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Jazz at Celtics

NBA · Monday, Nov 3 · 6:30 PM CT · TD Garden · Final UTAH 105 – BOS 103
← NBA / Nov 3, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
UTAH21153831105
BOS25212631103
Team box
UTAH·BOS
38-84
field goals
37-89
9-31
3-pointers
11-51
20-25
free throws
18-22
55
rebounds
36
23
assists
21
19
turnovers
10
54
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jaylen BrownBOS383624
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH383154
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH372092
Payton PritchardBOS351853
Anfernee SimonsBOS261512
Kyle FilipowskiUTAH191380

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BOS +14
UTAH +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BOS 14 · UTAH 11lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was UTAH 13%, BOS 87% · Updated Nov 3, 2025

Expected margin
BOS by 17.6
Expected score
BOS 122.8 – 105.2 UTAH
Expected total
227.9
JazzThe matchupCeltics
+658Our fair odds−658
105.2Expected points122.8
−0.83Power rating+0.86
117.3Points / game111.6
121.2Allowed / game110.3
44.7FG%43.7
31.53P%32.4
48.7Rebounds / game43.6
2−4Season record3−4
3−7Last 104−6
Georges Niang · John Tonje
Oscar Tshiebwe · Walker KesslerOut (4 each)Amari Williams · Jayson Tatum
Max Shulga · Ron Harper Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · BOS chance
Our model fair13.2%86.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+65813%————
BOSBoston Celtics−65887%————
SpreadBOS by 17.6
UTAHUtah Jazz+17.6our margin————
BOSBoston Celtics−17.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.9
Over227.9our total————
Under227.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 17.6 expected
Utah Jazz by 53 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 52 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 51 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 50 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 1%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 1%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 37 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 48 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 49 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 50 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 51 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 52 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 53 points: <1%
← UTAH wins byBOS wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more84%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more73%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more58%
Within 5 points either way13%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

227.9 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.570%
Total over 227.550%
Total over 237.531%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
FTaylor Hendricksstarted
CJusuf Nurkicstarted
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
FJosh Minottstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·BOS
Nov 2, 2025 at CHA
last game
Nov 1, 2025 vs HOU
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 3, 5:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHOscar Tshiebwe · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; bursitisOut
Boston Celtics
BOSAmari Williams · g league - two-wayOut
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
BOSRon Harper Jr. · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 6+ games
UTAH·BOS
−0.83
rating (0 = average)
+0.86
117.3
points / game
111.6
121.2
points allowed / game
110.3
2−4
season record
3−4
2−1
home record
1−2
0−3
away record
2−2
L3
streak
L1
3−7
last 10
4−6
44.7
FG%
43.7
31.5
3P%
32.4
48.7
rebounds / game
43.6
28.3
assists / game
22.3
17.7
turnovers / game
11.3
49.3
points in paint / game
40.0

Rating Trend

UTAH · BOS · 7 days
Utah JazzBoston Celtics
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · BOS 6−2
Mar 21, 2025at UTAHBOS 121 − 99
Mar 10, 2025at BOSBOS 114 − 108
Mar 12, 2024at UTAHBOS 123 − 107
Jan 5, 2024at BOSBOS 126 − 97
Mar 31, 2023at BOSBOS 122 − 114
Mar 18, 2023at UTAHUTAH 118 − 117
Mar 23, 2022at BOSBOS 125 − 97
Dec 3, 2021at UTAHUTAH 137 − 130

UTAH · Last 10

3−7 · streak L3
Nov 2, 2025at CHA103 − 126L
Oct 31, 2025at PHX96 − 118L
Oct 29, 2025vs POR134 − 136L
Oct 27, 2025vs PHX138 − 134W
Oct 24, 2025at SAC104 − 105L
Oct 22, 2025vs LAC129 − 108W
Apr 13, 2025at MIN105 − 116L
Apr 11, 2025vs OKC111 − 145L
Apr 9, 2025vs POR133 − 126W
Apr 6, 2025at ATL134 − 147L

BOS · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Nov 1, 2025vs HOU101 − 128L
Oct 31, 2025at PHI109 − 108W
Oct 29, 2025vs CLE125 − 105W
Oct 27, 2025at NO122 − 90W
Oct 26, 2025at DET113 − 119L
Oct 24, 2025at NY95 − 105L
Oct 22, 2025vs PHI116 − 117L
May 16, 2025at NY81 − 119L
May 14, 2025vs NY127 − 102W
May 12, 2025at NY113 − 121L