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Spurs at Suns

NBA · Sunday, Nov 2 · 7:00 PM CT · Mortgage Matchup Center · Final SA 118 – PHX 130
← NBA / Nov 2, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SA24282640118
PHX31393228130
Team box
SA·PHX
45-98
field goals
46-79
10-41
3-pointers
19-33
18-23
free throws
19-22
41
rebounds
39
21
assists
34
14
turnovers
20
64
points in paint
38
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Devin BookerPHX3528213
Stephon CastleSA342675
Keldon JohnsonSA241932
Grayson AllenPHX341733
Ryan DunnPHX271751
Collin GillespiePHX221524

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHX +31
SA +31
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHX 31 · SA 2lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SA 45%, PHX 55% · Updated Nov 2, 2025

Expected margin
PHX by 0.3
Expected score
PHX 117.6 – 117.2 SA
Expected total
234.8
SpursThe matchupSuns
+121Our fair odds−121
117.2Expected points117.6
−0.20Power rating−0.24
118.2Points / game116.3
103.8Allowed / game121.0
51.0FG%44.7
39.23P%34.7
49.2Rebounds / game43.0
5−0Season record2−4
7−3Last 103−7
De'Aaron Fox · Harrison Ingram
Jeremy Sochan · Kelly Olynyk
Lindy Waters IIIOutDillon Brooks · Jalen Green

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SA chance · PHX chance
Our model fair45.1%54.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SASan Antonio Spurs+12145%————
PHXPhoenix Suns−12155%————
SpreadPHX by 0.3
SASan Antonio Spurs+0.3our margin————
PHXPhoenix Suns−0.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 234.8
Over234.8our total————
Under234.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Phoenix Suns by 0.3 expected
San Antonio Spurs by 41 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 40 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 39 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 38 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 37 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 36 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 35 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 34 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 33 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 32 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 31 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 30 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 29 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 28 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 27 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 26 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 25 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 24 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 23 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 22 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 21 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 20 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 19 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 18 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 17 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 16 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 15 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 14 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 13 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 12 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 11 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 10 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 9 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 8 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 7 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 6 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 5 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 4 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 3 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 2 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%
← SA wins byPHX wins by →
Phoenix Suns wins by 5 or more41%
Phoenix Suns wins by 10 or more28%
Phoenix Suns wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

234.8 expected
185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 224.569%
Total over 234.550%
Total over 244.531%
Total from 225 to 24438%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
San Antonio Spurs
GDevin Vassellstarted
GStephon Castlestarted
FHarrison Barnesstarted
FJulian Champagniestarted
FVictor Wembanyamastarted
Phoenix Suns
GGrayson Allenstarted
GDevin Bookerstarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
FRyan Dunnstarted
CMark Williamsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SA·PHX
Oct 30, 2025 vs MIA
last game
Oct 31, 2025 vs UTAH
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 2, 5:00 PM ET
San Antonio Spurs
SADe'Aaron Fox · right hamstring; strainOut
SAHarrison Ingram · g league - two-wayOut
SAJeremy Sochan · left wrist; sprainOut
SAKelly Olynyk · left heel; surgeryOut
SALindy Waters III · bilateral eye;Out
SALuke Kornet · left ankle; sprainOut
SARiley Minix · g league - two-wayOut
Phoenix Suns
PHXDillon Brooks · procedure core muscle; strainOut
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; strainOut
PHXIsaiah Livers · right hip; contusionDoubtful

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
SA·PHX
−0.20
rating (0 = average)
−0.24
118.2
points / game
116.3
103.8
points allowed / game
121.0
5−0
season record
2−4
3−0
home record
2−1
2−0
away record
0−3
W5
streak
W1
7−3
last 10
3−7
51.0
FG%
44.7
39.2
3P%
34.7
49.2
rebounds / game
43.0
24.8
assists / game
27.0
16.2
turnovers / game
16.8
52.0
points in paint / game
44.3

Rating Trend

SA · PHX · 6 days
San Antonio SpursPhoenix Suns
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHX 6−4
Apr 11, 2025at PHXPHX 117 − 98
Feb 20, 2025at SASA 120 − 109
Dec 3, 2024at PHXPHX 104 − 93
Mar 25, 2024at SASA 104 − 102
Mar 23, 2024at SAPHX 131 − 106
Nov 2, 2023at PHXSA 132 − 121
Oct 31, 2023at PHXSA 115 − 114
Apr 4, 2023at PHXPHX 115 − 94
Jan 28, 2023at SAPHX 128 − 118
Dec 4, 2022at SAPHX 133 − 95

SA · Last 10

7−3 · streak W6
Oct 30, 2025vs MIA107 − 101W
Oct 27, 2025vs TOR121 − 103W
Oct 26, 2025vs BKN118 − 107W
Oct 24, 2025at NO120 − 116W
Oct 22, 2025at DAL125 − 92W
Apr 13, 2025vs TOR125 − 118W
Apr 11, 2025at PHX98 − 117L
Apr 9, 2025at GS114 − 111W
Apr 8, 2025at LAC117 − 122L
Apr 6, 2025at POR109 − 120L

PHX · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Oct 31, 2025vs UTAH118 − 96W
Oct 29, 2025vs MEM113 − 114L
Oct 27, 2025at UTAH134 − 138L
Oct 25, 2025at DEN111 − 133L
Oct 24, 2025at LAC102 − 129L
Oct 22, 2025vs SAC120 − 116W
Apr 13, 2025at SAC98 − 109L
Apr 11, 2025vs SA117 − 98W
Apr 9, 2025vs OKC112 − 125L
Apr 8, 2025vs GS95 − 133L