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Cavaliers at Wizards

NBA · Friday, Nov 7 · 6:00 PM CT · Capital One Arena · Final CLE 148 – WSH 115
← NBA / Nov 7, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CLE39373339148
WSH26342728115
Team box
CLE·WSH
52-110
field goals
41-91
20-45
3-pointers
15-41
24-31
free throws
18-23
57
rebounds
44
34
assists
32
10
turnovers
20
58
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
CJ McCollumWSH282523
Donovan MitchellCLE262455
Darius GarlandCLE282029
Alex SarrWSH302044
Tre JohnsonWSH291931
Evan MobleyCLE2818103

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
WSH +37
CLE +37
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: WSH 3 · CLE 37lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 86%, WSH 14% · Updated Nov 7, 2025

Expected margin
CLE by 17.2
Expected score
CLE 125.2 – 108.0 WSH
Expected total
233.2
CavaliersThe matchupWizards
−618Our fair odds+618
125.2Expected points108.0
+0.72Power rating−1.38
116.4Points / game111.9
114.8Allowed / game128.1
45.8FG%45.9
35.53P%37.1
40.2Rebounds / game45.9
5−3Season record1−7
5−5Last 102−8
Chris Livingston · Dean Wade
Lonzo Ball · Max StrusOutBilal Coulibaly

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · WSH chance
Our model fair86.1%13.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers−61886%————
WSHWashington Wizards+61814%————
SpreadCLE by 17.2
CLECleveland Cavaliers−17.2our margin————
WSHWashington Wizards+17.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 233.2
Over233.2our total————
Under233.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 17.2 expected
Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 4%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 1%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 1%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 3 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%
← CLE wins byWSH wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more86%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more72%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more55%
Within 5 points either way12%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

233.2 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 223.568%
Total over 233.548%
Total over 243.529%
Total from 224 to 24338%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GDarius Garlandstarted
FDe'Andre Hunterstarted
CJarrett Allenstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted
Washington Wizards
GCJ McCollumstarted
GBub Carringtonstarted
GTre Johnsonstarted
FKhris Middletonstarted
CAlex Sarrstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·WSH
Nov 5, 2025 vs PHI
last game
Nov 5, 2025 at BOS
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 7, 5:00 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEChris Livingston · g league - two-wayOut
CLEDean Wade · right eye; contusionOut
CLELonzo Ball · rest - left knee - injury managementOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLEDe'Andre Hunter · illness; illnessProbable
Washington Wizards
WSHBilal Coulibaly · left lower leg; tightnessOut
WSHKyshawn George · n/a; illnessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 8+ games
CLE·WSH
+0.72
rating (0 = average)
−1.38
116.4
points / game
111.9
114.8
points allowed / game
128.1
5−3
season record
1−7
3−1
home record
0−3
2−2
away record
1−4
W2
streak
L6
5−5
last 10
2−8
45.8
FG%
45.9
35.5
3P%
37.1
40.2
rebounds / game
45.9
26.6
assists / game
25.9
16.2
turnovers / game
17.5
41.8
points in paint / game
45.8

Rating Trend

CLE · WSH · 11 days
Cleveland CavaliersWashington Wizards
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · WSH 0−10
Feb 7, 2025at WSHCLE 134 − 124
Dec 13, 2024at CLECLE 115 − 105
Dec 3, 2024at CLECLE 118 − 87
Oct 26, 2024at WSHCLE 135 − 116
Feb 25, 2024at WSHCLE 114 − 105
Feb 7, 2024at WSHCLE 114 − 106
Jan 5, 2024at CLECLE 114 − 90
Jan 3, 2024at CLECLE 140 − 101
Mar 17, 2023at CLECLE 117 − 94
Feb 6, 2023at WSHCLE 114 − 91

CLE · Last 10

5−5 · streak W2
Nov 5, 2025vs PHI132 − 121W
Nov 2, 2025vs ATL117 − 109W
Oct 31, 2025vs TOR101 − 112L
Oct 29, 2025at BOS105 − 125L
Oct 27, 2025at DET116 − 95W
Oct 26, 2025vs MIL118 − 113W
Oct 24, 2025at BKN131 − 124W
Oct 22, 2025at NY111 − 119L
May 13, 2025vs IND105 − 114L
May 11, 2025at IND109 − 129L

WSH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L6
Nov 5, 2025at BOS107 − 136L
Nov 3, 2025at NY102 − 119L
Nov 1, 2025vs ORL94 − 125L
Oct 30, 2025at OKC108 − 127L
Oct 28, 2025vs PHI134 − 139L
Oct 26, 2025vs CHA113 − 139L
Oct 24, 2025at DAL117 − 107W
Oct 22, 2025at MIL120 − 133L
Apr 13, 2025at MIA119 − 118W
Apr 11, 2025at CHI89 − 119L