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Celtics at Wizards

NBA · Thursday, Dec 4 · 6:00 PM CT · Capital One Arena · Final BOS 146 – WSH 101
← NBA / Dec 4, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BOS32344337146
WSH26332715101
Team box
BOS·WSH
54-99
field goals
35-84
20-47
3-pointers
10-31
18-21
free throws
21-25
46
rebounds
37
35
assists
21
10
turnovers
18
58
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Derrick WhiteBOS293079
Jordan WalshBOS302273
CJ McCollumWSH312223
Payton PritchardBOS322068
Neemias QuetaBOS211742
Khris MiddletonWSH251634

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
WSH +45
BOS +45
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: WSH 0 · BOS 45lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BOS 87%, WSH 13% · Updated Dec 4, 2025

Expected margin
BOS by 17.2
Expected score
BOS 122.5 – 105.3 WSH
Expected total
227.8
CelticsThe matchupWizards
−659Our fair odds+659
122.5Expected points105.3
+0.76Power rating−1.41
115.3Points / game112.8
111.2Allowed / game127.2
46.8FG%46.2
35.73P%36.4
44.1Rebounds / game43.5
12−9Season record3−17
7−3Last 102−8
Jaylen Brown · Jayson TatumOutAJ Johnson · Alex Sarr
Bilal Coulibaly · Corey Kispert
Sharife Cooper

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BOS chance · WSH chance
Our model fair86.8%13.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BOSBoston Celtics−65987%————
WSHWashington Wizards+65913%————
SpreadBOS by 17.2
BOSBoston Celtics−17.2our margin————
WSHWashington Wizards+17.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.8
Over227.8our total————
Under227.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 17.2 expected
Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 4%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 1%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 1%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 3 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%
← BOS wins byWSH wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more86%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more72%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more55%
Within 5 points either way12%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.8 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.570%
Total over 227.550%
Total over 237.530%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
GJordan Walshstarted
FSam Hauserstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted
Washington Wizards
GCJ McCollumstarted
GJamir Watkinsstarted
FKhris Middletonstarted
FMarvin Bagley IIIstarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BOS·WSH
Dec 2, 2025 vs NY
last game
Dec 2, 2025 at PHI
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 4, 5:00 PM ET
Boston Celtics
BOSJaylen Brown · illness; non-covidOut
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
Washington Wizards
WSHAJ Johnson · g league - on assignmentOut
WSHAlex Sarr · right adductor; strainOut
WSHBilal Coulibaly · right oblique; strainOut
WSHCorey Kispert · right thumb; distal phalanx fractureOut
WSHSharife Cooper · right calf; strainOut
WSHTre Johnson · left hip flexor; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 20+ games
BOS·WSH
+0.76
rating (0 = average)
−1.41
115.3
points / game
112.8
111.2
points allowed / game
127.2
12−9
season record
3−17
7−4
home record
2−6
5−5
away record
1−11
W2
streak
L1
7−3
last 10
2−8
46.8
FG%
46.2
35.7
3P%
36.4
44.1
rebounds / game
43.5
23.9
assists / game
25.6
11.6
turnovers / game
16.4
43.0
points in paint / game
47.4

Rating Trend

BOS · WSH · 37 days
Boston CelticsWashington Wizards
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · WSH 1−9
Nov 5, 2025at BOSBOS 136 − 107
Apr 6, 2025at BOSBOS 124 − 90
Dec 15, 2024at WSHBOS 112 − 98
Nov 22, 2024at WSHBOS 108 − 96
Oct 24, 2024at WSHBOS 122 − 102
Apr 14, 2024at BOSBOS 132 − 122
Mar 17, 2024at WSHBOS 130 − 104
Feb 9, 2024at BOSBOS 133 − 129
Oct 30, 2023at WSHBOS 126 − 107
Mar 28, 2023at WSHWSH 130 − 111

BOS · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Dec 2, 2025vs NY123 − 117W
Nov 30, 2025at CLE117 − 115W
Nov 29, 2025at MIN115 − 119L
Nov 26, 2025vs DET117 − 114W
Nov 23, 2025vs ORL138 − 129W
Nov 21, 2025vs BKN105 − 113L
Nov 18, 2025at BKN113 − 99W
Nov 16, 2025vs LAC121 − 118W
Nov 12, 2025vs MEM131 − 95W
Nov 11, 2025at PHI100 − 102L

WSH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Dec 2, 2025at PHI102 − 121L
Dec 1, 2025vs MIL129 − 126W
Nov 28, 2025at IND86 − 119L
Nov 25, 2025vs ATL132 − 113W
Nov 22, 2025at CHI120 − 121L
Nov 21, 2025at TOR110 − 140L
Nov 19, 2025at MIN109 − 120L
Nov 16, 2025vs BKN106 − 129L
Nov 12, 2025at HOU112 − 135L
Nov 10, 2025at DET135 − 137L