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Wizards at Raptors

NBA · Friday, Nov 21 · 6:30 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena · Final WSH 110 – TOR 140
← NBA / Nov 21, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH20273033110
TOR31264835140
Team box
WSH·TOR
39-86
field goals
48-83
12-41
3-pointers
14-28
20-24
free throws
30-39
29
rebounds
48
26
assists
36
18
turnovers
15
44
points in paint
60
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Brandon IngramTOR302486
RJ BarrettTOR292484
Sandro MamukelashviliTOR212372
Scottie BarnesTOR302352
CJ McCollumWSH262033
Immanuel QuickleyTOR301727

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TOR +35
WSH +35
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: TOR 35 · WSH 2lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 18%, TOR 82% · Updated Nov 21, 2025

Expected margin
TOR by 11.5
Expected score
TOR 122.3 – 110.8 WSH
Expected total
233.1
WizardsThe matchupRaptors
+463Our fair odds−463
110.8Expected points122.3
−1.51Power rating−0.20
112.6Points / game119.9
128.9Allowed / game114.9
46.1FG%50.1
37.33P%36.8
43.9Rebounds / game41.7
1−13Season record10−5
0−10Last 109−1
AJ Johnson · Alex Sarr
Marvin Bagley IIIOutA.J. Lawson · Alijah Martin
Chucky Hepburn · Collin Murray-Boyles
Jonathan Mogbo

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · TOR chance
Our model fair17.8%82.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+46318%————
TORToronto Raptors−46382%————
SpreadTOR by 11.5
WSHWashington Wizards+11.5our margin————
TORToronto Raptors−11.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 233.1
Over233.1our total————
Under233.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Toronto Raptors by 11.5 expected
Washington Wizards by 53 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 52 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 51 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 45 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 46 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 47 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 48 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 49 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 50 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 51 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 52 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 53 points: <1%
← WSH wins byTOR wins by →
Toronto Raptors wins by 5 or more70%
Toronto Raptors wins by 10 or more55%
Toronto Raptors wins by 15 or more40%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

233.1 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 223.568%
Total over 233.548%
Total over 243.529%
Total from 224 to 24338%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GCJ McCollumstarted
GBilal Coulibalystarted
FKhris Middletonstarted
FTristan Vukcevicstarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted
CJakob Poeltlstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·TOR
Nov 19, 2025 at MIN
last game
Nov 19, 2025 at PHI
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 21, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHAJ Johnson · right ankle; contusionOut
WSHAlex Sarr · left big toe; sorenessOut
WSHMarvin Bagley III · right hip; contusionOut
Toronto Raptors
TORA.J. Lawson · g league - two-wayOut
TORAlijah Martin · g league - two-wayOut
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORCollin Murray-Boyles · right knee; mcl sprainOut
TORJonathan Mogbo · g league - on assignmentOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 14+ games
WSH·TOR
−1.51
rating (0 = average)
−0.20
112.6
points / game
119.9
128.9
points allowed / game
114.9
1−13
season record
10−5
0−6
home record
3−2
1−7
away record
7−3
L12
streak
W5
0−10
last 10
9−1
46.1
FG%
50.1
37.3
3P%
36.8
43.9
rebounds / game
41.7
25.2
assists / game
30.1
17.1
turnovers / game
14.2
47.3
points in paint / game
54.9

Rating Trend

WSH · TOR · 25 days
Washington WizardsToronto Raptors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · TOR 8−2
Mar 24, 2025at WSHTOR 112 − 104
Mar 10, 2025at TORTOR 119 − 104
Mar 8, 2025at TORWSH 118 − 117
Jan 29, 2025at WSHTOR 106 − 82
Apr 7, 2024at TORTOR 130 − 122
Mar 23, 2024at WSHWSH 112 − 109
Dec 27, 2023at WSHTOR 132 − 102
Nov 13, 2023at TORTOR 111 − 107
Mar 26, 2023at TORTOR 114 − 104
Mar 4, 2023at WSHTOR 116 − 109

WSH · Last 10

0−10 · streak L10
Nov 19, 2025at MIN109 − 120L
Nov 16, 2025vs BKN106 − 129L
Nov 12, 2025at HOU112 − 135L
Nov 10, 2025at DET135 − 137L
Nov 8, 2025vs DAL105 − 111L
Nov 7, 2025vs CLE115 − 148L
Nov 5, 2025at BOS107 − 136L
Nov 3, 2025at NY102 − 119L
Nov 1, 2025vs ORL94 − 125L
Oct 30, 2025at OKC108 − 127L

TOR · Last 10

9−1 · streak W5
Nov 19, 2025at PHI121 − 112W
Nov 17, 2025vs CHA110 − 108W
Nov 15, 2025at IND129 − 111W
Nov 13, 2025at CLE126 − 113W
Nov 11, 2025at BKN119 − 109W
Nov 8, 2025at PHI120 − 130L
Nov 7, 2025at ATL109 − 97W
Nov 4, 2025vs MIL128 − 100W
Nov 2, 2025vs MEM117 − 104W
Oct 31, 2025at CLE112 − 101W