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Raptors at 76ers

NBA · Saturday, Nov 8 · 6:30 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final TOR 120 – PHI 130

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
TOR43203423120
PHI33353329130
Team box
TOR·PHI
41-90
field goals
49-96
16-38
3-pointers
10-35
22-28
free throws
22-28
38
rebounds
54
29
assists
31
11
turnovers
14
38
points in paint
64
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Tyrese MaxeyPHI433147
Joel EmbiidPHI262964
Immanuel QuickleyTOR362266
RJ BarrettTOR342236
Brandon IngramTOR372185
Trendon WatfordPHI37201710

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +14
TOR +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 13 · TOR 14lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was TOR 43%, PHI 57% · Updated Nov 8, 2025

Expected margin
PHI by 1.9
Expected score
PHI 115.8 – 113.8 TOR
Expected total
229.6
RaptorsThe matchup76ers
+135Our fair odds−135
113.8Expected points115.8
−0.45Power rating−0.38
119.2Points / game123.2
115.7Allowed / game119.2
49.1FG%47.2
38.23P%39.9
41.7Rebounds / game42.6
5−4Season record5−3
5−5Last 105−5
A.J. Lawson · Alijah Martin
Chucky Hepburn · Jakob Poeltl
OutDominick Barlow · Paul George

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
TOR chance · PHI chance
Our model fair42.6%57.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
TORToronto Raptors+13543%————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−13557%————
SpreadPHI by 1.9
TORToronto Raptors+1.9our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−1.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 229.6
Over229.6our total————
Under229.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Philadelphia 76ers by 1.9 expected
Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%
← TOR wins byPHI wins by →
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 5 or more46%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 10 or more31%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

229.6 expected
180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 219.569%
Total over 229.549%
Total over 239.530%
Total from 220 to 23939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Toronto Raptors
GOchai Agbajistarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
Philadelphia 76ers
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
CJoel Embiidstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
TOR·PHI
Nov 7, 2025 at ATL
last game
Nov 5, 2025 at CLE
0 days
days of rest
2 days
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 8, 5:00 PM ET
Toronto Raptors
TORA.J. Lawson · g league - two-wayOut
TORAlijah Martin · g league - two-wayOut
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORJakob Poeltl · lower back; injury managementOut
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIDominick Barlow · right elbow; lacerationOut
PHIPaul George · left knee; surgery recoveryOut
PHIJohni Broome · right ankle; sprainDoubtful

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 8+ games
TOR·PHI
−0.45
rating (0 = average)
−0.38
119.2
points / game
123.2
115.7
points allowed / game
119.2
5−4
season record
5−3
2−2
home record
2−1
3−2
away record
3−2
W4
streak
L2
5−5
last 10
5−5
49.1
FG%
47.2
38.2
3P%
39.9
41.7
rebounds / game
42.6
29.7
assists / game
26.5
14.8
turnovers / game
14.8
51.8
points in paint / game
49.2

Rating Trend

TOR · PHI · 12 days
Toronto RaptorsPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHI 6−4
Mar 30, 2025at PHITOR 127 − 109
Mar 12, 2025at TORTOR 118 − 105
Feb 11, 2025at PHITOR 106 − 103
Oct 25, 2024at TORTOR 115 − 107
Mar 31, 2024at TORPHI 135 − 120
Dec 22, 2023at PHIPHI 121 − 111
Nov 2, 2023at PHIPHI 114 − 99
Oct 28, 2023at TORPHI 114 − 107
Mar 31, 2023at PHIPHI 117 − 110
Dec 19, 2022at PHIPHI 104 − 101

TOR · Last 10

5−5 · streak W4
Nov 7, 2025at ATL109 − 97W
Nov 4, 2025vs MIL128 − 100W
Nov 2, 2025vs MEM117 − 104W
Oct 31, 2025at CLE112 − 101W
Oct 29, 2025vs HOU121 − 139L
Oct 27, 2025at SA103 − 121L
Oct 26, 2025at DAL129 − 139L
Oct 24, 2025vs MIL116 − 122L
Oct 22, 2025at ATL138 − 118W
Apr 13, 2025at SA118 − 125L

PHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
Nov 5, 2025at CLE121 − 132L
Nov 4, 2025at CHI111 − 113L
Nov 2, 2025at BKN129 − 105W
Oct 31, 2025vs BOS108 − 109L
Oct 28, 2025at WSH139 − 134W
Oct 27, 2025vs ORL136 − 124W
Oct 25, 2025vs CHA125 − 121W
Oct 22, 2025at BOS117 − 116W
Apr 13, 2025vs CHI102 − 122L
Apr 11, 2025vs ATL110 − 124L