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Cavaliers at Celtics

NBA · Wednesday, Oct 29 · 6:00 PM CT · TD Garden · Final CLE 105 – BOS 125
← NBA / Oct 29, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CLE42182520105
BOS40352327125
Team box
CLE·BOS
35-87
field goals
42-95
17-52
3-pointers
21-57
18-24
free throws
20-24
42
rebounds
53
25
assists
29
14
turnovers
10
28
points in paint
34
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jaylen BrownBOS323054
Sam HauserBOS212131
Evan MobleyCLE3419114
Derrick WhiteBOS351954
Jaylon TysonCLE271951
De'Andre HunterCLE301862

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BOS +20
CLE +20
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BOS 20 · CLE 5lead changes: 9

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 44%, BOS 56% · Updated Oct 29, 2025

Expected margin
BOS by 4.8
Expected score
BOS 113.9 – 109.1 CLE
Expected total
223.0
CavaliersThe matchupCeltics
+130Our fair odds−130
109.1Expected points113.9
+0.83Power rating+0.86
119.0Points / game111.5
112.8Allowed / game107.8
48.0FG%44.8
36.23P%31.8
40.0Rebounds / game42.8
3−1Season record1−3
5−5Last 103−7
Darius Garland · Max Strus
Nae'Qwan Tomlin · Sam MerrillOut (4 each)Amari Williams · Jayson Tatum
Max Shulga · Ron Harper Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · BOS chance
Our model fair43.5%56.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers+13044%————
BOSBoston Celtics−13056%————
SpreadBOS by 4.8
CLECleveland Cavaliers+4.8our margin————
BOSBoston Celtics−4.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 223.0
Over223.0our total————
Under223.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 4.8 expected
Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%
← CLE wins byBOS wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more53%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more38%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more25%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

223.0 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.568%
Total over 223.549%
Total over 233.529%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
FDe'Andre Hunterstarted
CJarrett Allenstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
FJosh Minottstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·BOS
Oct 27, 2025 at DET
last game
Oct 27, 2025 at NO
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 29, 5:00 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEDarius Garland · left great toe; surgical recoveryOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLENae'Qwan Tomlin · g league - two-wayOut
CLESam Merrill · right hip; contusionOut
CLEDonovan Mitchell · left hamstring; tightnessQuestionable
Boston Celtics
BOSAmari Williams · g league - two-wayOut
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
BOSRon Harper Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
BOSJaylen Brown · left hamstring; strain injury managementProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
CLE·BOS
+0.83
rating (0 = average)
+0.86
119.0
points / game
111.5
112.8
points allowed / game
107.8
3−1
season record
1−3
1−0
home record
0−1
2−1
away record
1−2
W3
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
3−7
48.0
FG%
44.8
36.2
3P%
31.8
40.0
rebounds / game
42.8
25.2
assists / game
19.2
17.2
turnovers / game
12.2
43.0
points in paint / game
42.5

Rating Trend

CLE · BOS · 2 days
Cleveland CavaliersBoston Celtics
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BOS 6−4
Feb 28, 2025at BOSCLE 123 − 116
Feb 4, 2025at CLEBOS 112 − 105
Dec 1, 2024at CLECLE 115 − 111
Nov 19, 2024at BOSBOS 120 − 117
May 15, 2024at BOSBOS 113 − 98post
May 13, 2024at CLEBOS 109 − 102post
May 11, 2024at CLEBOS 106 − 93post
May 9, 2024at BOSCLE 118 − 94post
May 7, 2024at BOSBOS 120 − 95post
Mar 5, 2024at CLECLE 105 − 104

CLE · Last 10

5−5 · streak W3
Oct 27, 2025at DET116 − 95W
Oct 26, 2025vs MIL118 − 113W
Oct 24, 2025at BKN131 − 124W
Oct 22, 2025at NY111 − 119L
May 13, 2025vs IND105 − 114L
May 11, 2025at IND109 − 129L
May 9, 2025at IND126 − 104W
May 6, 2025vs IND119 − 120L
May 4, 2025vs IND112 − 121L
Apr 28, 2025at MIA138 − 83W

BOS · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Oct 27, 2025at NO122 − 90W
Oct 26, 2025at DET113 − 119L
Oct 24, 2025at NY95 − 105L
Oct 22, 2025vs PHI116 − 117L
May 16, 2025at NY81 − 119L
May 14, 2025vs NY127 − 102W
May 12, 2025at NY113 − 121L
May 10, 2025at NY115 − 93W
May 7, 2025vs NY90 − 91L
May 5, 2025vs NY105 − 108L