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Magic at Wizards

NBA · Saturday, Nov 1 · 6:00 PM CT · Capital One Arena · Final ORL 125 – WSH 94
← NBA / Nov 1, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ORL32432822125
WSH3521191994
Team box
ORL·WSH
47-92
field goals
39-98
12-36
3-pointers
9-27
19-22
free throws
7-15
53
rebounds
40
32
assists
19
17
turnovers
17
62
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Paolo BancheroORL2628114
Franz WagnerORL312566
Kyshawn GeorgeWSH241731
Wendell Carter Jr.ORL2816120
Goga BitadzeORL201560
CJ McCollumWSH221351

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
WSH +31
ORL +31
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: WSH 6 · ORL 31lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ORL 72%, WSH 28% · Updated Nov 1, 2025

Expected margin
ORL by 9.9
Expected score
ORL 113.4 – 103.5 WSH
Expected total
216.8
MagicThe matchupWizards
−254Our fair odds+254
113.4Expected points103.5
−0.10Power rating−1.29
115.5Points / game118.4
120.0Allowed / game129.0
47.7FG%46.2
32.53P%38.8
44.7Rebounds / game48.6
2−4Season record1−4
3−7Last 102−8
Colin Castleton · Jamal Cain
Moritz WagnerOut—

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · WSH chance
Our model fair71.8%28.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic−25472%————
WSHWashington Wizards+25428%————
SpreadORL by 9.9
ORLOrlando Magic−9.9our margin————
WSHWashington Wizards+9.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 216.8
Over216.8our total————
Under216.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 9.9 expected
Orlando Magic by 49 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 48 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 47 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 46 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 4%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%
← ORL wins byWSH wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more68%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more52%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more35%
Within 5 points either way19%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

216.8 expected
172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 206.570%
Total over 216.550%
Total over 226.531%
Total from 207 to 22639%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
FFranz Wagnerstarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started
Washington Wizards
GCJ McCollumstarted
GBilal Coulibalystarted
FKhris Middletonstarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted
CAlex Sarrstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·WSH
Oct 30, 2025 at CHA
last game
Oct 30, 2025 at OKC
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 1, 5:00 PM ET
ORLColin Castleton · not with teamOut
ORLJamal Cain · fracture not with teamOut
ORLMoritz Wagner · left knee; injury recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
ORL·WSH
−0.10
rating (0 = average)
−1.29
115.5
points / game
118.4
120.0
points allowed / game
129.0
2−4
season record
1−4
1−2
home record
0−2
1−2
away record
1−2
W1
streak
L3
3−7
last 10
2−8
47.7
FG%
46.2
32.5
3P%
38.8
44.7
rebounds / game
48.6
22.3
assists / game
26.6
16.7
turnovers / game
16.8
55.0
points in paint / game
44.0

Rating Trend

ORL · WSH · 5 days
Orlando MagicWashington Wizards
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · WSH 0−10
Apr 3, 2025at WSHORL 109 − 97
Mar 21, 2025at WSHORL 120 − 105
Feb 23, 2025at ORLORL 110 − 90
Nov 10, 2024at ORLORL 121 − 94
Mar 6, 2024at WSHORL 119 − 109
Dec 26, 2023at WSHORL 127 − 119
Dec 1, 2023at ORLORL 130 − 125
Nov 29, 2023at ORLORL 139 − 120
Mar 31, 2023at WSHORL 116 − 109
Mar 21, 2023at ORLORL 122 − 112

ORL · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Oct 30, 2025at CHA123 − 107W
Oct 29, 2025at DET116 − 135L
Oct 27, 2025at PHI124 − 136L
Oct 25, 2025vs CHI98 − 110L
Oct 24, 2025vs ATL107 − 111L
Oct 22, 2025vs MIA125 − 121W
Apr 29, 2025at BOS89 − 120L
Apr 27, 2025vs BOS98 − 107L
Apr 25, 2025vs BOS95 − 93W
Apr 23, 2025at BOS100 − 109L

WSH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L3
Oct 30, 2025at OKC108 − 127L
Oct 28, 2025vs PHI134 − 139L
Oct 26, 2025vs CHA113 − 139L
Oct 24, 2025at DAL117 − 107W
Oct 22, 2025at MIL120 − 133L
Apr 13, 2025at MIA119 − 118W
Apr 11, 2025at CHI89 − 119L
Apr 9, 2025vs PHI103 − 122L
Apr 8, 2025at IND98 − 104L
Apr 6, 2025at BOS90 − 124L