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Hawks at Cavaliers

NBA · Sunday, Nov 2 · 5:00 PM CT · Rocket Arena · Final ATL 109 – CLE 117
← NBA / Nov 2, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ATL22302433109
CLE31192839117
Team box
ATL·CLE
39-77
field goals
40-97
6-23
3-pointers
20-57
25-35
free throws
17-18
46
rebounds
44
28
assists
30
23
turnovers
18
60
points in paint
34
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Donovan MitchellCLE363725
Jalen JohnsonATL3523135
De'Andre HunterCLE311973
Dyson DanielsATL361843
Jaylon TysonCLE251832
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerATL341635

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CLE +14
ATL +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CLE 14 · ATL 4lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ATL 23%, CLE 77% · Updated Nov 2, 2025

Expected margin
CLE by 11.4
Expected score
CLE 126.2 – 114.8 ATL
Expected total
240.9
HawksThe matchupCavaliers
+341Our fair odds−341
114.8Expected points126.2
−0.18Power rating+0.83
116.2Points / game113.7
118.3Allowed / game114.7
47.0FG%45.3
34.03P%34.7
42.5Rebounds / game40.7
3−3Season record3−3
6−4Last 104−6
Eli John Ndiaye · Keaton Wallace
Nikola Djurisic · Trae YoungOutChris Livingston · Darius Garland
Jarrett Allen · Max Strus
Sam Merrill

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ATL chance · CLE chance
Our model fair22.7%77.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ATLAtlanta Hawks+34123%————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−34177%————
SpreadCLE by 11.4
ATLAtlanta Hawks+11.4our margin————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−11.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 240.9
Over240.9our total————
Under240.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 11.4 expected
Atlanta Hawks by 53 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 52 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 51 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 50 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 49 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 48 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 47 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 46 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 45 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 44 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 43 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 42 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 41 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 40 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 39 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 38 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 37 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 36 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 35 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 34 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 33 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 32 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 31 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 30 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 29 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 28 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 27 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 26 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 25 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 24 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 23 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 22 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 21 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 20 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 19 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 18 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 17 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 16 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 15 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 14 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 13 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 12 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 11 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 10 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 9 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 8 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 7 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 6 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 5 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 4 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 3 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 2 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 49 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 50 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 51 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 52 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 53 points: <1%
← ATL wins byCLE wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more70%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more55%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more40%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

240.9 expected
190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 230.568%
Total over 240.549%
Total over 250.531%
Total from 231 to 25037%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Atlanta Hawks
GNickeil Alexander-Walkerstarted
GDyson Danielsstarted
FJalen Johnsonstarted
FZaccharie Risacherstarted
CKristaps Porzingisstarted
Cleveland Cavaliers
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
FLarry Nance Jr.started
FDe'Andre Hunterstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ATL·CLE
Oct 31, 2025 at IND
last game
Oct 31, 2025 vs TOR
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
4th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 2, 5:00 PM ET
Atlanta Hawks
ATLEli John Ndiaye · g league - two-wayOut
ATLKeaton Wallace · flu-like; symptomsOut
ATLNikola Djurisic · g league - on assignmentOut
ATLTrae Young · right knee; sprainOut
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEChris Livingston · coach's decisionOut
CLEDarius Garland · left great toe; surgical recoveryOut
CLEJarrett Allen · left hand; 4th finger - fractureOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLESam Merrill · right hip; contusionOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 6+ games
ATL·CLE
−0.18
rating (0 = average)
+0.83
116.2
points / game
113.7
118.3
points allowed / game
114.7
3−3
season record
3−3
0−2
home record
1−1
3−1
away record
2−2
W2
streak
L2
6−4
last 10
4−6
47.0
FG%
45.3
34.0
3P%
34.7
42.5
rebounds / game
40.7
28.5
assists / game
25.0
12.2
turnovers / game
16.2
56.3
points in paint / game
40.0

Rating Trend

ATL · CLE · 6 days
Atlanta HawksCleveland Cavaliers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CLE 5−5
Jan 30, 2025at CLECLE 137 − 115
Nov 29, 2024at ATLATL 117 − 101
Nov 27, 2024at CLEATL 135 − 124
Mar 6, 2024at ATLATL 112 − 101
Jan 20, 2024at ATLCLE 116 − 95
Dec 16, 2023at CLECLE 127 − 119
Nov 28, 2023at CLECLE 128 − 105
Mar 28, 2023at ATLATL 120 − 118
Feb 24, 2023at ATLATL 136 − 119
Nov 21, 2022at CLECLE 114 − 102

ATL · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Oct 31, 2025at IND128 − 108W
Oct 29, 2025at BKN117 − 112W
Oct 27, 2025at CHI123 − 128L
Oct 25, 2025vs OKC100 − 117L
Oct 24, 2025at ORL111 − 107W
Oct 22, 2025vs TOR118 − 138L
Apr 13, 2025vs ORL117 − 105W
Apr 11, 2025at PHI124 − 110W
Apr 10, 2025at BKN133 − 109W
Apr 8, 2025at ORL112 − 119L

CLE · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Oct 31, 2025vs TOR101 − 112L
Oct 29, 2025at BOS105 − 125L
Oct 27, 2025at DET116 − 95W
Oct 26, 2025vs MIL118 − 113W
Oct 24, 2025at BKN131 − 124W
Oct 22, 2025at NY111 − 119L
May 13, 2025vs IND105 − 114L
May 11, 2025at IND109 − 129L
May 9, 2025at IND126 − 104W
May 6, 2025vs IND119 − 120L