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Raptors at Cavaliers

NBA · Thursday, Nov 13 · 6:00 PM CT · Rocket Arena · Final TOR 126 – CLE 113

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
TOR29382336126
CLE30243128113
Team box
TOR·CLE
49-88
field goals
41-91
12-31
3-pointers
10-41
16-17
free throws
21-26
43
rebounds
37
37
assists
26
14
turnovers
12
60
points in paint
54
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Donovan MitchellCLE363166
Scottie BarnesTOR3528108
Immanuel QuickleyTOR322516
Jakob PoeltlTOR292073
Nae'Qwan TomlinCLE221860
De'Andre HunterCLE271626

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CLE +17
TOR +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CLE 10 · TOR 17lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was TOR 21%, CLE 79% · Updated Nov 13, 2025

Expected margin
CLE by 11.7
Expected score
CLE 122.6 – 111.0 TOR
Expected total
233.6
RaptorsThe matchupCavaliers
+371Our fair odds−371
111.0Expected points122.6
−0.34Power rating+0.73
119.3Points / game122.9
116.4Allowed / game117.6
48.8FG%45.5
37.53P%35.6
42.1Rebounds / game43.9
6−5Season record8−4
5−5Last 107−3
A.J. Lawson · Alijah Martin
Chucky Hepburn · Jonathan Mogbo
Ochai Agbaji
Out (5 each)Chris Livingston · Darius Garland
Jaylon Tyson · Lonzo Ball
Max Strus

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
TOR chance · CLE chance
Our model fair21.3%78.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
TORToronto Raptors+37121%————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−37179%————
SpreadCLE by 11.7
TORToronto Raptors+11.7our margin————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−11.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 233.6
Over233.6our total————
Under233.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 11.7 expected
Toronto Raptors by 53 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 52 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 51 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 50 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 49 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 48 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 47 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 46 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 45 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 49 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 50 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 51 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 52 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 53 points: <1%
← TOR wins byCLE wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more70%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more56%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more41%
Within 5 points either way19%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

233.6 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 223.569%
Total over 233.549%
Total over 243.530%
Total from 224 to 24338%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Toronto Raptors
FRJ Barrettstarted
CJakob Poeltlstarted
Cleveland Cavaliers
GSam Merrillstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
TOR·CLE
Nov 11, 2025 at BKN
last game
Nov 12, 2025 at MIA
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
4
4th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 13, 5:00 PM ET
Toronto Raptors
TORA.J. Lawson · g league - two-wayOut
TORAlijah Martin · g league - two-wayOut
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORJonathan Mogbo · g league - on assignmentOut
TOROchai Agbaji · lower back; spasmsOut
TORCollin Murray-Boyles · n/a; illnessQuestionable
TORSandro Mamukelashvili · neck; contusion - stiffnessQuestionable
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEChris Livingston · g league - two-wayOut
CLEDarius Garland · left great toe; injury managementOut
CLEJaylon Tyson · head; concussionOut
CLELonzo Ball · rest - left knee injury managementOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 11+ games
TOR·CLE
−0.34
rating (0 = average)
+0.73
119.3
points / game
122.9
116.4
points allowed / game
117.6
6−5
season record
8−4
2−2
home record
4−1
4−3
away record
4−3
W1
streak
W1
5−5
last 10
7−3
48.8
FG%
45.5
37.5
3P%
35.6
42.1
rebounds / game
43.9
29.7
assists / game
28.1
13.9
turnovers / game
14.3
52.0
points in paint / game
45.8

Rating Trend

TOR · CLE · 17 days
Toronto RaptorsCleveland Cavaliers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CLE 7−3
Oct 31, 2025at CLETOR 112 − 101
Feb 12, 2025at TORCLE 131 − 108
Jan 9, 2025at CLECLE 132 − 126
Nov 24, 2024at CLECLE 122 − 108
Oct 23, 2024at TORCLE 136 − 106
Feb 10, 2024at TORCLE 119 − 95
Jan 1, 2024at TORTOR 124 − 121
Nov 26, 2023at CLECLE 105 − 102
Feb 26, 2023at CLECLE 118 − 93
Dec 23, 2022at CLETOR 118 − 107

TOR · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Nov 11, 2025at BKN119 − 109W
Nov 8, 2025at PHI120 − 130L
Nov 7, 2025at ATL109 − 97W
Nov 4, 2025vs MIL128 − 100W
Nov 2, 2025vs MEM117 − 104W
Oct 31, 2025at CLE112 − 101W
Oct 29, 2025vs HOU121 − 139L
Oct 27, 2025at SA103 − 121L
Oct 26, 2025at DAL129 − 139L
Oct 24, 2025vs MIL116 − 122L

CLE · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Nov 12, 2025at MIA130 − 116W
Nov 10, 2025at MIA138 − 140L
Nov 8, 2025vs CHI128 − 122W
Nov 7, 2025at WSH148 − 115W
Nov 5, 2025vs PHI132 − 121W
Nov 2, 2025vs ATL117 − 109W
Oct 31, 2025vs TOR101 − 112L
Oct 29, 2025at BOS105 − 125L
Oct 27, 2025at DET116 − 95W
Oct 26, 2025vs MIL118 − 113W