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Pistons at Bucks

NBA · Saturday, Nov 22 · 7:00 PM CT · Fiserv Forum · Final DET 129 – MIL 116
← NBA / Nov 22, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DET30393525129
MIL26263331116
Team box
DET·MIL
49-78
field goals
43-84
16-30
3-pointers
20-43
15-24
free throws
10-12
32
rebounds
35
31
assists
29
14
turnovers
17
56
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Cade CunninghamDET3329810
Ryan RollinsMIL342457
Jalen DurenDET271965
Tobias HarrisDET231854
Bobby PortisMIL251872
Duncan RobinsonDET281532

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
MIL +29
DET +29
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: MIL 3 · DET 29lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DET 45%, MIL 55% · Updated Nov 22, 2025

Expected margin
MIL by 1.8
Expected score
MIL 116.8 – 115.0 DET
Expected total
231.8
PistonsThe matchupBucks
+123Our fair odds−123
115.0Expected points116.8
+0.19Power rating+0.14
118.9Points / game117.4
112.1Allowed / game119.0
48.4FG%49.8
34.43P%41.5
46.9Rebounds / game39.9
13−2Season record8−8
10−0Last 104−6
Bobi Klintman · Isaac Jones
Marcus Sasser · Tolu Smith
Wendell Moore Jr.OutAlex Antetokounmpo · Giannis Antetokounmpo
Kevin Porter Jr. · Taurean Prince

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DET chance · MIL chance
Our model fair44.8%55.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DETDetroit Pistons+12345%————
MILMilwaukee Bucks−12355%————
SpreadMIL by 1.8
DETDetroit Pistons+1.8our margin————
MILMilwaukee Bucks−1.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 231.8
Over231.8our total————
Under231.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Milwaukee Bucks by 1.8 expected
Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 1 point: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 2 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 3 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 4 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 5 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 6 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 7 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 8 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 9 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 10 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 11 points: 3%Milwaukee Bucks by 12 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 13 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 14 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 15 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 16 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 17 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 18 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 19 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 20 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 21 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 22 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 23 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 24 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 25 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 26 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 27 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 28 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 29 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 30 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 31 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 32 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 33 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 34 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 35 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 36 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 37 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 38 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 39 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 40 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 41 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 42 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 43 points: <1%
← DET wins byMIL wins by →
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 5 or more45%
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 10 or more31%
Milwaukee Bucks wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

231.8 expected
182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 221.569%
Total over 231.550%
Total over 241.530%
Total from 222 to 24139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FTobias Harrisstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
CJalen Durenstarted
Milwaukee Bucks
GAJ Greenstarted
GRyan Rollinsstarted
FBobby Portisstarted
FKyle Kuzmastarted
CMyles Turnerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DET·MIL
Nov 18, 2025 at ATL
last game
Nov 20, 2025 vs PHI
3 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 22, 5:00 PM ET
Detroit Pistons
DETBobi Klintman · left ankle; sprainOut
DETIsaac Jones · g league - on assignmentOut
DETMarcus Sasser · right hip; impingementOut
DETTolu Smith · g league - two-wayOut
DETWendell Moore Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
DETJaden Ivey · return to competition reconditioningQuestionable
DETTobias Harris · right ankle; sprainQuestionable
Milwaukee Bucks
MILAlex Antetokounmpo · g league - two-wayOut
MILGiannis Antetokounmpo · left adductor; strainOut
MILKevin Porter Jr. · right knee; meniscus surgeryOut
MILTaurean Prince · neck; surgeryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 15+ games
DET·MIL
+0.19
rating (0 = average)
+0.14
118.9
points / game
117.4
112.1
points allowed / game
119.0
13−2
season record
8−8
8−1
home record
5−4
5−1
away record
3−4
W11
streak
L3
10−0
last 10
4−6
48.4
FG%
49.8
34.4
3P%
41.5
46.9
rebounds / game
39.9
26.9
assists / game
26.9
15.3
turnovers / game
14.5
59.3
points in paint / game
48.8

Rating Trend

DET · MIL · 26 days
Detroit PistonsMilwaukee Bucks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · MIL 10−0
Apr 13, 2025at MILMIL 140 − 133
Apr 11, 2025at DETMIL 125 − 119
Dec 3, 2024at DETMIL 128 − 107
Nov 13, 2024at MILMIL 127 − 120
Jan 22, 2024at DETMIL 122 − 113
Jan 20, 2024at DETMIL 141 − 135
Dec 16, 2023at MILMIL 146 − 114
Nov 8, 2023at MILMIL 120 − 118
Mar 27, 2023at DETMIL 126 − 117
Jan 23, 2023at DETMIL 150 − 130

DET · Last 10

10−0 · streak W10
Nov 18, 2025at ATL120 − 112W
Nov 17, 2025vs IND127 − 112W
Nov 14, 2025vs PHI114 − 105W
Nov 12, 2025vs CHI124 − 113W
Nov 10, 2025vs WSH137 − 135W
Nov 9, 2025at PHI111 − 108W
Nov 7, 2025at BKN125 − 107W
Nov 5, 2025vs UTAH114 − 103W
Nov 3, 2025at MEM114 − 106W
Nov 1, 2025vs DAL122 − 110W

MIL · Last 10

4−6 · streak L3
Nov 20, 2025vs PHI114 − 123L
Nov 17, 2025at CLE106 − 118L
Nov 15, 2025vs LAL95 − 119L
Nov 14, 2025vs CHA147 − 134W
Nov 12, 2025at CHA100 − 111L
Nov 10, 2025at DAL116 − 114W
Nov 9, 2025vs HOU115 − 122L
Nov 7, 2025vs CHI126 − 110W
Nov 4, 2025at TOR100 − 128L
Nov 3, 2025at IND117 − 115W