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Clippers at Mavericks

NBA · Friday, Nov 14 · 7:30 PM CT · American Airlines Center · Final LAC 133 – DAL 127
← NBA / Nov 14, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234OT2OTT
LAC34283121910133
DAL3124312894127
Team box
LAC·DAL
45-95
field goals
44-99
13-42
3-pointers
10-36
30-36
free throws
29-38
45
rebounds
50
22
assists
18
23
turnovers
25
58
points in paint
58
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
James HardenLAC51411411
D'Angelo RussellDAL392865
Naji MarshallDAL472882
Ivica ZubacLAC4627112
Bogdan BogdanovicLAC372133
Cooper FlaggDAL481650

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DAL +15
LAC +15
Q1Q2Q3Q4OT2OT
largest lead: DAL 6 · LAC 15lead changes: 8

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 54%, DAL 46% · Updated Nov 14, 2025

Expected margin
LAC by 1.2
Expected score
LAC 111.0 – 109.9 DAL
Expected total
220.9
ClippersThe matchupMavericks
−116Our fair odds+116
111.0Expected points109.9
+0.23Power rating−0.19
109.5Points / game107.8
115.5Allowed / game114.3
48.0FG%44.9
36.53P%30.3
40.5Rebounds / game44.7
3−8Season record3−9
3−7Last 103−7
Bradley Beal · Jahmyl Telfort
Kawhi Leonard · Yanic Konan NiederhauserOutDante Exum · Kyrie Irving

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · DAL chance
Our model fair53.8%46.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers−11654%————
DALDallas Mavericks+11646%————
SpreadLAC by 1.2
LACLA Clippers−1.2our margin————
DALDallas Mavericks+1.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 220.9
Over220.9our total————
Under220.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 1.2 expected
LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 12 points: 2%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 10 points: 2%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 1 point: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 2 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 3 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 4 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 5 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 6 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 7 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 8 points: 3%Dallas Mavericks by 9 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 10 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 11 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 12 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 13 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 14 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 15 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 16 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 17 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 18 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 19 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 20 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 21 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 22 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 23 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 24 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 25 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 26 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 27 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 28 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 29 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 30 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 31 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 32 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 33 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 34 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 35 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 36 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 37 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 38 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 39 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 40 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 41 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 42 points: <1%
← LAC wins byDAL wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more43%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more29%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

220.9 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 210.570%
Total over 220.550%
Total over 230.531%
Total from 211 to 23039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
CIvica Zubacstarted
Dallas Mavericks
GBrandon Williamsstarted
GMax Christiestarted
FDaniel Gaffordstarted
FNaji Marshallstarted
FCooper Flaggstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·DAL
Nov 12, 2025 vs DEN
last game
Nov 12, 2025 vs PHX
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 14, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACJahmyl Telfort · g league - two-wayOut
LACKawhi Leonard · right ankle; sprainOut
LACYanic Konan Niederhauser · g league - on assignmentOut
Dallas Mavericks
DALDante Exum · right knee; injury managementOut
DALKyrie Irving · left knee; surgeryOut
DALAnthony Davis · left calf; strainQuestionable
DALP.J. Washington · left shoulder; strainQuestionable
DALDereck Lively II · right knee; sprainProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 11+ games
LAC·DAL
+0.23
rating (0 = average)
−0.19
109.5
points / game
107.8
115.5
points allowed / game
114.3
3−8
season record
3−9
3−5
home record
2−6
0−3
away record
1−3
L6
streak
L2
3−7
last 10
3−7
48.0
FG%
44.9
36.5
3P%
30.3
40.5
rebounds / game
44.7
24.7
assists / game
24.6
16.3
turnovers / game
16.4
47.5
points in paint / game
49.3

Rating Trend

LAC · DAL · 18 days
LA ClippersDallas Mavericks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · DAL 5−5
Apr 5, 2025at LACLAC 135 − 104
Apr 4, 2025at LACLAC 114 − 91
Dec 21, 2024at DALDAL 113 − 97
Dec 19, 2024at DALLAC 118 − 95
May 3, 2024at DALDAL 114 − 101post
May 1, 2024at LACDAL 123 − 93post
Apr 28, 2024at DALLAC 116 − 111post
Apr 26, 2024at DALDAL 101 − 90post
Apr 23, 2024at LACDAL 96 − 93post
Apr 21, 2024at LACLAC 109 − 97post

LAC · Last 10

3−7 · streak L6
Nov 12, 2025vs DEN116 − 130L
Nov 10, 2025vs ATL102 − 105L
Nov 8, 2025vs PHX103 − 114L
Nov 6, 2025at PHX102 − 115L
Nov 4, 2025vs OKC107 − 126L
Nov 3, 2025vs MIA119 − 120L
Oct 31, 2025vs NO126 − 124W
Oct 28, 2025at GS79 − 98L
Oct 26, 2025vs POR114 − 107W
Oct 24, 2025vs PHX129 − 102W

DAL · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Nov 12, 2025vs PHX114 − 123L
Nov 10, 2025vs MIL114 − 116L
Nov 8, 2025at WSH111 − 105W
Nov 7, 2025at MEM104 − 118L
Nov 5, 2025vs NO99 − 101L
Nov 3, 2025at HOU102 − 110L
Nov 1, 2025at DET110 − 122L
Oct 29, 2025vs IND107 − 105W
Oct 27, 2025vs OKC94 − 101L
Oct 26, 2025vs TOR139 − 129W