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Wizards at Celtics

NBA · Wednesday, Nov 5 · 6:30 PM CT · TD Garden · Final WSH 107 – BOS 136
← NBA / Nov 5, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH37232027107
BOS26443234136
Team box
WSH·BOS
39-80
field goals
52-95
9-27
3-pointers
16-41
20-27
free throws
16-21
40
rebounds
40
25
assists
31
19
turnovers
7
52
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jaylen BrownBOS263555
Alex SarrWSH293182
Josh MinottBOS342150
Payton PritchardBOS241825
Anfernee SimonsBOS301802
Neemias QuetaBOS2415125

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BOS +33
WSH +33
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BOS 33 · WSH 12lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 9%, BOS 91% · Updated Nov 5, 2025

Expected margin
BOS by 20.7
Expected score
BOS 122.3 – 101.6 WSH
Expected total
223.9
WizardsThe matchupCeltics
+1020Our fair odds−1020
101.6Expected points122.3
−1.38Power rating+0.77
112.6Points / game110.5
127.0Allowed / game109.6
45.4FG%43.5
37.73P%31.1
46.7Rebounds / game42.6
1−6Season record3−5
2−8Last 104−6
Khris MiddletonOutAmari Williams · Jayson Tatum
Max Shulga · Ron Harper Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · BOS chance
Our model fair8.9%91.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+10209%————
BOSBoston Celtics−102091%————
SpreadBOS by 20.7
WSHWashington Wizards+20.7our margin————
BOSBoston Celtics−20.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 223.9
Over223.9our total————
Under223.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 20.7 expected
Washington Wizards by 52 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 51 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 1%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 1%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 4%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 37 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 38 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 39 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 48 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 49 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 50 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 51 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 52 points: <1%
← WSH wins byBOS wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more91%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more82%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more69%
Within 5 points either way9%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

223.9 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.570%
Total over 223.550%
Total over 233.531%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GCJ McCollumstarted
GBilal Coulibalystarted
FJustin Champagniestarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted
CAlex Sarrstarted
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
FJosh Minottstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·BOS
Nov 3, 2025 at NY
last game
Nov 3, 2025 vs UTAH
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 4, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHKhris Middleton · right knee; sorenessOut
Boston Celtics
BOSAmari Williams · g league - two-wayOut
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
BOSRon Harper Jr. · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
WSH·BOS
−1.38
rating (0 = average)
+0.77
112.6
points / game
110.5
127.0
points allowed / game
109.6
1−6
season record
3−5
0−3
home record
1−3
1−3
away record
2−2
L5
streak
L2
2−8
last 10
4−6
45.4
FG%
43.5
37.7
3P%
31.1
46.7
rebounds / game
42.6
26.0
assists / game
22.1
17.3
turnovers / game
11.1
44.9
points in paint / game
40.0

Rating Trend

WSH · BOS · 9 days
Washington WizardsBoston Celtics
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BOS 9−1
Apr 6, 2025at BOSBOS 124 − 90
Dec 15, 2024at WSHBOS 112 − 98
Nov 22, 2024at WSHBOS 108 − 96
Oct 24, 2024at WSHBOS 122 − 102
Apr 14, 2024at BOSBOS 132 − 122
Mar 17, 2024at WSHBOS 130 − 104
Feb 9, 2024at BOSBOS 133 − 129
Oct 30, 2023at WSHBOS 126 − 107
Mar 28, 2023at WSHWSH 130 − 111
Nov 27, 2022at BOSBOS 130 − 121

WSH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L5
Nov 3, 2025at NY102 − 119L
Nov 1, 2025vs ORL94 − 125L
Oct 30, 2025at OKC108 − 127L
Oct 28, 2025vs PHI134 − 139L
Oct 26, 2025vs CHA113 − 139L
Oct 24, 2025at DAL117 − 107W
Oct 22, 2025at MIL120 − 133L
Apr 13, 2025at MIA119 − 118W
Apr 11, 2025at CHI89 − 119L
Apr 9, 2025vs PHI103 − 122L

BOS · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Nov 3, 2025vs UTAH103 − 105L
Nov 1, 2025vs HOU101 − 128L
Oct 31, 2025at PHI109 − 108W
Oct 29, 2025vs CLE125 − 105W
Oct 27, 2025at NO122 − 90W
Oct 26, 2025at DET113 − 119L
Oct 24, 2025at NY95 − 105L
Oct 22, 2025vs PHI116 − 117L
May 16, 2025at NY81 − 119L
May 14, 2025vs NY127 − 102W