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Jazz at Pistons

NBA · Wednesday, Nov 5 · 6:00 PM CT · Little Caesars Arena · Final UTAH 103 – DET 114
← NBA / Nov 5, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
UTAH30251434103
DET28252536114
Team box
UTAH·DET
33-86
field goals
45-91
12-39
3-pointers
11-30
25-29
free throws
13-22
44
rebounds
52
24
assists
24
15
turnovers
13
36
points in paint
60
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Cade CunninghamDET3731310
Svi MykhailiukUTAH362822
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH402540
Jalen DurenDET3522223
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH351926
Ausar ThompsonDET311874

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DET +12
UTAH +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DET 12 · UTAH 12lead changes: 8

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was UTAH 24%, DET 76% · Updated Nov 5, 2025

Expected margin
DET by 9.5
Expected score
DET 122.0 – 112.5 UTAH
Expected total
234.5
JazzThe matchupPistons
+323Our fair odds−323
112.5Expected points122.0
−0.87Power rating+0.09
115.6Points / game115.9
118.6Allowed / game112.4
44.7FG%45.7
31.13P%34.1
49.6Rebounds / game47.6
3−4Season record5−2
4−6Last 106−4
Georges Niang · John Tonje
Oscar Tshiebwe · Walker KesslerOutJaden Ivey · Marcus Sasser
Tobias Harris

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · DET chance
Our model fair23.6%76.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+32324%————
DETDetroit Pistons−32376%————
SpreadDET by 9.5
UTAHUtah Jazz+9.5our margin————
DETDetroit Pistons−9.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 234.5
Over234.5our total————
Under234.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 9.5 expected
Utah Jazz by 52 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 51 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 50 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 45 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 46 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 47 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 48 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 49 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 50 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 51 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 52 points: <1%
← UTAH wins byDET wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more65%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more50%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more35%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

234.5 expected
184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 224.568%
Total over 234.549%
Total over 244.530%
Total from 225 to 24438%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
FTaylor Hendricksstarted
CJusuf Nurkicstarted
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
CIsaiah Stewartstarted
CJalen Durenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·DET
Nov 3, 2025 at BOS
last game
Nov 3, 2025 at MEM
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 4, 5:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHOscar Tshiebwe · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; bursitisOut
Detroit Pistons
DETJaden Ivey · right knee; arthroscopyOut
DETMarcus Sasser · right hip; impingementOut
DETTobias Harris · right ankle; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
UTAH·DET
−0.87
rating (0 = average)
+0.09
115.6
points / game
115.9
118.6
points allowed / game
112.4
3−4
season record
5−2
2−1
home record
3−1
1−3
away record
2−1
W1
streak
W3
4−6
last 10
6−4
44.7
FG%
45.7
31.1
3P%
34.1
49.6
rebounds / game
47.6
27.6
assists / game
25.4
17.9
turnovers / game
15.1
50.0
points in paint / game
58.0

Rating Trend

UTAH · DET · 9 days
Utah JazzDetroit Pistons
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · DET 3−5
Mar 3, 2025at UTAHDET 134 − 106
Dec 19, 2024at DETUTAH 126 − 119
Jan 3, 2024at UTAHUTAH 154 − 148
Dec 21, 2023at DETUTAH 119 − 111
Dec 20, 2022at DETUTAH 126 − 111
Nov 23, 2022at UTAHDET 125 − 116
Jan 21, 2022at UTAHUTAH 111 − 101
Jan 10, 2022at DETDET 126 − 116

UTAH · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Nov 3, 2025at BOS105 − 103W
Nov 2, 2025at CHA103 − 126L
Oct 31, 2025at PHX96 − 118L
Oct 29, 2025vs POR134 − 136L
Oct 27, 2025vs PHX138 − 134W
Oct 24, 2025at SAC104 − 105L
Oct 22, 2025vs LAC129 − 108W
Apr 13, 2025at MIN105 − 116L
Apr 11, 2025vs OKC111 − 145L
Apr 9, 2025vs POR133 − 126W

DET · Last 10

6−4 · streak W3
Nov 3, 2025at MEM114 − 106W
Nov 1, 2025vs DAL122 − 110W
Oct 29, 2025vs ORL135 − 116W
Oct 27, 2025vs CLE95 − 116L
Oct 26, 2025vs BOS119 − 113W
Oct 24, 2025at HOU115 − 111W
Oct 22, 2025at CHI111 − 115L
May 1, 2025vs NY113 − 116L
Apr 29, 2025at NY106 − 103W
Apr 27, 2025vs NY93 − 94L