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Magic at Pistons

NBA · Wednesday, Oct 29 · 6:00 PM CT · Little Caesars Arena · Final ORL 116 – DET 135
← NBA / Oct 29, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ORL36282824116
DET29363634135
Team box
ORL·DET
38-83
field goals
46-93
12-31
3-pointers
13-32
28-40
free throws
30-34
43
rebounds
46
22
assists
29
17
turnovers
14
48
points in paint
64
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Cade CunninghamDET3630610
Paolo BancheroORL3524117
Tobias HarrisDET302323
Franz WagnerORL332272
Jalen DurenDET3321132
Duncan RobinsonDET291552

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DET +24
ORL +24
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DET 24 · ORL 10lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ORL 42%, DET 58% · Updated Oct 29, 2025

Expected margin
DET by 3.1
Expected score
DET 108.8 – 105.7 ORL
Expected total
214.4
MagicThe matchupPistons
+138Our fair odds−138
105.7Expected points108.8
−0.10Power rating−0.01
113.5Points / game110.0
119.5Allowed / game113.8
47.0FG%42.8
28.53P%32.0
46.8Rebounds / game49.2
1−3Season record2−2
2−8Last 104−6
Colin Castleton · Jamal Cain
Moritz WagnerOutJaden Ivey

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · DET chance
Our model fair42.0%58.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic+13842%————
DETDetroit Pistons−13858%————
SpreadDET by 3.1
ORLOrlando Magic+3.1our margin————
DETDetroit Pistons−3.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 214.4
Over214.4our total————
Under214.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 3.1 expected
Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%
← ORL wins byDET wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more49%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more34%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

214.4 expected
171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: 1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 2%200 points: 2%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 1%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: <1%247 points: <1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 204.569%
Total over 214.549%
Total over 224.530%
Total from 205 to 22440%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
FFranz Wagnerstarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FTobias Harrisstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
CJalen Durenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·DET
Oct 27, 2025 at PHI
last game
Oct 27, 2025 vs CLE
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 28, 5:00 PM ET
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · not with teamOut
ORLJamal Cain · not with teamOut
ORLMoritz Wagner · left knee; injury recoveryOut
Detroit Pistons
DETJaden Ivey · right knee; arthroscopyOut
DETAusar Thompson · n/a; illnessQuestionable
DETCaris LeVert · left hamstring; injury recoveryQuestionable
DETMarcus Sasser · right hip; impingementQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
ORL·DET
−0.10
rating (0 = average)
−0.01
113.5
points / game
110.0
119.5
points allowed / game
113.8
1−3
season record
2−2
1−2
home record
1−1
0−1
away record
1−1
L3
streak
L1
2−8
last 10
4−6
47.0
FG%
42.8
28.5
3P%
32.0
46.8
rebounds / game
49.2
20.8
assists / game
24.2
17.5
turnovers / game
17.5
57.0
points in paint / game
53.0

Rating Trend

ORL · DET · 2 days
Orlando MagicDetroit Pistons
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · DET 2−8
Jan 25, 2025at ORLORL 121 − 113
Jan 1, 2025at DETDET 105 − 96
Nov 23, 2024at ORLORL 111 − 100
Mar 3, 2024at ORLORL 113 − 91
Feb 24, 2024at DETORL 112 − 109
Feb 4, 2024at DETORL 111 − 99
Dec 8, 2023at ORLORL 123 − 91
Apr 2, 2023at ORLORL 128 − 102
Feb 23, 2023at ORLORL 108 − 106
Dec 28, 2022at DETDET 121 − 101

ORL · Last 10

2−8 · streak L3
Oct 27, 2025at PHI124 − 136L
Oct 25, 2025vs CHI98 − 110L
Oct 24, 2025vs ATL107 − 111L
Oct 22, 2025vs MIA125 − 121W
Apr 29, 2025at BOS89 − 120L
Apr 27, 2025vs BOS98 − 107L
Apr 25, 2025vs BOS95 − 93W
Apr 23, 2025at BOS100 − 109L
Apr 20, 2025at BOS86 − 103L
Apr 13, 2025at ATL105 − 117L

DET · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Oct 27, 2025vs CLE95 − 116L
Oct 26, 2025vs BOS119 − 113W
Oct 24, 2025at HOU115 − 111W
Oct 22, 2025at CHI111 − 115L
May 1, 2025vs NY113 − 116L
Apr 29, 2025at NY106 − 103W
Apr 27, 2025vs NY93 − 94L
Apr 24, 2025vs NY116 − 118L
Apr 21, 2025at NY100 − 94W
Apr 19, 2025at NY112 − 123L