bayesRatings

Celtics at Nets

NBA · Tuesday, Nov 18 · 6:30 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final BOS 113 – BKN 99

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BOS29332724113
BKN2932241499
Team box
BOS·BKN
37-75
field goals
33-82
19-42
3-pointers
14-38
20-26
free throws
19-27
49
rebounds
39
25
assists
25
20
turnovers
14
30
points in paint
36
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jaylen BrownBOS322944
Michael Porter Jr.BKN342562
Payton PritchardBOS3522105
Day'Ron SharpeBKN181672
Derrick WhiteBOS331554
Noah ClowneyBKN231310

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +16
BOS +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BKN 10 · BOS 16lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BOS 80%, BKN 20% · Updated Nov 18, 2025

Expected margin
BOS by 12.0
Expected score
BOS 113.2 – 101.2 BKN
Expected total
214.4
CelticsThe matchupNets
−406Our fair odds+406
113.2Expected points101.2
+0.77Power rating−0.92
113.8Points / game110.5
109.2Allowed / game121.9
45.0FG%43.9
34.13P%33.0
44.7Rebounds / game38.8
7−7Season record2−11
6−4Last 102−8
Amari Williams · Jayson Tatum
Max Shulga
Out (3 each)Ben Saraf · Cam Thomas
Haywood Highsmith

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BOS chance · BKN chance
Our model fair80.2%19.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BOSBoston Celtics−40680%————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+40620%————
SpreadBOS by 12.0
BOSBoston Celtics−12our margin————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+12our margin————
Totalwe expect 214.4
Over214.4our total————
Under214.4our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 12.0 expected
Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 4%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 4%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%
← BOS wins byBKN wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more74%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more57%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more41%
Within 5 points either way17%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

214.4 expected
171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: 1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 2%200 points: 2%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 1%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: <1%247 points: <1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 204.569%
Total over 214.549%
Total over 224.530%
Total from 205 to 22440%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Boston Celtics
GJaylen Brownstarted
GJordan Walshstarted
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BOS·BKN
Nov 16, 2025 vs LAC
last game
Nov 16, 2025 at WSH
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 17, 5:00 PM ET
Boston Celtics
BOSAmari Williams · g league - two-wayOut
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
Brooklyn Nets
BKNBen Saraf · left ankle; sprainOut
BKNCam Thomas · left hamstring; strainOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
BOS·BKN
+0.77
rating (0 = average)
−0.92
113.8
points / game
110.5
109.2
points allowed / game
121.9
7−7
season record
2−11
4−3
home record
0−6
3−4
away record
2−5
W2
streak
W1
6−4
last 10
2−8
45.0
FG%
43.9
34.1
3P%
33.0
44.7
rebounds / game
38.8
24.2
assists / game
24.6
10.9
turnovers / game
15.2
41.9
points in paint / game
41.7

Rating Trend

BOS · BKN · 22 days
Boston CelticsBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BKN 1−9
Mar 18, 2025at BOSBOS 104 − 96
Mar 15, 2025at BKNBOS 115 − 113
Nov 13, 2024at BKNBOS 139 − 114
Nov 8, 2024at BOSBOS 108 − 104
Feb 14, 2024at BOSBOS 136 − 86
Feb 13, 2024at BKNBOS 118 − 110
Nov 10, 2023at BOSBOS 121 − 107
Nov 4, 2023at BKNBOS 124 − 114
Mar 3, 2023at BOSBKN 115 − 105
Feb 1, 2023at BOSBOS 139 − 96

BOS · Last 10

6−4 · streak W2
Nov 16, 2025vs LAC121 − 118W
Nov 12, 2025vs MEM131 − 95W
Nov 11, 2025at PHI100 − 102L
Nov 9, 2025at ORL111 − 107W
Nov 7, 2025at ORL110 − 123L
Nov 5, 2025vs WSH136 − 107W
Nov 3, 2025vs UTAH103 − 105L
Nov 1, 2025vs HOU101 − 128L
Oct 31, 2025at PHI109 − 108W
Oct 29, 2025vs CLE125 − 105W

BKN · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Nov 16, 2025at WSH129 − 106W
Nov 14, 2025at ORL98 − 105L
Nov 11, 2025vs TOR109 − 119L
Nov 9, 2025at NY98 − 134L
Nov 7, 2025vs DET107 − 125L
Nov 5, 2025at IND112 − 103W
Nov 3, 2025vs MIN109 − 125L
Nov 2, 2025vs PHI105 − 129L
Oct 29, 2025vs ATL112 − 117L
Oct 27, 2025at HOU109 − 137L