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Magic at Hornets

NBA · Thursday, Oct 30 · 6:00 PM CT · Spectrum Center · Final ORL 123 – CHA 107
← NBA / Oct 30, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ORL38332131123
CHA31272722107
Team box
ORL·CHA
45-87
field goals
42-83
16-38
3-pointers
11-30
17-23
free throws
12-15
38
rebounds
41
29
assists
24
13
turnovers
21
54
points in paint
60
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Franz WagnerORL342153
Paolo BancheroORL332099
Anthony BlackORL312012
Collin SextonCHA251924
Tristan da SilvaORL221931
Wendell Carter Jr.ORL271883

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHA +20
ORL +20
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHA 0 · ORL 20lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ORL 66%, CHA 34% · Updated Oct 30, 2025

Expected margin
ORL by 6.2
Expected score
ORL 107.2 – 101.1 CHA
Expected total
208.3
MagicThe matchupHornets
−192Our fair odds+192
107.2Expected points101.1
−0.10Power rating−1.00
114.0Points / game128.2
122.6Allowed / game124.8
46.8FG%49.0
30.63P%41.0
46.0Rebounds / game47.0
1−4Season record2−2
2−8Last 102−8
Colin Castleton · Jalen Suggs
Jamal Cain · Moritz WagnerOutAntonio Reeves · Brandon Miller
Drew Peterson · Grant Williams
Josh Green

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · CHA chance
Our model fair65.8%34.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic−19266%————
CHACharlotte Hornets+19234%————
SpreadORL by 6.2
ORLOrlando Magic−6.2our margin————
CHACharlotte Hornets+6.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 208.3
Over208.3our total————
Under208.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 6.2 expected
Orlando Magic by 47 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 46 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%
← ORL wins byCHA wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more57%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more41%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

208.3 expected
169 points: <1%170 points: <1%171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: 1%176 points: 1%177 points: 1%178 points: 1%179 points: 1%180 points: 1%181 points: 1%182 points: 1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 2%193 points: 2%194 points: 2%195 points: 2%196 points: 2%197 points: 2%198 points: 2%199 points: 2%200 points: 2%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 1%227 points: 1%228 points: 1%229 points: 1%230 points: 1%231 points: 1%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: <1%241 points: <1%242 points: <1%243 points: <1%244 points: <1%245 points: <1%246 points: <1%247 points: <1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 198.569%
Total over 208.549%
Total over 218.528%
Total from 199 to 21841%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GAnthony Blackstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
FFranz Wagnerstarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GSion Jamesstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
CRyan Kalkbrennerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·CHA
Oct 29, 2025 at DET
last game
Oct 28, 2025 at MIA
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 30, 5:00 PM ET
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · not with teamOut
ORLJalen Suggs · left knee; injury managementOut
ORLJamal Cain · not with teamOut
ORLMoritz Wagner · left knee; injury recoveryOut
ORLFranz Wagner · left heel; contusionQuestionable
Charlotte Hornets
CHAAntonio Reeves · g league - two-wayOut
CHABrandon Miller · left shoulder; subluxationOut
CHADrew Peterson · g league - two-wayOut
CHAGrant Williams · right knee; surgeryOut
CHAJosh Green · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHAKJ Simpson · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
ORL·CHA
−0.10
rating (0 = average)
−1.00
114.0
points / game
128.2
122.6
points allowed / game
124.8
1−4
season record
2−2
1−2
home record
1−0
0−2
away record
1−2
L4
streak
L1
2−8
last 10
2−8
46.8
FG%
49.0
30.6
3P%
41.0
46.0
rebounds / game
47.0
21.0
assists / game
29.8
17.4
turnovers / game
16.0
55.2
points in paint / game
53.5

Rating Trend

ORL · CHA · 3 days
Orlando MagicCharlotte Hornets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHA 1−9
Mar 25, 2025at CHAORL 111 − 104
Feb 12, 2025at ORLORL 102 − 86
Nov 25, 2024at CHAORL 95 − 84
Nov 12, 2024at ORLORL 114 − 89
Apr 5, 2024at CHACHA 124 − 115
Mar 19, 2024at ORLORL 112 − 92
Mar 5, 2024at CHAORL 101 − 89
Nov 26, 2023at ORLORL 130 − 117
Mar 3, 2023at CHAORL 117 − 106
Feb 5, 2023at CHAORL 119 − 113

ORL · Last 10

2−8 · streak L4
Oct 29, 2025at DET116 − 135L
Oct 27, 2025at PHI124 − 136L
Oct 25, 2025vs CHI98 − 110L
Oct 24, 2025vs ATL107 − 111L
Oct 22, 2025vs MIA125 − 121W
Apr 29, 2025at BOS89 − 120L
Apr 27, 2025vs BOS98 − 107L
Apr 25, 2025vs BOS95 − 93W
Apr 23, 2025at BOS100 − 109L
Apr 20, 2025at BOS86 − 103L

CHA · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Oct 28, 2025at MIA117 − 144L
Oct 26, 2025at WSH139 − 113W
Oct 25, 2025at PHI121 − 125L
Oct 22, 2025vs BKN136 − 117W
Apr 13, 2025at BOS86 − 93L
Apr 11, 2025at BOS94 − 130L
Apr 9, 2025at TOR96 − 126L
Apr 8, 2025vs MEM100 − 124L
Apr 6, 2025vs CHI117 − 131L
Apr 4, 2025vs SAC102 − 125L