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Pistons at Pacers

NBA · Monday, Nov 24 · 6:00 PM CT · Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Final DET 122 – IND 117
← NBA / Nov 24, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DET35363021122
IND32233329117
Team box
DET·IND
42-84
field goals
39-82
9-25
3-pointers
13-31
29-37
free throws
26-34
45
rebounds
30
24
assists
22
17
turnovers
13
58
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Cade CunninghamDET3624116
Pascal SiakamIND352483
Jarace WalkerIND272162
Caris LeVertDET231913
Jalen DurenDET3017122
T.J. McConnellIND221615

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
IND +19
DET +19
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: IND 2 · DET 19lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DET 47%, IND 53% · Updated Nov 24, 2025

Expected margin
IND by 0.3
Expected score
IND 116.3 – 116.0 DET
Expected total
232.3
PistonsThe matchupPacers
+114Our fair odds−114
116.0Expected points116.3
+0.19Power rating+0.06
119.5Points / game110.1
112.4Allowed / game122.9
49.3FG%41.1
35.63P%30.5
45.9Rebounds / game46.1
14−2Season record2−14
10−0Last 101−9
Bobi Klintman · Isaac Jones
Marcus Sasser · Tolu Smith
Wendell Moore Jr.Out (5 each)Aaron Nesmith · Johnny Furphy
Kam Jones · Obi Toppin
Quenton Jackson

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DET chance · IND chance
Our model fair46.7%53.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DETDetroit Pistons+11447%————
INDIndiana Pacers−11453%————
SpreadIND by 0.3
DETDetroit Pistons+0.3our margin————
INDIndiana Pacers−0.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 232.3
Over232.3our total————
Under232.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Indiana Pacers by 0.3 expected
Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Indiana Pacers by 1 point: 2%Indiana Pacers by 2 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 3 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 4 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 5 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 6 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 7 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 8 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 9 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 10 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 11 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 12 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 13 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 14 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 15 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 16 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 17 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 18 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 19 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 20 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 21 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 22 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 23 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 24 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 25 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 26 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 27 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 28 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 29 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 30 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 31 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 32 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 33 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 34 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 35 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 36 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 37 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 38 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 39 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 40 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 41 points: <1%
← DET wins byIND wins by →
Indiana Pacers wins by 5 or more41%
Indiana Pacers wins by 10 or more28%
Indiana Pacers wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

232.3 expected
182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 222.568%
Total over 232.549%
Total over 242.530%
Total from 223 to 24239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FTobias Harrisstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
CJalen Durenstarted
Indiana Pacers
GAndrew Nembhardstarted
GBen Sheppardstarted
GBennedict Mathurinstarted
FPascal Siakamstarted
FIsaiah Jacksonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DET·IND
Nov 22, 2025 at MIL
last game
Nov 21, 2025 at CLE
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 23, 5:00 PM ET
Detroit Pistons
DETBobi Klintman · left ankle; sprainOut
DETIsaac Jones · g league - on assignmentOut
DETMarcus Sasser · right hip; impingementOut
DETTolu Smith · g league - two-wayOut
DETWendell Moore Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
DETCaris LeVert · left foot; sorenessProbable
DETJaden Ivey · return to competition reconditioningProbable
Indiana Pacers
INDAaron Nesmith · left knee; mcl sprainOut
INDJohnny Furphy · left ankle; sprainOut
INDKam Jones · lower back; stress reactionOut
INDObi Toppin · right foot; stress fractureOut
INDQuenton Jackson · right hamstring; strainOut
INDTyrese Haliburton · right achilles tendon; tearOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 16+ games
DET·IND
+0.19
rating (0 = average)
+0.06
119.5
points / game
110.1
112.4
points allowed / game
122.9
14−2
season record
2−14
8−1
home record
2−5
6−1
away record
0−9
W12
streak
L1
10−0
last 10
1−9
49.3
FG%
41.1
35.6
3P%
30.5
45.9
rebounds / game
46.1
27.1
assists / game
23.6
15.2
turnovers / game
14.4
59.1
points in paint / game
46.0

Rating Trend

DET · IND · 28 days
Detroit PistonsIndiana Pacers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · IND 7−3
Nov 17, 2025at DETDET 127 − 112
Jan 29, 2025at INDIND 133 − 119
Jan 16, 2025at DETIND 111 − 100
Nov 29, 2024at INDDET 130 − 106
Oct 23, 2024at DETIND 115 − 109
Mar 20, 2024at DETIND 122 − 103
Feb 22, 2024at INDIND 129 − 115
Dec 11, 2023at DETIND 131 − 123
Nov 24, 2023at INDIND 136 − 113
Apr 7, 2023at INDDET 122 − 115

DET · Last 10

10−0 · streak W10
Nov 22, 2025at MIL129 − 116W
Nov 18, 2025at ATL120 − 112W
Nov 17, 2025vs IND127 − 112W
Nov 14, 2025vs PHI114 − 105W
Nov 12, 2025vs CHI124 − 113W
Nov 10, 2025vs WSH137 − 135W
Nov 9, 2025at PHI111 − 108W
Nov 7, 2025at BKN125 − 107W
Nov 5, 2025vs UTAH114 − 103W
Nov 3, 2025at MEM114 − 106W

IND · Last 10

1−9 · streak L1
Nov 21, 2025at CLE109 − 120L
Nov 19, 2025vs CHA127 − 118W
Nov 17, 2025at DET112 − 127L
Nov 15, 2025vs TOR111 − 129L
Nov 13, 2025at PHX98 − 133L
Nov 11, 2025at UTAH128 − 152L
Nov 9, 2025at GS83 − 114L
Nov 8, 2025at DEN100 − 117L
Nov 5, 2025vs BKN103 − 112L
Nov 3, 2025vs MIL115 − 117L