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Bulls at Pistons

NBA · Wednesday, Nov 12 · 6:00 PM CT · Little Caesars Arena · Final CHI 113 – DET 124
← NBA / Nov 12, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHI23292734113
DET35332729124
Team box
CHI·DET
41-86
field goals
50-90
12-33
3-pointers
13-30
19-28
free throws
11-16
44
rebounds
44
21
assists
30
21
turnovers
19
58
points in paint
66
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Paul ReedDET3128136
Duncan RobinsonDET282321
Matas BuzelisCHI3421142
Kevin HuerterCHI272022
Daniss JenkinsDET4018412
Caris LeVertDET221715

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DET +23
CHI +23
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DET 23 · CHI 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 40%, DET 60% · Updated Nov 12, 2025

Expected margin
DET by 3.1
Expected score
DET 119.6 – 116.5 CHI
Expected total
236.1
BullsThe matchupPistons
+149Our fair odds−149
116.5Expected points119.6
−0.01Power rating+0.14
119.2Points / game118.0
118.4Allowed / game112.7
48.5FG%46.9
39.93P%34.0
46.7Rebounds / game48.3
6−4Season record9−2
6−4Last 109−1
Coby White · Emanuel Miller
Josh Giddey · Lachlan Olbrich
Noa EssengueOutAusar Thompson · Jaden Ivey
Marcus Sasser · Tobias Harris

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · DET chance
Our model fair40.2%59.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls+14940%————
DETDetroit Pistons−14960%————
SpreadDET by 3.1
CHIChicago Bulls+3.1our margin————
DETDetroit Pistons−3.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 236.1
Over236.1our total————
Under236.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 3.1 expected
Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%
← CHI wins byDET wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more49%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more34%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

236.1 expected
186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 226.567%
Total over 236.548%
Total over 246.530%
Total from 227 to 24638%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Chicago Bulls
GKevin Huerterstarted
GTre Jonesstarted
FIsaac Okorostarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
CNikola Vucevicstarted
Detroit Pistons
GJavonte Greenstarted
GDaniss Jenkinsstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
FPaul Reedstarted
FRonald Holland IIstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·DET
Nov 10, 2025 vs SA
last game
Nov 10, 2025 vs WSH
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 12, 5:00 PM ET
Chicago Bulls
CHICoby White · right calf; strainOut
CHIEmanuel Miller · g league - two-wayOut
CHIJosh Giddey · right ankle; sprainOut
CHILachlan Olbrich · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · g league - on assignmentOut
CHITrentyn Flowers · g league - two-wayOut
CHIZach Collins · left scaphoid; fractureOut
Detroit Pistons
DETAusar Thompson · right ankle; sprainOut
DETJaden Ivey · right knee; arthroscopyOut
DETMarcus Sasser · right hip; impingementOut
DETTobias Harris · right ankle; sprainOut
DETIsaiah Stewart · left ankle; sprainDoubtful
DETCade Cunningham · left hip; contusionQuestionable
DETJalen Duren · right ankle; sprainQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 10+ games
CHI·DET
−0.01
rating (0 = average)
+0.14
119.2
points / game
118.0
118.4
points allowed / game
112.7
6−4
season record
9−2
5−1
home record
5−1
1−3
away record
4−1
L3
streak
W7
6−4
last 10
9−1
48.5
FG%
46.9
39.9
3P%
34.0
46.7
rebounds / game
48.3
29.7
assists / game
25.8
15.4
turnovers / game
14.9
55.8
points in paint / game
58.7

Rating Trend

CHI · DET · 16 days
Chicago BullsDetroit Pistons
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · DET 5−5
Oct 22, 2025at CHICHI 115 − 111
Feb 12, 2025at CHIDET 128 − 110
Feb 11, 2025at CHIDET 132 − 92
Feb 2, 2025at DETDET 127 − 119
Nov 18, 2024at DETCHI 122 − 112
Apr 11, 2024at DETCHI 127 − 105
Feb 27, 2024at CHIDET 105 − 95
Nov 12, 2023at CHICHI 119 − 108
Oct 28, 2023at DETDET 118 − 102
Apr 9, 2023at CHICHI 103 − 81

CHI · Last 10

6−4 · streak L3
Nov 10, 2025vs SA117 − 121L
Nov 8, 2025at CLE122 − 128L
Nov 7, 2025at MIL110 − 126L
Nov 4, 2025vs PHI113 − 111W
Nov 2, 2025at NY116 − 128L
Oct 31, 2025vs NY135 − 125W
Oct 29, 2025vs SAC126 − 113W
Oct 27, 2025vs ATL128 − 123W
Oct 25, 2025at ORL110 − 98W
Oct 22, 2025vs DET115 − 111W

DET · Last 10

9−1 · streak W7
Nov 10, 2025vs WSH137 − 135W
Nov 9, 2025at PHI111 − 108W
Nov 7, 2025at BKN125 − 107W
Nov 5, 2025vs UTAH114 − 103W
Nov 3, 2025at MEM114 − 106W
Nov 1, 2025vs DAL122 − 110W
Oct 29, 2025vs ORL135 − 116W
Oct 27, 2025vs CLE95 − 116L
Oct 26, 2025vs BOS119 − 113W
Oct 24, 2025at HOU115 − 111W