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Mavericks at Pistons

NBA · Saturday, Nov 1 · 9:00 PM CT · Arena CDMX · neutral site · Final DAL 110 – DET 122
← NBA / Nov 1, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DAL30313217110
DET27322835122
Team box
DAL·DET
34-80
field goals
45-91
16-45
3-pointers
9-24
26-31
free throws
23-34
43
rebounds
47
23
assists
29
15
turnovers
8
26
points in paint
72
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen DurenDET2933102
D'Angelo RussellDAL303173
Cade CunninghamDET3721618
Duncan RobinsonDET341861
Cooper FlaggDAL341684
Ausar ThompsonDET281571

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DET +12
DAL +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DET 12 · DAL 9lead changes: 16

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DAL 48%, DET 52% · Updated Nov 1, 2025

Expected margin
DET by 1.0
Expected score
DET 114.9 – 113.9 DAL
Expected total
228.8
MavericksThe matchupPistons
+109Our fair odds−109
113.9Expected points114.9
−0.10Power rating−0.01
107.8Points / game115.0
115.4Allowed / game114.2
44.6FG%44.0
32.43P%33.8
43.4Rebounds / game48.6
2−3Season record3−2
3−7Last 105−5
Anthony Davis · Dante Exum
Dereck Lively II · Kyrie IrvingOutJaden Ivey

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DAL chance · DET chance
Our model fair47.8%52.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DALDallas Mavericks+10948%————
DETDetroit Pistons−10952%————
SpreadDET by 1.0
DALDallas Mavericks+1our margin————
DETDetroit Pistons−1our margin————
Totalwe expect 228.8
Over228.8our total————
Under228.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 1.0 expected
Dallas Mavericks by 42 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 41 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 40 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 39 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 38 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 37 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 36 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 35 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 34 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 33 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 32 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 31 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 30 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 29 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 28 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 27 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 26 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 25 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 24 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 23 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 22 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 21 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 20 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 19 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 18 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 17 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 16 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 15 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 14 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 13 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 12 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 11 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 10 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 9 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 8 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 7 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 6 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 5 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 4 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 3 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 2 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%
← DAL wins byDET wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more43%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more29%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

228.8 expected
179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 218.570%
Total over 228.550%
Total over 238.530%
Total from 219 to 23839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Dallas Mavericks
GKlay Thompsonstarted
GMax Christiestarted
FDaniel Gaffordstarted
FP.J. Washingtonstarted
FCooper Flaggstarted
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FTobias Harrisstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
CJalen Durenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DAL·DET
Oct 29, 2025 vs IND
last game
Oct 29, 2025 vs ORL
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
4th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 1, 5:00 PM ET
Dallas Mavericks
DALAnthony Davis · left calf; strainOut
DALDante Exum · right knee; injury managementOut
DALDereck Lively II · right knee; sprainOut
DALKyrie Irving · left knee; surgeryOut
DALD'Angelo Russell · left knee; contusionQuestionable
DALDaniel Gafford · right ankle; sprainQuestionable
Detroit Pistons
DETJaden Ivey · right knee; arthroscopyOut
DETMarcus Sasser · right hip; impingementQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
DAL·DET
−0.10
rating (0 = average)
−0.01
107.8
points / game
115.0
115.4
points allowed / game
114.2
2−3
season record
3−2
2−3
home record
2−1
0−0
away record
1−1
W1
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
5−5
44.6
FG%
44.0
32.4
3P%
33.8
43.4
rebounds / game
48.6
23.2
assists / game
25.2
17.0
turnovers / game
16.8
47.2
points in paint / game
55.2

Rating Trend

DAL · DET · 5 days
Dallas MavericksDetroit Pistons
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · DET 3−5
Mar 21, 2025at DALDAL 123 − 117
Jan 31, 2025at DETDET 117 − 102
Apr 12, 2024at DALDET 107 − 89
Mar 9, 2024at DETDAL 142 − 124
Jan 30, 2023at DALDAL 111 − 105
Dec 1, 2022at DETDET 131 − 125
Apr 6, 2022at DETDAL 131 − 113
Feb 8, 2022at DALDAL 116 − 86

DAL · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Oct 29, 2025vs IND107 − 105W
Oct 27, 2025vs OKC94 − 101L
Oct 26, 2025vs TOR139 − 129W
Oct 24, 2025vs WSH107 − 117L
Oct 22, 2025vs SA92 − 125L
Apr 13, 2025at MEM97 − 132L
Apr 11, 2025vs TOR124 − 102W
Apr 9, 2025vs LAL97 − 112L
Apr 5, 2025at LAC104 − 135L
Apr 4, 2025at LAC91 − 114L

DET · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Oct 29, 2025vs ORL135 − 116W
Oct 27, 2025vs CLE95 − 116L
Oct 26, 2025vs BOS119 − 113W
Oct 24, 2025at HOU115 − 111W
Oct 22, 2025at CHI111 − 115L
May 1, 2025vs NY113 − 116L
Apr 29, 2025at NY106 − 103W
Apr 27, 2025vs NY93 − 94L
Apr 24, 2025vs NY116 − 118L
Apr 21, 2025at NY100 − 94W