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76ers at Cavaliers

NBA · Wednesday, Nov 5 · 6:00 PM CT · Rocket Arena · Final PHI 121 – CLE 132
← NBA / Nov 5, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHI27402034121
CLE41293725132
Team box
PHI·CLE
44-90
field goals
49-92
12-31
3-pointers
18-44
21-30
free throws
16-17
43
rebounds
34
26
assists
33
19
turnovers
15
58
points in paint
60
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Donovan MitchellCLE354648
Tyrese MaxeyPHI362779
Quentin GrimesPHI322733
Jarrett AllenCLE3024101
Evan MobleyCLE342353
Kelly Oubre Jr.PHI381932

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CLE +26
PHI +26
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CLE 26 · PHI 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHI 21%, CLE 79% · Updated Nov 5, 2025

Expected margin
CLE by 11.9
Expected score
CLE 121.5 – 109.6 PHI
Expected total
231.1
76ersThe matchupCavaliers
+369Our fair odds−369
109.6Expected points121.5
−0.38Power rating+0.72
123.6Points / game114.1
117.4Allowed / game113.9
47.0FG%44.7
40.03P%34.7
42.6Rebounds / game41.1
5−2Season record4−3
6−4Last 105−5
Dominick Barlow · Jared McCain
Joel Embiid · Paul GeorgeOutChris Livingston · Max Strus

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHI chance · CLE chance
Our model fair21.3%78.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+36921%————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−36979%————
SpreadCLE by 11.9
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+11.9our margin————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−11.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 231.1
Over231.1our total————
Under231.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 11.9 expected
Philadelphia 76ers by 53 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 52 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 51 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 50 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 49 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 48 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 47 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 46 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 45 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 49 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 50 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 51 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 52 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 53 points: <1%
← PHI wins byCLE wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more71%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more56%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more41%
Within 5 points either way19%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

231.1 expected
181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 221.568%
Total over 231.548%
Total over 241.529%
Total from 222 to 24139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Philadelphia 76ers
GKelly Oubre Jr.started
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FJabari Walkerstarted
CAdem Bonastarted
Cleveland Cavaliers
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GDarius Garlandstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
CJarrett Allenstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHI·CLE
Nov 4, 2025 at CHI
last game
Nov 2, 2025 vs ATL
0 days
days of rest
2 days
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 5, 5:00 PM ET
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIDominick Barlow · right elbow; lacerationOut
PHIJared McCain · left knee; injury recoveryOut
PHIJoel Embiid · left knee; injury recoveryOut
PHIPaul George · left knee; surgery recoveryOut
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEChris Livingston · g league - two-wayOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLEDarius Garland · left great toe; surgical recoveryQuestionable
CLEDe'Andre Hunter · illness; illnessQuestionable
CLEJarrett Allen · left hand; 4th finger - fractureQuestionable
CLESam Merrill · right hip; contusionQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
PHI·CLE
−0.38
rating (0 = average)
+0.72
123.6
points / game
114.1
117.4
points allowed / game
113.9
5−2
season record
4−3
2−1
home record
2−1
3−1
away record
2−2
L1
streak
W1
6−4
last 10
5−5
47.0
FG%
44.7
40.0
3P%
34.7
42.6
rebounds / game
41.1
26.6
assists / game
25.7
14.1
turnovers / game
16.4
48.0
points in paint / game
39.1

Rating Trend

PHI · CLE · 9 days
Philadelphia 76ersCleveland Cavaliers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CLE 5−5
Jan 24, 2025at PHIPHI 132 − 129
Dec 21, 2024at CLECLE 126 − 99
Nov 13, 2024at PHICLE 114 − 106
Mar 29, 2024at CLECLE 117 − 114
Feb 23, 2024at PHIPHI 104 − 97
Feb 12, 2024at CLEPHI 123 − 121
Nov 21, 2023at PHICLE 122 − 119
Mar 15, 2023at CLEPHI 118 − 109
Feb 15, 2023at PHIPHI 118 − 112
Nov 30, 2022at CLECLE 113 − 85

PHI · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Nov 4, 2025at CHI111 − 113L
Nov 2, 2025at BKN129 − 105W
Oct 31, 2025vs BOS108 − 109L
Oct 28, 2025at WSH139 − 134W
Oct 27, 2025vs ORL136 − 124W
Oct 25, 2025vs CHA125 − 121W
Oct 22, 2025at BOS117 − 116W
Apr 13, 2025vs CHI102 − 122L
Apr 11, 2025vs ATL110 − 124L
Apr 9, 2025at WSH122 − 103W

CLE · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Nov 2, 2025vs ATL117 − 109W
Oct 31, 2025vs TOR101 − 112L
Oct 29, 2025at BOS105 − 125L
Oct 27, 2025at DET116 − 95W
Oct 26, 2025vs MIL118 − 113W
Oct 24, 2025at BKN131 − 124W
Oct 22, 2025at NY111 − 119L
May 13, 2025vs IND105 − 114L
May 11, 2025at IND109 − 129L
May 9, 2025at IND126 − 104W