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Celtics at 76ers

NBA · Tuesday, Nov 11 · 7:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final BOS 100 – PHI 102
← NBA / Nov 11, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BOS22193623100
PHI23282031102
Team box
BOS·PHI
36-92
field goals
36-84
13-38
3-pointers
14-36
15-19
free throws
16-19
53
rebounds
44
23
assists
24
11
turnovers
9
30
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jaylen BrownBOS352465
Justin EdwardsPHI272233
Tyrese MaxeyPHI342159
Derrick WhiteBOS351857
Quentin GrimesPHI281864
Anfernee SimonsBOS261745

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +12
BOS +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 12 · BOS 9lead changes: 16

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BOS 70%, PHI 30% · Updated Nov 11, 2025

Expected margin
BOS by 7.0
Expected score
BOS 114.8 – 107.8 PHI
Expected total
222.6
CelticsThe matchup76ers
−236Our fair odds+236
114.8Expected points107.8
+0.75Power rating−0.38
112.8Points / game122.4
110.4Allowed / game118.5
45.0FG%47.2
32.93P%38.4
42.4Rebounds / game43.9
5−6Season record6−4
5−5Last 106−4
Amari Williams · Jayson Tatum
Max ShulgaOutDominick Barlow · Joel Embiid
Johni Broome · Paul George

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BOS chance · PHI chance
Our model fair70.2%29.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BOSBoston Celtics−23670%————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+23630%————
SpreadBOS by 7.0
BOSBoston Celtics−7our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+7our margin————
Totalwe expect 222.6
Over222.6our total————
Under222.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 7.0 expected
Boston Celtics by 48 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 45 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 46 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 47 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 48 points: <1%
← BOS wins byPHI wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more60%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more44%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more28%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

222.6 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 212.569%
Total over 222.550%
Total over 232.530%
Total from 213 to 23239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
FJosh Minottstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted
Philadelphia 76ers
GKelly Oubre Jr.started
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FTrendon Watfordstarted
CAndre Drummondstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BOS·PHI
Nov 9, 2025 at ORL
last game
Nov 9, 2025 vs DET
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 11, 5:00 PM ET
Boston Celtics
BOSAmari Williams · g league - two-wayOut
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIDominick Barlow · right elbow; lacerationOut
PHIJoel Embiid · right knee; sorenessOut
PHIJohni Broome · right ankle; sprainOut
PHIPaul George · left knee; surgery recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 10+ games
BOS·PHI
+0.75
rating (0 = average)
−0.38
112.8
points / game
122.4
110.4
points allowed / game
118.5
5−6
season record
6−4
2−3
home record
3−2
3−3
away record
3−2
W1
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
6−4
45.0
FG%
47.2
32.9
3P%
38.4
42.4
rebounds / game
43.9
23.3
assists / game
26.5
11.3
turnovers / game
15.2
41.6
points in paint / game
50.6

Rating Trend

BOS · PHI · 15 days
Boston CelticsPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHI 3−7
Oct 31, 2025at PHIBOS 109 − 108
Oct 22, 2025at BOSPHI 117 − 116
Mar 6, 2025at BOSBOS 123 − 105
Feb 20, 2025at PHIBOS 124 − 104
Feb 2, 2025at PHIBOS 118 − 110
Dec 25, 2024at BOSPHI 118 − 114
Feb 27, 2024at BOSBOS 117 − 99
Dec 1, 2023at BOSBOS 125 − 119
Nov 15, 2023at PHIBOS 117 − 107
Nov 8, 2023at PHIPHI 106 − 103

BOS · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Nov 9, 2025at ORL111 − 107W
Nov 7, 2025at ORL110 − 123L
Nov 5, 2025vs WSH136 − 107W
Nov 3, 2025vs UTAH103 − 105L
Nov 1, 2025vs HOU101 − 128L
Oct 31, 2025at PHI109 − 108W
Oct 29, 2025vs CLE125 − 105W
Oct 27, 2025at NO122 − 90W
Oct 26, 2025at DET113 − 119L
Oct 24, 2025at NY95 − 105L

PHI · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Nov 9, 2025vs DET108 − 111L
Nov 8, 2025vs TOR130 − 120W
Nov 5, 2025at CLE121 − 132L
Nov 4, 2025at CHI111 − 113L
Nov 2, 2025at BKN129 − 105W
Oct 31, 2025vs BOS108 − 109L
Oct 28, 2025at WSH139 − 134W
Oct 27, 2025vs ORL136 − 124W
Oct 25, 2025vs CHA125 − 121W
Oct 22, 2025at BOS117 − 116W