bayesRatings

Bulls at Knicks

NBA · Sunday, Nov 2 · 6:00 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final CHI 116 – NY 128
← NBA / Nov 2, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHI24362927116
NY34343723128
Team box
CHI·NY
45-93
field goals
43-95
17-40
3-pointers
20-42
9-11
free throws
22-22
46
rebounds
47
28
assists
31
14
turnovers
11
54
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen BrunsonNY323153
Josh GiddeyCHI38231112
OG AnunobyNY352124
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3620155
Nikola VucevicCHI3217144
Tre JonesCHI341525

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +25
CHI +25
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 25 · CHI 2lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 34%, NY 66% · Updated Nov 2, 2025

Expected margin
NY by 5.9
Expected score
NY 118.0 – 112.1 CHI
Expected total
230.1
BullsThe matchupKnicks
+192Our fair odds−192
112.1Expected points118.0
−0.00Power rating+0.43
122.8Points / game113.4
114.0Allowed / game115.4
50.4FG%42.2
40.23P%34.6
46.8Rebounds / game47.4
5−0Season record2−3
9−1Last 104−6
Ayo Dosunmu · Coby White
Noa Essengue · Zach CollinsOut—

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · NY chance
Our model fair34.3%65.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls+19234%————
NYNew York Knicks−19266%————
SpreadNY by 5.9
CHIChicago Bulls+5.9our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−5.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 230.1
Over230.1our total————
Under230.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 5.9 expected
Chicago Bulls by 48 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 2%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 32 points: 1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 48 points: <1%
← CHI wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more56%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more41%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

230.1 expected
180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 220.568%
Total over 230.548%
Total over 240.529%
Total from 221 to 24039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Chicago Bulls
GTre Jonesstarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
CNikola Vucevicstarted
New York Knicks
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted
CMitchell Robinsonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·NY
Oct 31, 2025 vs NY
last game
Oct 31, 2025 at CHI
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 2, 5:00 PM ET
Chicago Bulls
CHIAyo Dosunmu · left quad; contusionOut
CHICoby White · right calf; strainOut
CHINoa Essengue · g league - on assignmentOut
CHIZach Collins · left scaphoid; fractureOut
New York Knicks
NYMitchell Robinson · left ankle; left ankle injury managementQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
CHI·NY
−0.00
rating (0 = average)
+0.43
122.8
points / game
113.4
114.0
points allowed / game
115.4
5−0
season record
2−3
4−0
home record
2−0
1−0
away record
0−3
W5
streak
L3
9−1
last 10
4−6
50.4
FG%
42.2
40.2
3P%
34.6
46.8
rebounds / game
47.4
30.6
assists / game
23.8
16.2
turnovers / game
15.0
58.4
points in paint / game
38.8

Rating Trend

CHI · NY · 6 days
Chicago BullsNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NY 5−5
Oct 31, 2025at CHICHI 135 − 125
Feb 20, 2025at NYNY 113 − 111
Jan 4, 2025at CHICHI 139 − 126
Nov 13, 2024at NYCHI 124 − 123
Apr 14, 2024at NYNY 120 − 119
Apr 9, 2024at CHINY 128 − 117
Apr 5, 2024at CHICHI 108 − 100
Jan 3, 2024at NYNY 116 − 100
Dec 23, 2022at NYCHI 118 − 117
Dec 16, 2022at CHINY 114 − 91

CHI · Last 10

9−1 · streak W8
Oct 31, 2025vs NY135 − 125W
Oct 29, 2025vs SAC126 − 113W
Oct 27, 2025vs ATL128 − 123W
Oct 25, 2025at ORL110 − 98W
Oct 22, 2025vs DET115 − 111W
Apr 13, 2025at PHI122 − 102W
Apr 11, 2025vs WSH119 − 89W
Apr 9, 2025vs MIA119 − 111W
Apr 8, 2025at CLE113 − 135L
Apr 6, 2025at CHA131 − 117W

NY · Last 10

4−6 · streak L3
Oct 31, 2025at CHI125 − 135L
Oct 28, 2025at MIL111 − 121L
Oct 26, 2025at MIA107 − 115L
Oct 24, 2025vs BOS105 − 95W
Oct 22, 2025vs CLE119 − 111W
May 31, 2025at IND108 − 125L
May 29, 2025vs IND111 − 94W
May 27, 2025at IND121 − 130L
May 25, 2025at IND106 − 100W
May 23, 2025vs IND109 − 114L