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Hawks at Clippers

NBA · Monday, Nov 10 · 9:30 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final ATL 105 – LAC 102

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ATL19332726105
LAC29232426102
Team box
ATL·LAC
38-84
field goals
36-82
13-34
3-pointers
12-38
16-20
free throws
18-25
41
rebounds
42
30
assists
19
12
turnovers
12
44
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
James HardenLAC39351011
Vit KrejciATL302832
Kristaps PorzingisATL262034
Jalen JohnsonATL3516108
Ivica ZubacLAC3013121
Zaccharie RisacherATL311150

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +17
ATL +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 17 · ATL 10lead changes: 11

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ATL 33%, LAC 67% · Updated Nov 10, 2025

Expected margin
LAC by 6.6
Expected score
LAC 118.7 – 112.1 ATL
Expected total
230.8
HawksThe matchupClippers
+200Our fair odds−200
112.1Expected points118.7
−0.10Power rating+0.37
115.2Points / game109.7
115.0Allowed / game115.0
47.5FG%48.3
33.83P%36.2
42.6Rebounds / game40.8
5−5Season record3−6
5−5Last 103−7
Eli John Ndiaye · Nikola Djurisic
Trae Young
OutJahmyl Telfort · Kawhi Leonard

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ATL chance · LAC chance
Our model fair33.3%66.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ATLAtlanta Hawks+20033%————
LACLA Clippers−20067%————
SpreadLAC by 6.6
ATLAtlanta Hawks+6.6our margin————
LACLA Clippers−6.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 230.8
Over230.8our total————
Under230.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 6.6 expected
Atlanta Hawks by 49 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 48 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 47 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 46 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 45 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 44 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 43 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 42 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 41 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 40 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 39 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 38 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 37 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 36 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 35 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 34 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 33 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 32 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 31 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 30 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 29 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 28 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 27 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 26 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 25 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 24 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 23 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 22 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 21 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 20 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 19 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 18 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 17 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 16 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 15 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 14 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 13 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 12 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 11 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 10 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 9 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 8 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 7 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 6 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 5 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 4 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 3 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 2 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 3%LA Clippers by 14 points: 3%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 20 points: 2%LA Clippers by 21 points: 2%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: 1%LA Clippers by 32 points: 1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%LA Clippers by 49 points: <1%
← ATL wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more58%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more42%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more28%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

230.8 expected
181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 220.569%
Total over 230.550%
Total over 240.530%
Total from 221 to 24039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Atlanta Hawks
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ATL·LAC
Nov 8, 2025 vs LAL
last game
Nov 8, 2025 vs PHX
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 10, 5:00 PM ET
Atlanta Hawks
ATLEli John Ndiaye · g league - two-wayOut
ATLNikola Djurisic · right elbow; sprainOut
ATLTrae Young · right knee; mcl sprainOut
ATLJalen Johnson · right quad; contusionQuestionable
ATLNickeil Alexander-Walker · low back; spasmQuestionable
LA Clippers
LACJahmyl Telfort · g league - two-wayOut
LACKawhi Leonard · right ankle; sprainOut
LACBradley Beal · left hip; sorenessQuestionable
LACJordan Miller · left hamstring; strainQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 9+ games
ATL·LAC
−0.10
rating (0 = average)
+0.37
115.2
points / game
109.7
115.0
points allowed / game
115.0
5−5
season record
3−6
2−3
home record
3−3
3−2
away record
0−3
W1
streak
L4
5−5
last 10
3−7
47.5
FG%
48.3
33.8
3P%
36.2
42.6
rebounds / game
40.8
28.3
assists / game
25.0
14.6
turnovers / game
16.9
54.8
points in paint / game
48.0

Rating Trend

ATL · LAC · 14 days
Atlanta HawksLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · LAC 5−3
Mar 14, 2025at ATLLAC 121 − 98
Jan 4, 2025at LACLAC 131 − 105
Mar 17, 2024at LACATL 110 − 93
Feb 5, 2024at ATLLAC 149 − 144
Jan 28, 2023at ATLLAC 120 − 113
Jan 8, 2023at LACATL 112 − 108
Mar 11, 2022at ATLATL 112 − 106
Jan 9, 2022at LACLAC 106 − 93

ATL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Nov 8, 2025vs LAL122 − 102W
Nov 7, 2025vs TOR97 − 109L
Nov 4, 2025vs ORL127 − 112W
Nov 2, 2025at CLE109 − 117L
Oct 31, 2025at IND128 − 108W
Oct 29, 2025at BKN117 − 112W
Oct 27, 2025at CHI123 − 128L
Oct 25, 2025vs OKC100 − 117L
Oct 24, 2025at ORL111 − 107W
Oct 22, 2025vs TOR118 − 138L

LAC · Last 10

3−7 · streak L4
Nov 8, 2025vs PHX103 − 114L
Nov 6, 2025at PHX102 − 115L
Nov 4, 2025vs OKC107 − 126L
Nov 3, 2025vs MIA119 − 120L
Oct 31, 2025vs NO126 − 124W
Oct 28, 2025at GS79 − 98L
Oct 26, 2025vs POR114 − 107W
Oct 24, 2025vs PHX129 − 102W
Oct 22, 2025at UTAH108 − 129L
May 3, 2025at DEN101 − 120L