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Hornets at Raptors

NBA · Monday, Nov 17 · 6:30 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena · Final CHA 108 – TOR 110
← NBA / Nov 17, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHA24283125108
TOR28292825110
Team box
CHA·TOR
37-87
field goals
44-88
10-40
3-pointers
10-25
24-30
free throws
12-16
48
rebounds
43
19
assists
25
16
turnovers
17
50
points in paint
58
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Brandon IngramTOR372763
Kon KnueppelCHA362471
Miles BridgesCHA382283
LaMelo BallCHA282058
Collin SextonCHA281732
Scottie BarnesTOR331666

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TOR +12
CHA +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: TOR 12 · CHA 2lead changes: 10

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHA 27%, TOR 73% · Updated Nov 17, 2025

Expected margin
TOR by 7.4
Expected score
TOR 116.0 – 108.6 CHA
Expected total
224.7
HornetsThe matchupRaptors
+269Our fair odds−269
108.6Expected points116.0
−1.10Power rating−0.34
117.2Points / game120.5
120.5Allowed / game115.7
46.5FG%49.8
37.33P%36.5
45.7Rebounds / game42.5
4−9Season record8−5
2−8Last 107−3
Brandon Miller · Grant Williams
Josh Green · Liam McNeeley
Tidjane SalaunOutAlijah Martin · Chucky Hepburn

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · TOR chance
Our model fair27.1%72.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets+26927%————
TORToronto Raptors−26973%————
SpreadTOR by 7.4
CHACharlotte Hornets+7.4our margin————
TORToronto Raptors−7.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.7
Over224.7our total————
Under224.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Toronto Raptors by 7.4 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 50 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 49 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 48 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 45 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 46 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 47 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 48 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 49 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 50 points: <1%
← CHA wins byTOR wins by →
Toronto Raptors wins by 5 or more60%
Toronto Raptors wins by 10 or more44%
Toronto Raptors wins by 15 or more30%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

224.7 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.570%
Total over 224.550%
Total over 234.530%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GSion Jamesstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
CRyan Kalkbrennerstarted
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
CJakob Poeltlstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·TOR
Nov 15, 2025 vs OKC
last game
Nov 15, 2025 at IND
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 17, 5:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHABrandon Miller · left shoulder; subluxationOut
CHAGrant Williams · right knee; surgeryOut
CHAJosh Green · left shoulder; shoulderOut
CHALiam McNeeley · n/a; illnessOut
CHATidjane Salaun · g league - on assignmentOut
Toronto Raptors
TORAlijah Martin · g league - two-wayOut
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TOROchai Agbaji · back; lumbar - strainDoubtful
TORJamison Battle · right knee; contusionQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
CHA·TOR
−1.10
rating (0 = average)
−0.34
117.2
points / game
120.5
120.5
points allowed / game
115.7
4−9
season record
8−5
3−4
home record
2−2
1−5
away record
6−3
L2
streak
W3
2−8
last 10
7−3
46.5
FG%
49.8
37.3
3P%
36.5
45.7
rebounds / game
42.5
26.8
assists / game
30.2
16.8
turnovers / game
13.9
49.7
points in paint / game
54.6

Rating Trend

CHA · TOR · 21 days
Charlotte HornetsToronto Raptors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · TOR 8−2
Apr 9, 2025at TORTOR 126 − 96
Mar 28, 2025at TORTOR 108 − 97
Oct 30, 2024at CHACHA 138 − 133
Mar 3, 2024at TORTOR 111 − 106
Feb 7, 2024at CHATOR 123 − 117
Dec 18, 2023at TORTOR 114 − 99
Dec 8, 2023at CHACHA 119 − 116
Apr 4, 2023at CHATOR 120 − 100
Apr 2, 2023at CHATOR 128 − 108
Jan 12, 2023at TORTOR 124 − 114

CHA · Last 10

2−8 · streak L2
Nov 15, 2025vs OKC96 − 109L
Nov 14, 2025at MIL134 − 147L
Nov 12, 2025vs MIL111 − 100W
Nov 10, 2025vs LAL111 − 121L
Nov 7, 2025at MIA108 − 126L
Nov 4, 2025at NO112 − 116L
Nov 2, 2025vs UTAH126 − 103W
Nov 1, 2025vs MIN105 − 122L
Oct 30, 2025vs ORL107 − 123L
Oct 28, 2025at MIA117 − 144L

TOR · Last 10

7−3 · streak W3
Nov 15, 2025at IND129 − 111W
Nov 13, 2025at CLE126 − 113W
Nov 11, 2025at BKN119 − 109W
Nov 8, 2025at PHI120 − 130L
Nov 7, 2025at ATL109 − 97W
Nov 4, 2025vs MIL128 − 100W
Nov 2, 2025vs MEM117 − 104W
Oct 31, 2025at CLE112 − 101W
Oct 29, 2025vs HOU121 − 139L
Oct 27, 2025at SA103 − 121L