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Wizards at Timberwolves

NBA · Wednesday, Nov 19 · 7:00 PM CT · Target Center · Final WSH 109 – MIN 120
← NBA / Nov 19, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH29173627109
MIN34372326120
Team box
WSH·MIN
43-88
field goals
42-94
14-32
3-pointers
13-38
9-12
free throws
23-32
43
rebounds
50
25
assists
28
17
turnovers
10
50
points in paint
56
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Julius RandleMIN3332106
Naz ReidMIN272851
Kyshawn GeorgeWSH372377
Anthony EdwardsMIN361822
CJ McCollumWSH311454
Marvin Bagley IIIWSH311373

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
MIN +27
WSH +27
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: MIN 27 · WSH 4lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 9%, MIN 91% · Updated Nov 19, 2025

Expected margin
MIN by 19.6
Expected score
MIN 124.2 – 104.6 WSH
Expected total
228.8
WizardsThe matchupTimberwolves
+1048Our fair odds−1048
104.6Expected points124.2
−1.51Power rating+0.63
112.9Points / game120.6
129.6Allowed / game114.4
45.9FG%49.7
36.83P%38.4
43.9Rebounds / game43.6
1−12Season record9−5
0−10Last 107−3
Alex SarrOutEnrique Freeman · Jaden McDaniels
Rocco Zikarsky · Terrence Shannon Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · MIN chance
Our model fair8.7%91.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+10489%————
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−104891%————
SpreadMIN by 19.6
WSHWashington Wizards+19.6our margin————
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−19.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 228.8
Over228.8our total————
Under228.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Minnesota Timberwolves by 19.6 expected
Washington Wizards by 52 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 51 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 1 point: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 2 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 3 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 4 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 5 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 6 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 7 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 8 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 9 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 10 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 11 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 12 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 13 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 14 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 15 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 16 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 17 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 18 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 19 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 20 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 21 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 22 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 23 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 24 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 25 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 26 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 27 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 28 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 29 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 30 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 31 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 32 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 33 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 34 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 35 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 36 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 37 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 38 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 39 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 40 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 41 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 42 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 43 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 44 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 45 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 46 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 47 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 48 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 49 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 50 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 51 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 52 points: <1%
← WSH wins byMIN wins by →
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 5 or more89%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 10 or more79%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 15 or more65%
Within 5 points either way10%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

228.8 expected
179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 218.570%
Total over 228.550%
Total over 238.530%
Total from 219 to 23839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GCJ McCollumstarted
GBilal Coulibalystarted
FKhris Middletonstarted
FMarvin Bagley IIIstarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted
Minnesota Timberwolves
GMike Conleystarted
GDonte DiVincenzostarted
GAnthony Edwardsstarted
FJulius Randlestarted
CRudy Gobertstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·MIN
Nov 16, 2025 vs BKN
last game
Nov 17, 2025 vs DAL
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
4th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 19, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHAlex Sarr · left big toe; sorenessOut
Minnesota Timberwolves
MINEnrique Freeman · g league - two-wayOut
MINJaden McDaniels · left wrist; sprainOut
MINRocco Zikarsky · g league - two-wayOut
MINTerrence Shannon Jr. · left fifth metatarsal; bone bruiseOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
WSH·MIN
−1.51
rating (0 = average)
+0.63
112.9
points / game
120.6
129.6
points allowed / game
114.4
1−12
season record
9−5
0−6
home record
4−3
1−6
away record
5−2
L11
streak
W1
0−10
last 10
7−3
45.9
FG%
49.7
36.8
3P%
38.4
43.9
rebounds / game
43.6
25.2
assists / game
26.4
17.1
turnovers / game
15.2
47.1
points in paint / game
52.7

Rating Trend

WSH · MIN · 23 days
Washington WizardsMinnesota Timberwolves
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · MIN 3−5
Feb 1, 2025at MINWSH 105 − 103
Jan 13, 2025at WSHMIN 120 − 106
Apr 9, 2024at MINMIN 130 − 121
Jan 24, 2024at WSHMIN 118 − 107
Feb 16, 2023at MINWSH 114 − 106
Nov 28, 2022at WSHWSH 142 − 127
Apr 5, 2022at MINWSH 132 − 114
Dec 1, 2021at WSHWSH 115 − 107

WSH · Last 10

0−10 · streak L10
Nov 16, 2025vs BKN106 − 129L
Nov 12, 2025at HOU112 − 135L
Nov 10, 2025at DET135 − 137L
Nov 8, 2025vs DAL105 − 111L
Nov 7, 2025vs CLE115 − 148L
Nov 5, 2025at BOS107 − 136L
Nov 3, 2025at NY102 − 119L
Nov 1, 2025vs ORL94 − 125L
Oct 30, 2025at OKC108 − 127L
Oct 28, 2025vs PHI134 − 139L

MIN · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Nov 17, 2025vs DAL120 − 96W
Nov 15, 2025vs DEN112 − 123L
Nov 14, 2025vs SAC124 − 110W
Nov 10, 2025at UTAH120 − 113W
Nov 9, 2025at SAC144 − 117W
Nov 7, 2025vs UTAH137 − 97W
Nov 5, 2025at NY114 − 137L
Nov 3, 2025at BKN125 − 109W
Nov 1, 2025at CHA122 − 105W
Oct 29, 2025vs LAL115 − 116L