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Clippers at Suns

NBA · Thursday, Nov 6 · 8:00 PM CT · Mortgage Matchup Center · Final LAC 102 – PHX 115
← NBA / Nov 6, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC27242328102
PHX31174027115
Team box
LAC·PHX
35-79
field goals
41-92
10-31
3-pointers
19-49
22-30
free throws
14-19
41
rebounds
44
24
assists
27
15
turnovers
16
42
points in paint
26
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen GreenPHX232933
Devin BookerPHX372467
Ivica ZubacLAC2723112
Grayson AllenPHX361834
Royce O'NealePHX281742
Cam ChristieLAC251723

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHX +25
LAC +25
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHX 25 · LAC 7lead changes: 12

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 58%, PHX 42% · Updated Nov 6, 2025

Expected margin
LAC by 3.1
Expected score
LAC 114.8 – 111.8 PHX
Expected total
226.6
ClippersThe matchupSuns
−138Our fair odds+138
114.8Expected points111.8
+0.37Power rating−0.19
111.7Points / game116.9
115.1Allowed / game120.2
48.3FG%46.2
37.73P%37.8
42.7Rebounds / game42.9
3−4Season record3−5
4−6Last 104−6
James Harden · Jordan Miller
Kawhi Leonard · Kobe SandersOutDillon Brooks

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · PHX chance
Our model fair58.0%42.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers−13858%————
PHXPhoenix Suns+13842%————
SpreadLAC by 3.1
LACLA Clippers−3.1our margin————
PHXPhoenix Suns+3.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 226.6
Over226.6our total————
Under226.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 3.1 expected
LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 12 points: 2%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 44 points: <1%
← LAC wins byPHX wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more48%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more34%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

226.6 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 216.569%
Total over 226.550%
Total over 236.530%
Total from 217 to 23639%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GBradley Bealstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
FNicolas Batumstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
CIvica Zubacstarted
Phoenix Suns
GGrayson Allenstarted
GDevin Bookerstarted
GJalen Greenstarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
CMark Williamsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·PHX
Nov 4, 2025 vs OKC
last game
Nov 4, 2025 at GS
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 6, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACJames Harden · personal reasonsOut
LACJordan Miller · left hamstring; strainOut
LACKawhi Leonard · right ankle; sprainOut
LACKobe Sanders · right knee; sprainOut
Phoenix Suns
PHXDillon Brooks · core muscle; strainOut
PHXGrayson Allen · n/a; illnessQuestionable
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; strainProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
LAC·PHX
+0.37
rating (0 = average)
−0.19
111.7
points / game
116.9
115.1
points allowed / game
120.2
3−4
season record
3−5
3−2
home record
3−1
0−2
away record
0−4
L2
streak
L1
4−6
last 10
4−6
48.3
FG%
46.2
37.7
3P%
37.8
42.7
rebounds / game
42.9
25.0
assists / game
27.6
18.0
turnovers / game
17.2
48.0
points in paint / game
43.8

Rating Trend

LAC · PHX · 10 days
LA ClippersPhoenix Suns
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHX 6−4
Oct 24, 2025at LACLAC 129 − 102
Mar 4, 2025at PHXPHX 119 − 117
Jan 27, 2025at PHXPHX 111 − 109
Oct 31, 2024at LACPHX 125 − 119
Oct 23, 2024at LACPHX 116 − 113
Apr 10, 2024at LACPHX 124 − 108
Apr 9, 2024at PHXLAC 105 − 92
Jan 8, 2024at LACLAC 138 − 111
Jan 3, 2024at PHXLAC 131 − 122
Apr 25, 2023at PHXPHX 136 − 130post

LAC · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Nov 4, 2025vs OKC107 − 126L
Nov 3, 2025vs MIA119 − 120L
Oct 31, 2025vs NO126 − 124W
Oct 28, 2025at GS79 − 98L
Oct 26, 2025vs POR114 − 107W
Oct 24, 2025vs PHX129 − 102W
Oct 22, 2025at UTAH108 − 129L
May 3, 2025at DEN101 − 120L
May 1, 2025vs DEN111 − 105W
Apr 29, 2025at DEN115 − 131L

PHX · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Nov 4, 2025at GS107 − 118L
Nov 2, 2025vs SA130 − 118W
Oct 31, 2025vs UTAH118 − 96W
Oct 29, 2025vs MEM113 − 114L
Oct 27, 2025at UTAH134 − 138L
Oct 25, 2025at DEN111 − 133L
Oct 24, 2025at LAC102 − 129L
Oct 22, 2025vs SAC120 − 116W
Apr 13, 2025at SAC98 − 109L
Apr 11, 2025vs SA117 − 98W