bayesRatings

Pistons at Nets

NBA · Friday, Nov 7 · 6:30 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final DET 125 – BKN 107
← NBA / Nov 7, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DET27333431125
BKN29261933107
Team box
DET·BKN
49-85
field goals
34-80
6-26
3-pointers
17-46
21-30
free throws
22-26
46
rebounds
30
32
assists
26
13
turnovers
20
80
points in paint
32
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Cade CunninghamDET3334110
Jalen DurenDET3030110
Michael Porter Jr.BKN322852
Noah ClowneyBKN311912
Nic ClaxtonBKN311782
Ausar ThompsonDET341464

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +24
DET +24
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BKN 10 · DET 24lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DET 69%, BKN 31% · Updated Nov 7, 2025

Expected margin
DET by 7.6
Expected score
DET 114.5 – 106.9 BKN
Expected total
221.3
PistonsThe matchupNets
−220Our fair odds+220
114.5Expected points106.9
+0.09Power rating−0.94
115.6Points / game111.9
111.2Allowed / game124.5
46.1FG%44.0
34.53P%32.5
48.1Rebounds / game40.4
6−2Season record1−7
7−3Last 101−9
Colby Jones · Jaden Ivey
Marcus Sasser · Tobias Harris
Tolu SmithOut (5 each)Ben Saraf · Cam Thomas
Danny Wolf · Haywood Highsmith
Nolan Traore

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DET chance · BKN chance
Our model fair68.7%31.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DETDetroit Pistons−22069%————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+22031%————
SpreadDET by 7.6
DETDetroit Pistons−7.6our margin————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+7.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 221.3
Over221.3our total————
Under221.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 7.6 expected
Detroit Pistons by 48 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 47 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 46 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 45 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%
← DET wins byBKN wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more62%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more45%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more30%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

221.3 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 211.569%
Total over 221.549%
Total over 231.530%
Total from 212 to 23139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
CIsaiah Stewartstarted
CJalen Durenstarted
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DET·BKN
Nov 5, 2025 vs UTAH
last game
Nov 5, 2025 at IND
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 6, 5:00 PM ET
Detroit Pistons
DETColby Jones · g league - two-wayOut
DETJaden Ivey · right knee; arthroscopyOut
DETMarcus Sasser · right hip; impingementOut
DETTobias Harris · right ankle; sprainOut
DETTolu Smith · g league - two-wayOut
DETCaris LeVert · left knee; sorenessQuestionable
Brooklyn Nets
BKNBen Saraf · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNCam Thomas · left hamstring; tightnessOut
BKNDanny Wolf · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNNolan Traore · g league - on assignmentOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 8+ games
DET·BKN
+0.09
rating (0 = average)
−0.94
115.6
points / game
111.9
111.2
points allowed / game
124.5
6−2
season record
1−7
4−1
home record
0−4
2−1
away record
1−3
W4
streak
W1
7−3
last 10
1−9
46.1
FG%
44.0
34.5
3P%
32.5
48.1
rebounds / game
40.4
25.2
assists / game
24.2
14.9
turnovers / game
15.5
58.2
points in paint / game
43.0

Rating Trend

DET · BKN · 11 days
Detroit PistonsBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BKN 5−5
Mar 1, 2025at DETDET 115 − 94
Jan 8, 2025at BKNDET 113 − 98
Nov 3, 2024at BKNDET 106 − 92
Apr 6, 2024at BKNBKN 113 − 103
Mar 7, 2024at DETDET 118 − 112
Dec 26, 2023at DETBKN 118 − 112
Dec 23, 2023at BKNBKN 126 − 115
Apr 5, 2023at DETBKN 123 − 108
Jan 26, 2023at BKNDET 130 − 122
Dec 18, 2022at DETBKN 124 − 121

DET · Last 10

7−3 · streak W4
Nov 5, 2025vs UTAH114 − 103W
Nov 3, 2025at MEM114 − 106W
Nov 1, 2025vs DAL122 − 110W
Oct 29, 2025vs ORL135 − 116W
Oct 27, 2025vs CLE95 − 116L
Oct 26, 2025vs BOS119 − 113W
Oct 24, 2025at HOU115 − 111W
Oct 22, 2025at CHI111 − 115L
May 1, 2025vs NY113 − 116L
Apr 29, 2025at NY106 − 103W

BKN · Last 10

1−9 · streak W1
Nov 5, 2025at IND112 − 103W
Nov 3, 2025vs MIN109 − 125L
Nov 2, 2025vs PHI105 − 129L
Oct 29, 2025vs ATL112 − 117L
Oct 27, 2025at HOU109 − 137L
Oct 26, 2025at SA107 − 118L
Oct 24, 2025vs CLE124 − 131L
Oct 22, 2025at CHA117 − 136L
Apr 13, 2025vs NY105 − 113L
Apr 11, 2025at MIN91 − 117L