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Wizards at Knicks

NBA · Monday, Nov 3 · 6:30 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final WSH 102 – NY 119

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH30242424102
NY22354121119
Team box
WSH·NY
38-81
field goals
44-94
13-35
3-pointers
15-41
13-19
free throws
16-20
44
rebounds
49
30
assists
32
20
turnovers
12
42
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3033135
Alex SarrWSH291987
Jalen BrunsonNY321619
OG AnunobyNY321662
Bilal CoulibalyWSH281572
Kyshawn GeorgeWSH301552

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +27
WSH +27
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 27 · WSH 10lead changes: 10

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 13%, NY 87% · Updated Nov 3, 2025

Expected margin
NY by 16.0
Expected score
NY 121.5 – 105.5 WSH
Expected total
227.0
WizardsThe matchupKnicks
+673Our fair odds−673
105.5Expected points121.5
−1.29Power rating+0.43
114.3Points / game115.8
128.3Allowed / game115.5
45.2FG%42.7
37.83P%36.8
47.2Rebounds / game47.3
1−5Season record3−3
2−8Last 105−5
—OutMitchell Robinson

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · NY chance
Our model fair12.9%87.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+67313%————
NYNew York Knicks−67387%————
SpreadNY by 16.0
WSHWashington Wizards+16our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−16our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.0
Over227.0our total————
Under227.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 16.0 expected
Washington Wizards by 53 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 52 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 51 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 1%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 2%New York Knicks by 4 points: 2%New York Knicks by 5 points: 2%New York Knicks by 6 points: 2%New York Knicks by 7 points: 2%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 3%New York Knicks by 15 points: 3%New York Knicks by 16 points: 3%New York Knicks by 17 points: 3%New York Knicks by 18 points: 3%New York Knicks by 19 points: 3%New York Knicks by 20 points: 2%New York Knicks by 21 points: 2%New York Knicks by 22 points: 2%New York Knicks by 23 points: 2%New York Knicks by 24 points: 2%New York Knicks by 25 points: 2%New York Knicks by 26 points: 2%New York Knicks by 27 points: 2%New York Knicks by 28 points: 2%New York Knicks by 29 points: 2%New York Knicks by 30 points: 2%New York Knicks by 31 points: 2%New York Knicks by 32 points: 2%New York Knicks by 33 points: 2%New York Knicks by 34 points: 2%New York Knicks by 35 points: 2%New York Knicks by 36 points: 1%New York Knicks by 37 points: 1%New York Knicks by 38 points: 1%New York Knicks by 39 points: 1%New York Knicks by 40 points: 1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 48 points: <1%New York Knicks by 49 points: <1%New York Knicks by 50 points: <1%New York Knicks by 51 points: <1%New York Knicks by 52 points: <1%New York Knicks by 53 points: <1%
← WSH wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more80%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more68%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more53%
Within 5 points either way15%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.0 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.568%
Total over 227.548%
Total over 237.529%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GCJ McCollumstarted
CAlex Sarrstarted
New York Knicks
FOG Anunobystarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·NY
Nov 1, 2025 vs ORL
last game
Nov 2, 2025 vs CHI
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 3, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHKhris Middleton · left elbow; contusionQuestionable
New York Knicks
NYMitchell Robinson · left ankle; left ankleOut
NYJosh Hart · left ankle; sprainQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 6+ games
WSH·NY
−1.29
rating (0 = average)
+0.43
114.3
points / game
115.8
128.3
points allowed / game
115.5
1−5
season record
3−3
0−3
home record
3−0
1−2
away record
0−3
L4
streak
W1
2−8
last 10
5−5
45.2
FG%
42.7
37.8
3P%
36.8
47.2
rebounds / game
47.3
25.3
assists / game
25.0
16.8
turnovers / game
14.3
45.3
points in paint / game
39.3

Rating Trend

WSH · NY · 7 days
Washington WizardsNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NY 9−1
Mar 22, 2025at NYNY 122 − 103
Dec 30, 2024at WSHNY 126 − 106
Dec 28, 2024at WSHNY 136 − 132
Nov 18, 2024at NYNY 134 − 106
Jan 18, 2024at NYNY 113 − 109
Jan 6, 2024at WSHNY 121 − 105
Nov 17, 2023at WSHNY 120 − 99
Apr 2, 2023at NYNY 118 − 109
Feb 24, 2023at WSHNY 115 − 109
Jan 18, 2023at NYWSH 116 − 105

WSH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L4
Nov 1, 2025vs ORL94 − 125L
Oct 30, 2025at OKC108 − 127L
Oct 28, 2025vs PHI134 − 139L
Oct 26, 2025vs CHA113 − 139L
Oct 24, 2025at DAL117 − 107W
Oct 22, 2025at MIL120 − 133L
Apr 13, 2025at MIA119 − 118W
Apr 11, 2025at CHI89 − 119L
Apr 9, 2025vs PHI103 − 122L
Apr 8, 2025at IND98 − 104L

NY · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Nov 2, 2025vs CHI128 − 116W
Oct 31, 2025at CHI125 − 135L
Oct 28, 2025at MIL111 − 121L
Oct 26, 2025at MIA107 − 115L
Oct 24, 2025vs BOS105 − 95W
Oct 22, 2025vs CLE119 − 111W
May 31, 2025at IND108 − 125L
May 29, 2025vs IND111 − 94W
May 27, 2025at IND121 − 130L
May 25, 2025at IND106 − 100W