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Raptors at Cavaliers

NBA · Friday, Oct 31 · 6:30 PM CT · Rocket Arena · Final TOR 112 – CLE 101
← NBA / Oct 31, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
TOR30183331112
CLE22213424101
Team box
TOR·CLE
40-82
field goals
36-90
13-30
3-pointers
14-46
19-24
free throws
15-23
48
rebounds
42
27
assists
24
18
turnovers
14
44
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Evan MobleyCLE362983
De'Andre HunterCLE342662
Brandon IngramTOR352085
RJ BarrettTOR362032
Jamison BattleTOR152010
Jaylon TysonCLE331834

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CLE +13
TOR +13
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CLE 10 · TOR 13lead changes: 11

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was TOR 17%, CLE 83% · Updated Oct 31, 2025

Expected margin
CLE by 14.4
Expected score
CLE 123.4 – 109.0 TOR
Expected total
232.3
RaptorsThe matchupCavaliers
+483Our fair odds−483
109.0Expected points123.4
−0.54Power rating+0.83
121.4Points / game116.2
127.8Allowed / game115.2
50.6FG%46.4
38.83P%35.6
36.0Rebounds / game40.4
1−4Season record3−2
3−7Last 104−6
A.J. Lawson · Alijah Martin
Chucky Hepburn · Jakob PoeltlOutDarius Garland · Max Strus
Sam Merrill

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
TOR chance · CLE chance
Our model fair17.1%82.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
TORToronto Raptors+48317%————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−48383%————
SpreadCLE by 14.4
TORToronto Raptors+14.4our margin————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−14.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 232.3
Over232.3our total————
Under232.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 14.4 expected
Toronto Raptors by 53 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 52 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 51 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 50 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 49 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 48 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 47 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 46 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 45 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 49 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 50 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 51 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 52 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 53 points: <1%
← TOR wins byCLE wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more77%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more63%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more48%
Within 5 points either way17%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

232.3 expected
182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 222.568%
Total over 232.549%
Total over 242.530%
Total from 223 to 24239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
FCollin Murray-Boylesstarted
Cleveland Cavaliers
GLonzo Ballstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
FDean Wadestarted
FDe'Andre Hunterstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
TOR·CLE
Oct 29, 2025 vs HOU
last game
Oct 29, 2025 at BOS
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 30, 5:00 PM ET
Toronto Raptors
TORA.J. Lawson · g league - two-wayOut
TORAlijah Martin · g league - two-wayOut
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORJakob Poeltl · low back; tightnessOut
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEDarius Garland · left great toe; surgical recoveryOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLESam Merrill · right hip; contusionOut
CLEDonovan Mitchell · left hamstring; tightnessQuestionable
CLEJarrett Allen · left hand; 4th finger - fractureQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
TOR·CLE
−0.54
rating (0 = average)
+0.83
121.4
points / game
116.2
127.8
points allowed / game
115.2
1−4
season record
3−2
0−2
home record
1−0
1−2
away record
2−2
L4
streak
L1
3−7
last 10
4−6
50.6
FG%
46.4
38.8
3P%
35.6
36.0
rebounds / game
40.4
30.4
assists / game
25.2
15.2
turnovers / game
16.6
55.6
points in paint / game
40.0

Rating Trend

TOR · CLE · 4 days
Toronto RaptorsCleveland Cavaliers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CLE 7−3
Feb 12, 2025at TORCLE 131 − 108
Jan 9, 2025at CLECLE 132 − 126
Nov 24, 2024at CLECLE 122 − 108
Oct 23, 2024at TORCLE 136 − 106
Feb 10, 2024at TORCLE 119 − 95
Jan 1, 2024at TORTOR 124 − 121
Nov 26, 2023at CLECLE 105 − 102
Feb 26, 2023at CLECLE 118 − 93
Dec 23, 2022at CLETOR 118 − 107
Nov 28, 2022at TORTOR 100 − 88

TOR · Last 10

3−7 · streak L4
Oct 29, 2025vs HOU121 − 139L
Oct 27, 2025at SA103 − 121L
Oct 26, 2025at DAL129 − 139L
Oct 24, 2025vs MIL116 − 122L
Oct 22, 2025at ATL138 − 118W
Apr 13, 2025at SA118 − 125L
Apr 11, 2025at DAL102 − 124L
Apr 9, 2025vs CHA126 − 96W
Apr 6, 2025at BKN120 − 109W
Apr 4, 2025vs DET105 − 117L

CLE · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Oct 29, 2025at BOS105 − 125L
Oct 27, 2025at DET116 − 95W
Oct 26, 2025vs MIL118 − 113W
Oct 24, 2025at BKN131 − 124W
Oct 22, 2025at NY111 − 119L
May 13, 2025vs IND105 − 114L
May 11, 2025at IND109 − 129L
May 9, 2025at IND126 − 104W
May 6, 2025vs IND119 − 120L
May 4, 2025vs IND112 − 121L