bayesRatings

Raptors at Nets

NBA · Tuesday, Nov 11 · 6:30 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final TOR 119 – BKN 109

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
TOR28322930119
BKN30222928109
Team box
TOR·BKN
45-91
field goals
32-81
9-35
3-pointers
14-41
20-25
free throws
31-32
50
rebounds
36
31
assists
24
9
turnovers
13
68
points in paint
36
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Brandon IngramTOR332554
Immanuel QuickleyTOR322485
Nic ClaxtonBKN352184
Michael Porter Jr.BKN362163
Noah ClowneyBKN351883
Egor DeminBKN281645

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +17
TOR +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BKN 9 · TOR 17lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was TOR 58%, BKN 42% · Updated Nov 11, 2025

Expected margin
TOR by 3.8
Expected score
TOR 112.8 – 108.9 BKN
Expected total
221.7
RaptorsThe matchupNets
−139Our fair odds+139
112.8Expected points108.9
−0.34Power rating−0.94
119.3Points / game110.0
117.1Allowed / game125.5
48.8FG%43.5
38.63P%32.8
41.3Rebounds / game39.1
5−5Season record1−9
5−5Last 101−9
A.J. Lawson · Alijah Martin
Chucky Hepburn · Ochai Agbaji
Out (4 each)Cam Thomas · Day'Ron Sharpe
Haywood Highsmith · Nolan Traore

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
TOR chance · BKN chance
Our model fair58.2%41.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
TORToronto Raptors−13958%————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+13942%————
SpreadTOR by 3.8
TORToronto Raptors−3.8our margin————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+3.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 221.7
Over221.7our total————
Under221.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Toronto Raptors by 3.8 expected
Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%
← TOR wins byBKN wins by →
Toronto Raptors wins by 5 or more50%
Toronto Raptors wins by 10 or more35%
Toronto Raptors wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

221.7 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 211.570%
Total over 221.550%
Total over 231.530%
Total from 212 to 23139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Toronto Raptors
FRJ Barrettstarted
CJakob Poeltlstarted
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
TOR·BKN
Nov 8, 2025 at PHI
last game
Nov 9, 2025 at NY
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 11, 5:00 PM ET
Toronto Raptors
TORA.J. Lawson · g league - two-wayOut
TORAlijah Martin · g league - two-wayOut
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TOROchai Agbaji · lower back; spasmsOut
TORSandro Mamukelashvili · neck; contusion - stiffnessQuestionable
Brooklyn Nets
BKNCam Thomas · left hamstring; strainOut
BKNDay'Ron Sharpe · left glute; contusionOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNNolan Traore · g league - on assignmentOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 10+ games
TOR·BKN
−0.34
rating (0 = average)
−0.94
119.3
points / game
110.0
117.1
points allowed / game
125.5
5−5
season record
1−9
2−2
home record
0−5
3−3
away record
1−4
L1
streak
L2
5−5
last 10
1−9
48.8
FG%
43.5
38.6
3P%
32.8
41.3
rebounds / game
39.1
29.6
assists / game
24.1
14.4
turnovers / game
16.3
50.4
points in paint / game
41.2

Rating Trend

TOR · BKN · 15 days
Toronto RaptorsBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BKN 6−4
Apr 6, 2025at BKNTOR 120 − 109
Mar 26, 2025at BKNTOR 116 − 86
Jan 1, 2025at TORTOR 130 − 113
Dec 19, 2024at TORBKN 101 − 94
Apr 10, 2024at BKNBKN 106 − 102
Mar 25, 2024at TORBKN 96 − 88
Feb 22, 2024at TORTOR 121 − 93
Nov 28, 2023at BKNBKN 115 − 103
Dec 16, 2022at TORBKN 119 − 116
Dec 2, 2022at BKNBKN 114 − 105

TOR · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Nov 8, 2025at PHI120 − 130L
Nov 7, 2025at ATL109 − 97W
Nov 4, 2025vs MIL128 − 100W
Nov 2, 2025vs MEM117 − 104W
Oct 31, 2025at CLE112 − 101W
Oct 29, 2025vs HOU121 − 139L
Oct 27, 2025at SA103 − 121L
Oct 26, 2025at DAL129 − 139L
Oct 24, 2025vs MIL116 − 122L
Oct 22, 2025at ATL138 − 118W

BKN · Last 10

1−9 · streak L2
Nov 9, 2025at NY98 − 134L
Nov 7, 2025vs DET107 − 125L
Nov 5, 2025at IND112 − 103W
Nov 3, 2025vs MIN109 − 125L
Nov 2, 2025vs PHI105 − 129L
Oct 29, 2025vs ATL112 − 117L
Oct 27, 2025at HOU109 − 137L
Oct 26, 2025at SA107 − 118L
Oct 24, 2025vs CLE124 − 131L
Oct 22, 2025at CHA117 − 136L