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Timberwolves at Kings

NBA · Sunday, Nov 9 · 8:00 PM CT · Golden 1 Center · Final MIN 144 – SAC 117
← NBA / Nov 9, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MIN31404033144
SAC25293033117
Team box
MIN·SAC
52-97
field goals
40-90
18-46
3-pointers
13-29
22-24
free throws
24-31
44
rebounds
43
28
assists
25
11
turnovers
18
64
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Anthony EdwardsMIN302645
Zach LaVineSAC302642
DeMar DeRozanSAC292232
Jaden McDanielsMIN262153
Domantas SabonisSAC3020133
Rudy GobertMIN3419121

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SAC +32
MIN +32
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: SAC 5 · MIN 32lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MIN 58%, SAC 42% · Updated Nov 9, 2025

Expected margin
MIN by 2.6
Expected score
MIN 115.1 – 112.5 SAC
Expected total
227.7
TimberwolvesThe matchupKings
−140Our fair odds+140
115.1Expected points112.5
+0.57Power rating−0.00
118.8Points / game115.1
115.9Allowed / game121.7
50.4FG%47.9
41.83P%37.6
41.6Rebounds / game39.7
5−4Season record3−6
5−5Last 104−6
Enrique Freeman · Rocco Zikarsky
Terrence Shannon Jr.OutDaeqwon Plowden · Dylan Cardwell
Isaiah Stevens · Keegan Murray

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MIN chance · SAC chance
Our model fair58.3%41.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−14058%————
SACSacramento Kings+14042%————
SpreadMIN by 2.6
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−2.6our margin————
SACSacramento Kings+2.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.7
Over227.7our total————
Under227.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Minnesota Timberwolves by 2.6 expected
Minnesota Timberwolves by 43 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 42 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 41 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 40 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 39 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 38 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 37 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 36 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 35 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 34 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 33 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 32 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 31 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 30 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 29 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 28 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 27 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 26 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 25 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 24 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 23 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 22 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 21 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 20 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 19 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 18 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 17 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 16 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 15 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 14 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 13 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 12 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 11 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 10 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 9 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 8 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 7 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 6 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 5 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 4 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 3 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 2 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%
← MIN wins bySAC wins by →
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 5 or more47%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 10 or more32%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.7 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.569%
Total over 227.550%
Total over 237.530%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Minnesota Timberwolves
GDonte DiVincenzostarted
GAnthony Edwardsstarted
FJulius Randlestarted
FJaden McDanielsstarted
CRudy Gobertstarted
Sacramento Kings
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GDennis Schroderstarted
GZach LaVinestarted
FDomantas Sabonisstarted
FPrecious Achiuwastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MIN·SAC
Nov 7, 2025 vs UTAH
last game
Nov 7, 2025 vs OKC
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 9, 5:00 PM ET
Minnesota Timberwolves
MINEnrique Freeman · g league - two-wayOut
MINRocco Zikarsky · g league - two-wayOut
MINTerrence Shannon Jr. · left foot; sorenessOut
Sacramento Kings
SACDaeqwon Plowden · g league - two-wayOut
SACDylan Cardwell · g league - two-wayOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACKeegan Murray · left thumb; ucl injury recoveryOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · left ribcage; contusionQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 9+ games
MIN·SAC
+0.57
rating (0 = average)
−0.00
118.8
points / game
115.1
115.9
points allowed / game
121.7
5−4
season record
3−6
2−2
home record
2−2
3−2
away record
1−4
W1
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
4−6
50.4
FG%
47.9
41.8
3P%
37.6
41.6
rebounds / game
39.7
26.6
assists / game
26.0
15.9
turnovers / game
14.1
50.2
points in paint / game
48.2

Rating Trend

MIN · SAC · 13 days
Minnesota TimberwolvesSacramento Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · SAC 5−5
Feb 3, 2025at MINSAC 116 − 114
Nov 27, 2024at MINSAC 115 − 104
Nov 15, 2024at SACMIN 130 − 126
Oct 24, 2024at SACMIN 117 − 115
Mar 1, 2024at MINSAC 124 − 120
Dec 23, 2023at SACMIN 110 − 98
Nov 24, 2023at MINSAC 124 − 111
Mar 27, 2023at SACMIN 119 − 115
Mar 4, 2023at SACMIN 138 − 134
Jan 30, 2023at MINSAC 118 − 111

MIN · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Nov 7, 2025vs UTAH137 − 97W
Nov 5, 2025at NY114 − 137L
Nov 3, 2025at BKN125 − 109W
Nov 1, 2025at CHA122 − 105W
Oct 29, 2025vs LAL115 − 116L
Oct 27, 2025vs DEN114 − 127L
Oct 26, 2025vs IND114 − 110W
Oct 24, 2025at LAL110 − 128L
Oct 22, 2025at POR118 − 114W
May 28, 2025at OKC94 − 124L

SAC · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Nov 7, 2025vs OKC101 − 132L
Nov 5, 2025vs GS121 − 116W
Nov 3, 2025at DEN124 − 130L
Nov 1, 2025at MIL135 − 133W
Oct 29, 2025at CHI113 − 126L
Oct 28, 2025at OKC101 − 107L
Oct 26, 2025vs LAL120 − 127L
Oct 24, 2025vs UTAH105 − 104W
Oct 22, 2025at PHX116 − 120L
Apr 13, 2025vs PHX109 − 98W