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Timberwolves at Knicks

NBA · Wednesday, Nov 5 · 6:30 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final MIN 114 – NY 137
← NBA / Nov 5, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MIN26322828114
NY28264043137
Team box
MIN·NY
40-83
field goals
55-102
19-40
3-pointers
19-42
15-17
free throws
8-9
31
rebounds
50
30
assists
32
17
turnovers
14
40
points in paint
62
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Julius RandleMIN383254
OG AnunobyNY322581
Jalen BrunsonNY3323710
Donte DiVincenzoMIN362134
Josh HartNY271854
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3115104

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +23
MIN +23
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 23 · MIN 9lead changes: 8

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MIN 49%, NY 51% · Updated Nov 5, 2025

Expected margin
NY by 1.4
Expected score
NY 110.8 – 109.3 MIN
Expected total
220.1
TimberwolvesThe matchupKnicks
+105Our fair odds−105
109.3Expected points110.8
+0.57Power rating+0.39
116.9Points / game116.3
115.6Allowed / game113.6
49.9FG%43.3
40.33P%36.9
41.6Rebounds / game47.6
4−3Season record4−3
5−5Last 105−5
Enrique Freeman · Rocco ZikarskyOut—

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MIN chance · NY chance
Our model fair48.8%51.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MINMinnesota Timberwolves+10549%————
NYNew York Knicks−10551%————
SpreadNY by 1.4
MINMinnesota Timberwolves+1.4our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−1.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 220.1
Over220.1our total————
Under220.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 1.4 expected
Minnesota Timberwolves by 43 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 42 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 41 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 40 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 39 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 38 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 37 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 36 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 35 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 34 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 33 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 32 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 31 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 30 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 29 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 28 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 27 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 26 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 25 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 24 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 23 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 22 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 21 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 20 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 19 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 18 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 17 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 16 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 15 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 14 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 13 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 12 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 11 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 10 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 9 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 8 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 7 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 6 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 5 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 4 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 3 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 2 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 2%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: <1%New York Knicks by 29 points: <1%New York Knicks by 30 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%
← MIN wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more44%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more30%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

220.1 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 210.569%
Total over 220.549%
Total over 230.529%
Total from 211 to 23039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Minnesota Timberwolves
GDonte DiVincenzostarted
GAnthony Edwardsstarted
FJulius Randlestarted
FJaden McDanielsstarted
CRudy Gobertstarted
New York Knicks
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted
CMitchell Robinsonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MIN·NY
Nov 3, 2025 at BKN
last game
Nov 3, 2025 vs WSH
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 5, 5:00 PM ET
Minnesota Timberwolves
MINEnrique Freeman · g league - two-wayOut
MINRocco Zikarsky · g league - two-wayOut
MINAnthony Edwards · right hamstring; strainQuestionable
MINTerrence Shannon Jr. · left foot; sorenessQuestionable
New York Knicks
NYKarl-Anthony Towns · illness; illnessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
MIN·NY
+0.57
rating (0 = average)
+0.39
116.9
points / game
116.3
115.6
points allowed / game
113.6
4−3
season record
4−3
1−2
home record
4−0
3−1
away record
0−3
W2
streak
W2
5−5
last 10
5−5
49.9
FG%
43.3
40.3
3P%
36.9
41.6
rebounds / game
47.6
25.3
assists / game
26.0
15.0
turnovers / game
14.0
50.3
points in paint / game
41.1

Rating Trend

MIN · NY · 9 days
Minnesota TimberwolvesNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · NY 4−4
Jan 17, 2025at NYMIN 116 − 99
Dec 19, 2024at MINNY 133 − 107
Jan 1, 2024at NYNY 112 − 106
Nov 20, 2023at MINMIN 117 − 100
Mar 20, 2023at NYMIN 140 − 134
Nov 7, 2022at MINNY 120 − 107
Jan 18, 2022at NYMIN 112 − 110
Dec 28, 2021at MINNY 96 − 88

MIN · Last 10

5−5 · streak W2
Nov 3, 2025at BKN125 − 109W
Nov 1, 2025at CHA122 − 105W
Oct 29, 2025vs LAL115 − 116L
Oct 27, 2025vs DEN114 − 127L
Oct 26, 2025vs IND114 − 110W
Oct 24, 2025at LAL110 − 128L
Oct 22, 2025at POR118 − 114W
May 28, 2025at OKC94 − 124L
May 26, 2025vs OKC126 − 128L
May 24, 2025vs OKC143 − 101W

NY · Last 10

5−5 · streak W2
Nov 3, 2025vs WSH119 − 102W
Nov 2, 2025vs CHI128 − 116W
Oct 31, 2025at CHI125 − 135L
Oct 28, 2025at MIL111 − 121L
Oct 26, 2025at MIA107 − 115L
Oct 24, 2025vs BOS105 − 95W
Oct 22, 2025vs CLE119 − 111W
May 31, 2025at IND108 − 125L
May 29, 2025vs IND111 − 94W
May 27, 2025at IND121 − 130L