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Grizzlies at Celtics

NBA · Wednesday, Nov 12 · 6:30 PM CT · TD Garden · Final MEM 95 – BOS 131
← NBA / Nov 12, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MEM2620282195
BOS34333331131
Team box
MEM·BOS
32-95
field goals
50-99
10-43
3-pointers
21-51
21-26
free throws
10-12
41
rebounds
58
25
assists
34
10
turnovers
11
38
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Payton PritchardBOS302469
Derrick WhiteBOS262054
Jaylen BrownBOS251966
Jaren Jackson Jr.MEM231820
Santi AldamaMEM241464
Luka GarzaBOS171471

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BOS +38
MEM +38
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BOS 38 · MEM 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MEM 27%, BOS 73% · Updated Nov 12, 2025

Expected margin
BOS by 10.2
Expected score
BOS 118.0 – 107.8 MEM
Expected total
225.8
GrizzliesThe matchupCeltics
+272Our fair odds−272
107.8Expected points118.0
−0.00Power rating+0.75
114.2Points / game111.8
119.8Allowed / game109.7
44.2FG%44.5
34.13P%33.0
43.7Rebounds / game43.2
4−8Season record5−7
3−7Last 105−5
Brandon Clarke · Javon Small
Scotty Pippen Jr. · Ty JeromeOutAmari Williams · Jayson Tatum
Max Shulga

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MEM chance · BOS chance
Our model fair26.9%73.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MEMMemphis Grizzlies+27227%————
BOSBoston Celtics−27273%————
SpreadBOS by 10.2
MEMMemphis Grizzlies+10.2our margin————
BOSBoston Celtics−10.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 225.8
Over225.8our total————
Under225.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 10.2 expected
Memphis Grizzlies by 52 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 51 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 50 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 49 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 48 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 47 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 46 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 45 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 44 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 43 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 42 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 41 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 40 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 39 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 38 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 37 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 36 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 35 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 34 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 33 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 32 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 31 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 30 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 29 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 28 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 27 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 26 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 25 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 24 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 23 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 22 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 21 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 20 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 19 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 18 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 17 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 16 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 15 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 14 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 13 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 12 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 11 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 10 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 9 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 8 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 7 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 6 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 5 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 4 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 3 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 2 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 48 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 49 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 50 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 51 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 52 points: <1%
← MEM wins byBOS wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more67%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more52%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more37%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

225.8 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 215.570%
Total over 225.550%
Total over 235.530%
Total from 216 to 23539%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Memphis Grizzlies
GKentavious Caldwell-Popestarted
GVince Williams Jr.started
FJaren Jackson Jr.started
FJaylen Wellsstarted
CJock Landalestarted
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
GJordan Walshstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MEM·BOS
Nov 11, 2025 at NY
last game
Nov 11, 2025 at PHI
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 12, 5:00 PM ET
Memphis Grizzlies
MEMBrandon Clarke · right knee; surgery recoveryOut
MEMJavon Small · left toe; turf toeOut
MEMScotty Pippen Jr. · left great toe; surgery recoveryOut
MEMTy Jerome · recovery right calf; strainOut
MEMZach Edey · left ankle; surgeryDoubtful
MEMJa Morant · right ankle; sorenessQuestionable
Boston Celtics
BOSAmari Williams · g league - two-wayOut
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
BOSHugo Gonzalez · left ankle; sprainProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 12+ games
MEM·BOS
−0.00
rating (0 = average)
+0.75
114.2
points / game
111.8
119.8
points allowed / game
109.7
4−8
season record
5−7
3−5
home record
2−3
1−3
away record
3−4
L2
streak
L1
3−7
last 10
5−5
44.2
FG%
44.5
34.1
3P%
33.0
43.7
rebounds / game
43.2
28.2
assists / game
23.2
15.2
turnovers / game
11.2
46.5
points in paint / game
40.7

Rating Trend

MEM · BOS · 16 days
Memphis GrizzliesBoston Celtics
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · BOS 7−1
Mar 31, 2025at MEMBOS 117 − 103
Dec 7, 2024at BOSMEM 127 − 121
Feb 4, 2024at BOSBOS 131 − 91
Nov 19, 2023at MEMBOS 102 − 100
Feb 12, 2023at BOSBOS 119 − 109
Nov 7, 2022at MEMBOS 109 − 106
Apr 10, 2022at MEMBOS 139 − 110
Mar 3, 2022at BOSBOS 120 − 107

MEM · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Nov 11, 2025at NY120 − 133L
Nov 9, 2025vs OKC100 − 114L
Nov 7, 2025vs DAL118 − 104W
Nov 5, 2025vs HOU109 − 124L
Nov 3, 2025vs DET106 − 114L
Nov 2, 2025at TOR104 − 117L
Oct 31, 2025vs LAL112 − 117L
Oct 29, 2025at PHX114 − 113W
Oct 27, 2025at GS118 − 131L
Oct 25, 2025vs IND128 − 103W

BOS · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Nov 11, 2025at PHI100 − 102L
Nov 9, 2025at ORL111 − 107W
Nov 7, 2025at ORL110 − 123L
Nov 5, 2025vs WSH136 − 107W
Nov 3, 2025vs UTAH103 − 105L
Nov 1, 2025vs HOU101 − 128L
Oct 31, 2025at PHI109 − 108W
Oct 29, 2025vs CLE125 − 105W
Oct 27, 2025at NO122 − 90W
Oct 26, 2025at DET113 − 119L