bayesRatings

Clippers at Celtics

NBA · Sunday, Nov 16 · 2:30 PM CT · TD Garden · Final LAC 118 – BOS 121
← NBA / Nov 16, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC30193633118
BOS37262731121
Team box
LAC·BOS
38-81
field goals
46-103
14-35
3-pointers
16-39
28-30
free throws
13-17
44
rebounds
49
23
assists
26
14
turnovers
6
46
points in paint
54
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
James HardenLAC383778
Jaylen BrownBOS3933133
Payton PritchardBOS333032
Derrick WhiteBOS392279
John CollinsLAC301720
Ivica ZubacLAC3416122

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BOS +24
LAC +24
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BOS 24 · LAC 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 32%, BOS 68% · Updated Nov 16, 2025

Expected margin
BOS by 9.0
Expected score
BOS 112.0 – 103.0 LAC
Expected total
215.1
ClippersThe matchupCeltics
+216Our fair odds−216
103.0Expected points112.0
+0.23Power rating+0.75
111.5Points / game113.2
116.4Allowed / game108.5
47.9FG%45.0
36.03P%33.6
40.8Rebounds / game44.4
4−8Season record6−7
3−7Last 106−4
Bradley Beal · Jahmyl Telfort
Kawhi LeonardOutAmari Williams · Jayson Tatum
Max Shulga · Ron Harper Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · BOS chance
Our model fair31.6%68.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers+21632%————
BOSBoston Celtics−21668%————
SpreadBOS by 9.0
LACLA Clippers+9our margin————
BOSBoston Celtics−9our margin————
Totalwe expect 215.1
Over215.1our total————
Under215.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 9.0 expected
LA Clippers by 51 points: <1%LA Clippers by 50 points: <1%LA Clippers by 49 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 26 points: <1%LA Clippers by 25 points: <1%LA Clippers by 24 points: <1%LA Clippers by 23 points: <1%LA Clippers by 22 points: <1%LA Clippers by 21 points: <1%LA Clippers by 20 points: <1%LA Clippers by 19 points: <1%LA Clippers by 18 points: <1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 16 points: 1%LA Clippers by 15 points: 1%LA Clippers by 14 points: 1%LA Clippers by 13 points: 1%LA Clippers by 12 points: 1%LA Clippers by 11 points: 1%LA Clippers by 10 points: 1%LA Clippers by 9 points: 1%LA Clippers by 8 points: 2%LA Clippers by 7 points: 2%LA Clippers by 6 points: 2%LA Clippers by 5 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 48 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 49 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 50 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 51 points: <1%
← LAC wins byBOS wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more64%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more49%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more34%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

215.1 expected
171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: 1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 2%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: <1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 205.569%
Total over 215.548%
Total over 225.529%
Total from 206 to 22540%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
CIvica Zubacstarted
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
GJordan Walshstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·BOS
Nov 14, 2025 at DAL
last game
Nov 12, 2025 vs MEM
1 day
days of rest
3 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 15, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACJahmyl Telfort · g league - two-wayOut
LACKawhi Leonard · right ankle; sprainOut
Boston Celtics
BOSAmari Williams · g league - two-wayOut
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
BOSRon Harper Jr. · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 12+ games
LAC·BOS
+0.23
rating (0 = average)
+0.75
111.5
points / game
113.2
116.4
points allowed / game
108.5
4−8
season record
6−7
3−5
home record
3−3
1−3
away record
3−4
W1
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
6−4
47.9
FG%
45.0
36.0
3P%
33.6
40.8
rebounds / game
44.4
24.5
assists / game
24.1
16.8
turnovers / game
11.2
48.3
points in paint / game
40.9

Rating Trend

LAC · BOS · 20 days
LA ClippersBoston Celtics
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · BOS 4−4
Jan 22, 2025at LACBOS 117 − 113
Nov 25, 2024at BOSBOS 126 − 94
Jan 27, 2024at BOSLAC 115 − 96
Dec 23, 2023at LACBOS 145 − 108
Dec 29, 2022at BOSBOS 116 − 110
Dec 12, 2022at LACLAC 113 − 93
Dec 29, 2021at BOSLAC 91 − 82
Dec 8, 2021at LACLAC 114 − 111

LAC · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Nov 14, 2025at DAL133 − 127W
Nov 12, 2025vs DEN116 − 130L
Nov 10, 2025vs ATL102 − 105L
Nov 8, 2025vs PHX103 − 114L
Nov 6, 2025at PHX102 − 115L
Nov 4, 2025vs OKC107 − 126L
Nov 3, 2025vs MIA119 − 120L
Oct 31, 2025vs NO126 − 124W
Oct 28, 2025at GS79 − 98L
Oct 26, 2025vs POR114 − 107W

BOS · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Nov 12, 2025vs MEM131 − 95W
Nov 11, 2025at PHI100 − 102L
Nov 9, 2025at ORL111 − 107W
Nov 7, 2025at ORL110 − 123L
Nov 5, 2025vs WSH136 − 107W
Nov 3, 2025vs UTAH103 − 105L
Nov 1, 2025vs HOU101 − 128L
Oct 31, 2025at PHI109 − 108W
Oct 29, 2025vs CLE125 − 105W
Oct 27, 2025at NO122 − 90W