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Raptors at 76ers

NBA · Wednesday, Nov 19 · 6:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final TOR 121 – PHI 112

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
TOR33204424121
PHI28282630112
Team box
TOR·PHI
45-84
field goals
41-87
11-29
3-pointers
14-35
20-24
free throws
16-18
31
rebounds
41
33
assists
24
15
turnovers
21
56
points in paint
54
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Tyrese MaxeyPHI392429
RJ BarrettTOR342234
Brandon IngramTOR312205
VJ EdgecombePHI372164
Quentin GrimesPHI322122
Jakob PoeltlTOR331984

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +16
TOR +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 3 · TOR 16lead changes: 8

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was TOR 47%, PHI 53% · Updated Nov 19, 2025

Expected margin
PHI by 0.7
Expected score
PHI 114.5 – 113.9 TOR
Expected total
228.4
RaptorsThe matchup76ers
+115Our fair odds−115
113.9Expected points114.5
−0.20Power rating−0.32
119.8Points / game118.5
115.1Allowed / game115.9
49.9FG%46.5
36.73P%37.8
42.5Rebounds / game44.2
9−5Season record8−5
8−2Last 105−5
A.J. Lawson · Alijah Martin
Chucky Hepburn · Jonathan Mogbo
Out (4 each)Adem Bona · Joel Embiid
Kelly Oubre Jr. · Paul George

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
TOR chance · PHI chance
Our model fair46.5%53.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
TORToronto Raptors+11547%————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−11553%————
SpreadPHI by 0.7
TORToronto Raptors+0.7our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−0.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 228.4
Over228.4our total————
Under228.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Philadelphia 76ers by 0.7 expected
Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%
← TOR wins byPHI wins by →
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 5 or more42%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 10 or more29%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

228.4 expected
179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 218.569%
Total over 228.549%
Total over 238.530%
Total from 219 to 23839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Toronto Raptors
FRJ Barrettstarted
CJakob Poeltlstarted
Philadelphia 76ers
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
TOR·PHI
Nov 17, 2025 vs CHA
last game
Nov 17, 2025 vs LAC
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 19, 5:00 PM ET
Toronto Raptors
TORA.J. Lawson · g league - two-wayOut
TORAlijah Martin · g league - two-wayOut
TORChucky Hepburn · g league - two-wayOut
TORJonathan Mogbo · g league - on assignmentOut
TORCollin Murray-Boyles · right knee; mcl sprainDoubtful
TOROchai Agbaji · back; lumbar - strainProbable
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIAdem Bona · right ankle; sprainOut
PHIJoel Embiid · right knee; injuryOut
PHIKelly Oubre Jr. · left knee; sprainOut
PHIPaul George · management left knee; injury recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
TOR·PHI
−0.20
rating (0 = average)
−0.32
119.8
points / game
118.5
115.1
points allowed / game
115.9
9−5
season record
8−5
3−2
home record
5−2
6−3
away record
3−3
W4
streak
W1
8−2
last 10
5−5
49.9
FG%
46.5
36.7
3P%
37.8
42.5
rebounds / game
44.2
29.9
assists / game
25.7
14.1
turnovers / game
14.2
54.9
points in paint / game
49.2

Rating Trend

TOR · PHI · 23 days
Toronto RaptorsPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHI 6−4
Nov 8, 2025at PHIPHI 130 − 120
Mar 30, 2025at PHITOR 127 − 109
Mar 12, 2025at TORTOR 118 − 105
Feb 11, 2025at PHITOR 106 − 103
Oct 25, 2024at TORTOR 115 − 107
Mar 31, 2024at TORPHI 135 − 120
Dec 22, 2023at PHIPHI 121 − 111
Nov 2, 2023at PHIPHI 114 − 99
Oct 28, 2023at TORPHI 114 − 107
Mar 31, 2023at PHIPHI 117 − 110

TOR · Last 10

8−2 · streak W4
Nov 17, 2025vs CHA110 − 108W
Nov 15, 2025at IND129 − 111W
Nov 13, 2025at CLE126 − 113W
Nov 11, 2025at BKN119 − 109W
Nov 8, 2025at PHI120 − 130L
Nov 7, 2025at ATL109 − 97W
Nov 4, 2025vs MIL128 − 100W
Nov 2, 2025vs MEM117 − 104W
Oct 31, 2025at CLE112 − 101W
Oct 29, 2025vs HOU121 − 139L

PHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Nov 17, 2025vs LAC110 − 108W
Nov 14, 2025at DET105 − 114L
Nov 11, 2025vs BOS102 − 100W
Nov 9, 2025vs DET108 − 111L
Nov 8, 2025vs TOR130 − 120W
Nov 5, 2025at CLE121 − 132L
Nov 4, 2025at CHI111 − 113L
Nov 2, 2025at BKN129 − 105W
Oct 31, 2025vs BOS108 − 109L
Oct 28, 2025at WSH139 − 134W