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Wizards at Rockets

NBA · Wednesday, Nov 12 · 7:00 PM CT · Toyota Center (Houston) · Final WSH 112 – HOU 135
← NBA / Nov 12, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH29253325112
HOU40412232135
Team box
WSH·HOU
42-92
field goals
51-96
15-38
3-pointers
17-35
13-19
free throws
16-23
37
rebounds
53
25
assists
32
12
turnovers
12
54
points in paint
56
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Alex SarrWSH3225114
Kevin DurantHOU312354
Reed SheppardHOU252133
Tari EasonHOU212060
Amen ThompsonHOU351818
Alperen SengunHOU2816136

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
HOU +29
WSH +29
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: HOU 29 · WSH 1lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 10%, HOU 90% · Updated Nov 12, 2025

Expected margin
HOU by 18.3
Expected score
HOU 124.4 – 106.1 WSH
Expected total
230.5
WizardsThe matchupRockets
+883Our fair odds−883
106.1Expected points124.4
−1.43Power rating+0.54
113.6Points / game122.8
129.2Allowed / game113.1
46.1FG%49.6
36.73P%43.2
45.5Rebounds / game49.0
1−10Season record6−3
1−9Last 106−4
Bilal Coulibaly · Jamir Watkins
Sharife CooperOutDorian Finney-Smith · Fred VanVleet
Isaiah Crawford · Kevon Harris

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · HOU chance
Our model fair10.2%89.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+88310%————
HOUHouston Rockets−88390%————
SpreadHOU by 18.3
WSHWashington Wizards+18.3our margin————
HOUHouston Rockets−18.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 230.5
Over230.5our total————
Under230.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Houston Rockets by 18.3 expected
Washington Wizards by 52 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 51 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 1%Houston Rockets by 1 point: 1%Houston Rockets by 2 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 3 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 4 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 5 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 6 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 7 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 8 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 9 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 10 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 11 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 12 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 13 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 14 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 15 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 16 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 17 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 18 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 19 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 20 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 21 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 22 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 23 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 24 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 25 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 26 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 27 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 28 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 29 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 30 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 31 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 32 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 33 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 34 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 35 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 36 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 37 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 38 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 39 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 40 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 41 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 42 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 43 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 44 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 45 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 46 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 47 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 48 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 49 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 50 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 51 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 52 points: <1%
← WSH wins byHOU wins by →
Houston Rockets wins by 5 or more86%
Houston Rockets wins by 10 or more75%
Houston Rockets wins by 15 or more61%
Within 5 points either way12%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

230.5 expected
181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 220.569%
Total over 230.549%
Total over 240.530%
Total from 221 to 24039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GCJ McCollumstarted
GTre Johnsonstarted
FKhris Middletonstarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted
CAlex Sarrstarted
Houston Rockets
GJosh Okogiestarted
GAmen Thompsonstarted
FKevin Durantstarted
FJabari Smith Jr.started
CAlperen Sengunstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·HOU
Nov 10, 2025 at DET
last game
Nov 9, 2025 at MIL
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 12, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHBilal Coulibaly · left calf; contusionOut
WSHJamir Watkins · g league - on assignmentOut
WSHSharife Cooper · g league - on assignmentOut
Houston Rockets
HOUDorian Finney-Smith · left ankle; surgeryOut
HOUFred VanVleet · right knee; acl repairOut
HOUIsaiah Crawford · g league - two-wayOut
HOUKevon Harris · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 9+ games
WSH·HOU
−1.43
rating (0 = average)
+0.54
113.6
points / game
122.8
129.2
points allowed / game
113.1
1−10
season record
6−3
0−5
home record
2−1
1−5
away record
4−2
L9
streak
W1
1−9
last 10
6−4
46.1
FG%
49.6
36.7
3P%
43.2
45.5
rebounds / game
49.0
25.6
assists / game
25.9
18.0
turnovers / game
17.6
47.1
points in paint / game
52.4

Rating Trend

WSH · HOU · 16 days
Washington WizardsHouston Rockets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · HOU 7−1
Jan 7, 2025at WSHHOU 135 − 112
Nov 11, 2024at HOUHOU 107 − 92
Mar 19, 2024at WSHHOU 137 − 114
Mar 14, 2024at HOUHOU 135 − 119
Apr 9, 2023at WSHHOU 114 − 109
Jan 25, 2023at HOUWSH 108 − 103
Mar 21, 2022at HOUHOU 115 − 97
Jan 5, 2022at WSHHOU 114 − 111

WSH · Last 10

1−9 · streak L9
Nov 10, 2025at DET135 − 137L
Nov 8, 2025vs DAL105 − 111L
Nov 7, 2025vs CLE115 − 148L
Nov 5, 2025at BOS107 − 136L
Nov 3, 2025at NY102 − 119L
Nov 1, 2025vs ORL94 − 125L
Oct 30, 2025at OKC108 − 127L
Oct 28, 2025vs PHI134 − 139L
Oct 26, 2025vs CHA113 − 139L
Oct 24, 2025at DAL117 − 107W

HOU · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Nov 9, 2025at MIL122 − 115W
Nov 7, 2025at SA110 − 121L
Nov 5, 2025at MEM124 − 109W
Nov 3, 2025vs DAL110 − 102W
Nov 1, 2025at BOS128 − 101W
Oct 29, 2025at TOR139 − 121W
Oct 27, 2025vs BKN137 − 109W
Oct 24, 2025vs DET111 − 115L
Oct 21, 2025at OKC124 − 125L
May 4, 2025vs GS89 − 103L