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Nuggets at Clippers

NBA · Wednesday, Nov 12 · 9:30 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final DEN 130 – LAC 116
← NBA / Nov 12, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DEN39244324130
LAC35332226116
Team box
DEN·LAC
44-84
field goals
41-84
13-34
3-pointers
16-37
29-35
free throws
18-19
42
rebounds
36
22
assists
28
12
turnovers
15
54
points in paint
48
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Nikola JokicDEN3455126
James HardenLAC302385
Jordan MillerLAC262241
Ivica ZubacLAC321891
Aaron GordonDEN311850
Jamal MurrayDEN331554

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +22
DEN +22
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 10 · DEN 22lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DEN 53%, LAC 47% · Updated Nov 12, 2025

Expected margin
LAC by 0.2
Expected score
LAC 112.8 – 112.7 DEN
Expected total
225.5
NuggetsThe matchupClippers
−113Our fair odds+113
112.7Expected points112.8
+0.62Power rating+0.23
124.0Points / game108.9
110.7Allowed / game114.0
50.8FG%47.9
35.33P%35.8
47.9Rebounds / game40.9
8−2Season record3−7
8−2Last 103−7
Curtis Jones · DaRon Holmes II
Tamar BatesOutBradley Beal · Jahmyl Telfort
Kawhi Leonard · Yanic Konan Niederhauser

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DEN chance · LAC chance
Our model fair53.1%46.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DENDenver Nuggets−11353%————
LACLA Clippers+11347%————
SpreadLAC by 0.2
DENDenver Nuggets+0.2our margin————
LACLA Clippers−0.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 225.5
Over225.5our total————
Under225.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 0.2 expected
Denver Nuggets by 41 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 40 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 39 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 38 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 37 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 36 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 35 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 34 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 33 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 32 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 31 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 30 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 29 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 28 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 27 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 26 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 25 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 24 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 23 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 22 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 21 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 20 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 19 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 18 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 17 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 16 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 15 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 14 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 13 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 12 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 11 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 10 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 9 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 8 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 7 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 6 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 5 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 4 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 3 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 2 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 12 points: 2%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%
← DEN wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more41%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more27%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more16%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

225.5 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 215.569%
Total over 225.549%
Total over 235.530%
Total from 216 to 23539%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Denver Nuggets
GJamal Murraystarted
GChristian Braunstarted
FAaron Gordonstarted
FCameron Johnsonstarted
CNikola Jokicstarted
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
FDerrick Jones Jr.started
CIvica Zubacstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DEN·LAC
Nov 11, 2025 at SAC
last game
Nov 10, 2025 vs ATL
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 12, 5:00 PM ET
Denver Nuggets
DENCurtis Jones · g league - two-wayOut
DENDaRon Holmes II · g league - on assignmentOut
DENTamar Bates · g league - two-wayOut
DENAaron Gordon · left hamstring; injury managementProbable
DENJamal Murray · left calf; tightnessProbable
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; sorenessOut
LACJahmyl Telfort · g league - two-wayOut
LACKawhi Leonard · right ankle; sprainOut
LACYanic Konan Niederhauser · g league - on assignmentOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 10+ games
DEN·LAC
+0.62
rating (0 = average)
+0.23
124.0
points / game
108.9
110.7
points allowed / game
114.0
8−2
season record
3−7
6−0
home record
3−4
2−2
away record
0−3
W5
streak
L5
8−2
last 10
3−7
50.8
FG%
47.9
35.3
3P%
35.8
47.9
rebounds / game
40.9
30.2
assists / game
24.4
14.1
turnovers / game
16.4
57.2
points in paint / game
47.4

Rating Trend

DEN · LAC · 16 days
Denver NuggetsLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAC 4−6
May 3, 2025at DENDEN 120 − 101post
May 1, 2025at LACLAC 111 − 105post
Apr 29, 2025at DENDEN 131 − 115post
Apr 26, 2025at LACDEN 101 − 99post
Apr 24, 2025at LACLAC 117 − 83post
Apr 21, 2025at DENLAC 105 − 102post
Apr 19, 2025at DENDEN 112 − 110post
Jan 8, 2025at DENDEN 126 − 103
Dec 13, 2024at DENDEN 120 − 98
Dec 1, 2024at LACLAC 126 − 122

DEN · Last 10

8−2 · streak W5
Nov 11, 2025at SAC122 − 108W
Nov 8, 2025vs IND117 − 100W
Nov 7, 2025vs GS129 − 104W
Nov 5, 2025vs MIA122 − 112W
Nov 3, 2025vs SAC130 − 124W
Oct 31, 2025at POR107 − 109L
Oct 29, 2025vs NO122 − 88W
Oct 27, 2025at MIN127 − 114W
Oct 25, 2025vs PHX133 − 111W
Oct 23, 2025at GS131 − 137L

LAC · Last 10

3−7 · streak L5
Nov 10, 2025vs ATL102 − 105L
Nov 8, 2025vs PHX103 − 114L
Nov 6, 2025at PHX102 − 115L
Nov 4, 2025vs OKC107 − 126L
Nov 3, 2025vs MIA119 − 120L
Oct 31, 2025vs NO126 − 124W
Oct 28, 2025at GS79 − 98L
Oct 26, 2025vs POR114 − 107W
Oct 24, 2025vs PHX129 − 102W
Oct 22, 2025at UTAH108 − 129L