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Nuggets at Trail Blazers

NBA · Friday, Oct 31 · 9:00 PM CT · Moda Center · Final DEN 107 – POR 109
← NBA / Oct 31, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DEN26312426107
POR18351838109
Team box
DEN·POR
38-79
field goals
38-91
6-25
3-pointers
11-39
25-31
free throws
22-31
46
rebounds
43
19
assists
26
19
turnovers
13
44
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Deni AvdijaPOR332344
Jamal MurrayDEN342263
Nikola JokicDEN3721149
Shaedon SharpePOR241941
Jerami GrantPOR321650
Aaron GordonDEN321451

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
POR +12
DEN +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: POR 2 · DEN 12lead changes: 9

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DEN 62%, POR 38% · Updated Oct 31, 2025

Expected margin
DEN by 4.3
Expected score
DEN 117.2 – 112.8 POR
Expected total
230.0
NuggetsThe matchupTrail Blazers
−164Our fair odds+164
117.2Expected points112.8
+0.52Power rating−0.22
128.2Points / game123.6
112.5Allowed / game118.6
52.5FG%45.0
38.03P%35.2
47.0Rebounds / game41.4
3−1Season record3−2
5−5Last 105−5
Curtis Jones · DaRon Holmes II
Tamar BatesOut (3 each)Damian Lillard · Matisse Thybulle
Scoot Henderson

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DEN chance · POR chance
Our model fair62.1%37.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DENDenver Nuggets−16462%————
PORPortland Trail Blazers+16438%————
SpreadDEN by 4.3
DENDenver Nuggets−4.3our margin————
PORPortland Trail Blazers+4.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 230.0
Over230.0our total————
Under230.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Denver Nuggets by 4.3 expected
Denver Nuggets by 45 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 44 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 43 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 42 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 41 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 40 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 39 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 38 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 37 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 36 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 35 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 34 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 33 points: <1%Denver Nuggets by 32 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 31 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 30 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 29 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 28 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 27 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 26 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 25 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 24 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 23 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 22 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 21 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 20 points: 1%Denver Nuggets by 19 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 18 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 17 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 16 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 15 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 14 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 13 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 12 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 11 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 10 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 9 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 8 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 7 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 6 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 5 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 4 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 3 points: 3%Denver Nuggets by 2 points: 2%Denver Nuggets by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1%
← DEN wins byPOR wins by →
Denver Nuggets wins by 5 or more52%
Denver Nuggets wins by 10 or more37%
Denver Nuggets wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

230.0 expected
180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 220.568%
Total over 230.548%
Total over 240.529%
Total from 221 to 24039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Denver Nuggets
GJamal Murraystarted
GChristian Braunstarted
FAaron Gordonstarted
FCameron Johnsonstarted
CNikola Jokicstarted
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
GShaedon Sharpestarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DEN·POR
Oct 29, 2025 vs NO
last game
Oct 29, 2025 at UTAH
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Oct 31, 5:00 PM ET
Denver Nuggets
DENCurtis Jones · g league - two-wayOut
DENDaRon Holmes II · g league - on assignmentOut
DENTamar Bates · g league - two-wayOut
DENJamal Murray · left calf; tightnessQuestionable
DENCameron Johnson · right shoulder; inflammationProbable
Portland Trail Blazers
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORMatisse Thybulle · left thumb; sprainOut
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut
PORKris Murray · illness; .Questionable
PORRobert Williams III · g league - on assignmentQuestionable
PORShaedon Sharpe · left calf; sorenessProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
DEN·POR
+0.52
rating (0 = average)
−0.22
128.2
points / game
123.6
112.5
points allowed / game
118.6
3−1
season record
3−2
2−0
home record
1−1
1−1
away record
2−1
W3
streak
W2
5−5
last 10
5−5
52.5
FG%
45.0
38.0
3P%
35.2
47.0
rebounds / game
41.4
31.8
assists / game
27.4
14.2
turnovers / game
17.6
59.0
points in paint / game
52.4

Rating Trend

DEN · POR · 4 days
Denver NuggetsPortland Trail Blazers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · POR 2−8
Mar 21, 2025at PORPOR 128 − 109
Feb 12, 2025at DENDEN 132 − 121
Feb 10, 2025at DENDEN 146 − 117
Dec 19, 2024at PORPOR 126 − 124
Mar 23, 2024at PORDEN 114 − 111
Feb 23, 2024at PORDEN 127 − 112
Feb 4, 2024at DENDEN 112 − 103
Feb 2, 2024at DENDEN 120 − 108
Jan 17, 2023at DENDEN 122 − 113
Dec 23, 2022at DENDEN 120 − 107

DEN · Last 10

5−5 · streak W3
Oct 29, 2025vs NO122 − 88W
Oct 27, 2025at MIN127 − 114W
Oct 25, 2025vs PHX133 − 111W
Oct 23, 2025at GS131 − 137L
May 18, 2025at OKC93 − 125L
May 15, 2025vs OKC119 − 107W
May 13, 2025at OKC105 − 112L
May 11, 2025vs OKC87 − 92L
May 9, 2025vs OKC113 − 104W
May 7, 2025at OKC106 − 149L

POR · Last 10

5−5 · streak W2
Oct 29, 2025at UTAH136 − 134W
Oct 27, 2025at LAL122 − 108W
Oct 26, 2025at LAC107 − 114L
Oct 24, 2025vs GS139 − 119W
Oct 22, 2025vs MIN114 − 118L
Apr 13, 2025vs LAL109 − 81W
Apr 11, 2025vs GS86 − 103L
Apr 9, 2025at UTAH126 − 133L
Apr 6, 2025vs SA120 − 109W
Apr 4, 2025at CHI113 − 118L