bayesRatings

76ers at Bulls

NBA · Tuesday, Nov 4 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final PHI 111 – CHI 113
← NBA / Nov 4, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHI45302016111
CHI27292829113
Team box
PHI·CHI
40-94
field goals
42-89
11-30
3-pointers
13-34
20-24
free throws
16-20
40
rebounds
48
22
assists
26
16
turnovers
18
46
points in paint
58
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Tyrese MaxeyPHI393955
Josh GiddeyCHI37291512
Joel EmbiidPHI262062
Nikola VucevicCHI3119100
Kelly Oubre Jr.PHI331832
Isaac OkoroCHI331625

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +24
PHI +24
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 2 · PHI 24lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHI 34%, CHI 66% · Updated Nov 4, 2025

Expected margin
CHI by 4.9
Expected score
CHI 120.8 – 115.8 PHI
Expected total
236.6
76ersThe matchupBulls
+193Our fair odds−193
115.8Expected points120.8
−0.38Power rating+0.06
125.7Points / game121.7
118.2Allowed / game116.3
47.7FG%50.0
40.53P%40.7
43.0Rebounds / game46.7
5−1Season record5−1
6−4Last 108−2
Dominick Barlow · Paul GeorgeOutCoby White · Noa Essengue
Zach Collins

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHI chance · CHI chance
Our model fair34.2%65.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+19334%————
CHIChicago Bulls−19366%————
SpreadCHI by 4.9
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+4.9our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls−4.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 236.6
Over236.6our total————
Under236.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Chicago Bulls by 4.9 expected
Philadelphia 76ers by 46 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 45 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%
← PHI wins byCHI wins by →
Chicago Bulls wins by 5 or more54%
Chicago Bulls wins by 10 or more38%
Chicago Bulls wins by 15 or more25%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

236.6 expected
186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 226.568%
Total over 236.549%
Total over 246.530%
Total from 227 to 24638%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Philadelphia 76ers
GKelly Oubre Jr.started
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FJabari Walkerstarted
CJoel Embiidstarted
Chicago Bulls
GTre Jonesstarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
CNikola Vucevicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHI·CHI
Nov 2, 2025 at BKN
last game
Nov 2, 2025 at NY
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 4, 5:00 PM ET
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIDominick Barlow · right elbow; lacerationOut
PHIPaul George · left knee; surgery recoveryOut
Chicago Bulls
CHICoby White · right calf; strainOut
CHINoa Essengue · g league - on assignmentOut
CHIZach Collins · left scaphoid; fractureOut
CHIAyo Dosunmu · left quadricep; contusionQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 6+ games
PHI·CHI
−0.38
rating (0 = average)
+0.06
125.7
points / game
121.7
118.2
points allowed / game
116.3
5−1
season record
5−1
2−1
home record
4−0
3−0
away record
1−1
W1
streak
L1
6−4
last 10
8−2
47.7
FG%
50.0
40.5
3P%
40.7
43.0
rebounds / game
46.7
27.3
assists / game
30.2
13.8
turnovers / game
15.8
48.3
points in paint / game
57.7

Rating Trend

PHI · CHI · 8 days
Philadelphia 76ersChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHI 6−4
Apr 13, 2025at PHICHI 122 − 102
Feb 24, 2025at PHICHI 142 − 110
Jan 25, 2025at CHIPHI 109 − 97
Dec 8, 2024at CHIPHI 108 − 100
Jan 2, 2024at PHIPHI 110 − 97
Dec 30, 2023at CHICHI 105 − 92
Dec 18, 2023at PHICHI 108 − 104
Mar 22, 2023at CHIPHI 116 − 91
Mar 20, 2023at PHICHI 109 − 105
Jan 6, 2023at PHICHI 126 − 112

PHI · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Nov 2, 2025at BKN129 − 105W
Oct 31, 2025vs BOS108 − 109L
Oct 28, 2025at WSH139 − 134W
Oct 27, 2025vs ORL136 − 124W
Oct 25, 2025vs CHA125 − 121W
Oct 22, 2025at BOS117 − 116W
Apr 13, 2025vs CHI102 − 122L
Apr 11, 2025vs ATL110 − 124L
Apr 9, 2025at WSH122 − 103W
Apr 7, 2025at MIA105 − 117L

CHI · Last 10

8−2 · streak L1
Nov 2, 2025at NY116 − 128L
Oct 31, 2025vs NY135 − 125W
Oct 29, 2025vs SAC126 − 113W
Oct 27, 2025vs ATL128 − 123W
Oct 25, 2025at ORL110 − 98W
Oct 22, 2025vs DET115 − 111W
Apr 13, 2025at PHI122 − 102W
Apr 11, 2025vs WSH119 − 89W
Apr 9, 2025vs MIA119 − 111W
Apr 8, 2025at CLE113 − 135L