
Jan 25, 2025at CHACHA 123 − 92
Jan 17, 2024at NONO 132 − 112
Dec 15, 2023at CHANO 112 − 107
Mar 23, 2023at NONO 115 − 96
Oct 21, 2022at CHANO 124 − 112
Mar 21, 2022at CHACHA 106 − 103
Mar 11, 2022at NOCHA 142 − 120

CHA · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Nov 2, 2025vs UTAH126 − 103W
Nov 1, 2025vs MIN105 − 122L
Oct 30, 2025vs ORL107 − 123L
Oct 28, 2025at MIA117 − 144L
Oct 26, 2025at WSH139 − 113W
Oct 25, 2025at PHI121 − 125L
Oct 22, 2025vs BKN136 − 117W
Apr 13, 2025at BOS86 − 93L
Apr 11, 2025at BOS94 − 130L
Apr 9, 2025at TOR96 − 126L

NO · Last 10

0−10 · streak L10
Nov 2, 2025at OKC106 − 137L
Oct 31, 2025at LAC124 − 126L
Oct 29, 2025at DEN88 − 122L
Oct 27, 2025vs BOS90 − 122L
Oct 24, 2025vs SA116 − 120L
Oct 22, 2025at MEM122 − 128L
Apr 13, 2025vs OKC100 − 115L
Apr 11, 2025vs MIA104 − 153L
Apr 10, 2025at MIL111 − 136L
Apr 8, 2025at BKN114 − 119L