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Jazz at Timberwolves

NBA · Friday, Nov 7 · 7:00 PM CT · Target Center · Final UTAH 97 – MIN 137
← NBA / Nov 7, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
UTAH1530223097
MIN43362533137
Team box
UTAH·MIN
35-94
field goals
50-88
9-39
3-pointers
17-36
18-25
free throws
20-27
40
rebounds
52
28
assists
32
18
turnovers
21
42
points in paint
60
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Anthony EdwardsMIN263751
Jaden McDanielsMIN272271
Julius RandleMIN26191012
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH261842
Ace BaileyUTAH241263
Bones HylandMIN91213

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
MIN +44
UTAH +44
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: MIN 44 · UTAH 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was UTAH 16%, MIN 84% · Updated Nov 7, 2025

Expected margin
MIN by 14.2
Expected score
MIN 121.4 – 107.2 UTAH
Expected total
228.6
JazzThe matchupTimberwolves
+518Our fair odds−518
107.2Expected points121.4
−0.87Power rating+0.57
114.0Points / game116.5
118.0Allowed / game118.2
43.9FG%49.6
31.13P%41.1
48.9Rebounds / game40.2
3−5Season record4−4
3−7Last 104−6
Georges Niang · John Tonje
Oscar Tshiebwe · Walker KesslerOutEnrique Freeman · Rocco Zikarsky
Terrence Shannon Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · MIN chance
Our model fair16.2%83.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+51816%————
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−51884%————
SpreadMIN by 14.2
UTAHUtah Jazz+14.2our margin————
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−14.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 228.6
Over228.6our total————
Under228.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Minnesota Timberwolves by 14.2 expected
Utah Jazz by 53 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 52 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 51 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 50 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 1 point: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 2 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 3 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 4 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 5 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 6 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 7 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 8 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 9 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 10 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 11 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 12 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 13 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 14 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 15 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 16 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 17 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 18 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 19 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 20 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 21 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 22 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 23 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 24 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 25 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 26 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 27 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 28 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 29 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 30 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 31 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 32 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 33 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 34 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 35 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 36 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 37 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 38 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 39 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 40 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 41 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 42 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 43 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 44 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 45 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 46 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 47 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 48 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 49 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 50 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 51 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 52 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 53 points: <1%
← UTAH wins byMIN wins by →
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 5 or more76%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 10 or more63%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 15 or more48%
Within 5 points either way17%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

228.6 expected
179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 218.569%
Total over 228.550%
Total over 238.530%
Total from 219 to 23839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
GIsaiah Collierstarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
CJusuf Nurkicstarted
Minnesota Timberwolves
GDonte DiVincenzostarted
GAnthony Edwardsstarted
FJulius Randlestarted
FJaden McDanielsstarted
CRudy Gobertstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·MIN
Nov 5, 2025 at DET
last game
Nov 5, 2025 at NY
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
5th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 7, 5:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz
UTAHGeorges Niang · recovery left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHOscar Tshiebwe · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injuryOut
Minnesota Timberwolves
MINEnrique Freeman · g league - two-wayOut
MINRocco Zikarsky · g league - two-wayOut
MINTerrence Shannon Jr. · left foot; sorenessOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 8+ games
UTAH·MIN
−0.87
rating (0 = average)
+0.57
114.0
points / game
116.5
118.0
points allowed / game
118.2
3−5
season record
4−4
2−1
home record
1−2
1−4
away record
3−2
L1
streak
L1
3−7
last 10
4−6
43.9
FG%
49.6
31.1
3P%
41.1
48.9
rebounds / game
40.2
27.1
assists / game
25.9
17.5
turnovers / game
15.2
48.2
points in paint / game
49.0

Rating Trend

UTAH · MIN · 11 days
Utah JazzMinnesota Timberwolves
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · MIN 8−2
Apr 13, 2025at MINMIN 116 − 105
Mar 16, 2025at MINMIN 128 − 102
Feb 28, 2025at UTAHUTAH 117 − 116
Jan 30, 2025at UTAHMIN 138 − 113
Mar 18, 2024at UTAHMIN 114 − 104
Mar 16, 2024at UTAHMIN 119 − 100
Nov 30, 2023at MINMIN 101 − 90
Nov 4, 2023at MINMIN 123 − 95
Feb 8, 2023at UTAHMIN 143 − 118
Jan 16, 2023at MINUTAH 126 − 125

UTAH · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Nov 5, 2025at DET103 − 114L
Nov 3, 2025at BOS105 − 103W
Nov 2, 2025at CHA103 − 126L
Oct 31, 2025at PHX96 − 118L
Oct 29, 2025vs POR134 − 136L
Oct 27, 2025vs PHX138 − 134W
Oct 24, 2025at SAC104 − 105L
Oct 22, 2025vs LAC129 − 108W
Apr 13, 2025at MIN105 − 116L
Apr 11, 2025vs OKC111 − 145L

MIN · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Nov 5, 2025at NY114 − 137L
Nov 3, 2025at BKN125 − 109W
Nov 1, 2025at CHA122 − 105W
Oct 29, 2025vs LAL115 − 116L
Oct 27, 2025vs DEN114 − 127L
Oct 26, 2025vs IND114 − 110W
Oct 24, 2025at LAL110 − 128L
Oct 22, 2025at POR118 − 114W
May 28, 2025at OKC94 − 124L
May 26, 2025vs OKC126 − 128L